人民币走势的必然性与被动性思考建议

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英文篇名：The Suggestiongs for Thinking of the Inevitability and Passivity about the RMB Trend 作者：谭雅玲 英文作者：TAN Ya-ling;China Foreign Exchange Investment Research Institute; 关键词：货币贬值 ; 货币升值 ; 人民币汇率 ; 外汇储备 ; 衍生产品 英文关键词：currency devaluation;;currency appreciation;;RMB rate;;foreign exchange reserve;;derivative 中文刊名：BXYX 英文刊名：Journal of Shandong Technology and Business University 机构：中国外汇投资研究院; 出版日期：2019-02-15 出版单位：山东工商学院学报 年：2019 期：v.33;No.150 语种：中文; 页：BXYX201901010 页数：7 CN：01 ISSN：37-1416/F 分类号：85-91

摘要

人民币升值和贬值的周期因素值得关注:经济基础要视汇率走势的参数与需求反应,货币升值与贬值的意义是关注重点;当前美元霸权主导依然严重,经济实力与结构差异是关注重点。要高度关注人民币汇率话题引起的我国经济金融结构、生产与投资配套的错位与扭曲,注意意识与预期的准确与理性。
        We should pay attention to the cyclical factors influencing RMB appreciation and depreciation.Firstly,the economic basis responds to parameters indicating the trend of exchange rate and demand,in which the key point is the significance of currency appreciation and depreciation. Secondly,US dollar is playing a dominant role in the market which highlights the differences in economic strength and structure.We should pay more attention to the dislocation and distortion of China's economic and financial structure and supporting production and investment caused by the topic of RMB and keep a watchful eye on the accuracy and rationality of consciousness and expectation.

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