农户病虫害统防统治服务采纳行为的影响因素——以江苏省水稻种植为例
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摘要
采用嵌套Logit模型,基于江苏省病虫害统防统治试点地区630个水稻种植户的调研数据,对影响农户采纳包药防治服务与全承包防治服务的因素进行了比较分析。结果表明:在第一层次病虫害防治模式(统防统治与自防自治)采纳时,农户的病虫害防治效果认知是影响其防治模式采纳决策的重要因素。在第二层次病虫害防治方式选择时,用工补贴、宣传引导、雇工价格变异系数、服务价格、户主年龄、与农技员联系强度,对农户包药防治服务采纳决策有显著影响;用工补贴、雇工价格变异系数、户主年龄、留守劳动力人数、家庭收入水平和稻田规模,对农户全承包防治服务采纳决策有显著影响;提出应根据农户禀赋和所属地区特征提高服务供给的针对性,充分发挥村集体组织协调功能等政策建议。
Based the field survey data of 630 rice farmers in the pilot area of Regional Pest Control program(RPC)in Jiangsu,this paper focuses on analyzing the factors that influence the farmers' adoption of RPC program.The results show that the cognition of control effect of pest and disease significantly promote the adoption of RPC program.When the cognition of control effect of pest and disease is constant,subsidies,propaganda,the age of householder and contact frequency with agricultural technicians have significant positive impacts on dispensing pesticide service.Farmers with seasonal shortage of supply labor and large scale of rice cultivation are more inclined to adopt whole contract prevention services rather than dispensing pesticide service.The older the head of the household is,the higher contact intensity with agronomists,farmers are more likely to adopt the dispensing pesticide service.Finally,policy suggestions are put forward according to the research conclusions.
Based the field survey data of 630 rice farmers in the pilot area of Regional Pest Control program(RPC)in Jiangsu,this paper focuses on analyzing the factors that influence the farmers' adoption of RPC program.The results show that the cognition of control effect of pest and disease significantly promote the adoption of RPC program.When the cognition of control effect of pest and disease is constant,subsidies,propaganda,the age of householder and contact frequency with agricultural technicians have significant positive impacts on dispensing pesticide service.Farmers with seasonal shortage of supply labor and large scale of rice cultivation are more inclined to adopt whole contract prevention services rather than dispensing pesticide service.The older the head of the household is,the higher contact intensity with agronomists,farmers are more likely to adopt the dispensing pesticide service.Finally,policy suggestions are put forward according to the research conclusions.
引文
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[2]Widawsky D,Rozelle S,Jin S,et al.Pesticide Productivity,Host-plant Resistance and Productivity in China[J].Agricultural Economics of Agricultural Economists,2014,19(2):203-217.
[3]郭跃华.对农作物病虫害专业化统防统治的思考[J].中国植保导刊,2012,32(1):56-59.
[4]应瑞瑶,徐斌.农作物病虫害专业化防治服务对农药施用强度的影响[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(8):90-97.
[5]纪月清,刘亚洲,陈奕山.统防统治:农民兼业与农药施用[J].南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2015(6):61-67.
[6]申红芳,陈超,廖西元,等.稻农生产环节外包行为分析——基于7省21县的调查[J].中国农村经济,2015(5):44-57.
[7]王志刚,申红芳,廖西元.农业规模经营:从生产环节外包开始——以水稻为例[J].中国农村经济,2011(9):4-12.
[8]Wolf C A.Custom Dairy Heifer Grower Industry Characteristics and Contract Terms[J].Journal of Dairy Science,2003,86(9):3 016-3 022.
[9]曹峥林,姜松,王钊.行为能力、交易成本与农户生产环节外包——基于Logit回归与cs-QCA的双重验证[J].农业技术经济,2017(3):64-74.
[10]蔡荣,蔡书凯.农业生产环节外包实证研究——基于安徽省水稻主产区的调查[J].农业技术经济,2014(4):34-42.
[11]陈昭玖,胡雯.农地确权、交易装置与农户生产环节外包——基于“斯密—杨格”定理的分工演化逻辑[J].农业经济问题,2016(8):16-24.
[12]石弘华,杨英.雇工自营制与农户行为效率分析——以湖南省邵阳地区为例[J].中国农村经济,2005(8):17-20.
[13]黄晨鸣,朱臻.雇工劳动对农户粮食生产技术效率的影响研究——基于三省水稻种植户的调查[J].农业现代化研究,2018,39(2):229-238.
[14]董程成.非农兼业、耕地特征与农业社会化服务需求意愿——以病虫害专业化统防统治为例[J].科技和产业,2012,12(5):125-130.
[15]应瑞瑶,徐斌.农户采纳农业社会化服务的示范效应分析——以病虫害统防统治为例[J].中国农村经济,2014(8):30-41.
[16]陆岐楠,张崇尚,仇焕广.农业劳动力老龄化、非农劳动力兼业化对农业生产环节外包的影响[J].农业经济问题,2017(10):27-34.
[17]段培,王礼力,罗剑朝.种植业技术密集环节外包的个体响应及影响因素研究——以河南和山西631户小麦种植户为例[J].中国农村经济,2017(8):29-44.
[18]科林·卡梅伦,普拉温·K·特里维迪.用Stata学微观计量经济学[M].重庆:重庆大学出版社,2015:3.
[19]危朝安.专业化统防统治是现代农业发展的重要选择[J].中国植保导刊,2011,31(9):5-8.
[20]孔祥智,楼栋.农业技术推广的国际比较、时态举证与中国对策[J].改革,2012(1):12-23.
[21]Hausman J,Mcfadden D.Specification Tests for the Multinomial Logit Model[J].Econometrica,1981,52(5):1 219-1 240.