钦州市水利工程可供水量分析与预测
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摘要
可供水量分析是水资源优化配置的重要依据。综合考虑了钦州市现有水利工程的开发现状,并从工程来水情况、供水能力和需水要求三个方面分析钦州市可供水量,构建了城市可供水量分析框架体系,重点分析中、小型蓄水工程与引、提水工程的可供水量简化计算方法。通过对钦州市2014、2020、2030年三个水平年4种来水频率下各分区的可供水量计算,得出P=50%来水频率下的可供水量分别为12.64、18.66、21.63亿m3。根据水资源公报校核结果可知,该成果较为合理。此分析成果可为钦州市水资源优化配置提供参考依据。
The analysis of available water supply is an important base for the water resources optimal allocation. Considering the development status of water conservancy project in Qinzhou,the available water supply is analyzed from three aspects of coming water,water supply capacity and water demand. The available water supply analysis structure of is built. The simplified calculation method for available water supply in middle-sized and small-sized water storage engineering,water-diversion engineering and water-lifting engineering is analyzed emphatically. Through calculating the available water of four different coming water frequency in 2014,2020 and 2030 in Qinzhou,it can be concluded that the available water supply under 50% coming water frequency is 1.264,1.866 and 2.163 billion m3,respectively. Comparing with the water resources bulletin,it can be found that the calculation is reliable. The conclusion can be the base for water resources optimal allocation of Qinzhou.
The analysis of available water supply is an important base for the water resources optimal allocation. Considering the development status of water conservancy project in Qinzhou,the available water supply is analyzed from three aspects of coming water,water supply capacity and water demand. The available water supply analysis structure of is built. The simplified calculation method for available water supply in middle-sized and small-sized water storage engineering,water-diversion engineering and water-lifting engineering is analyzed emphatically. Through calculating the available water of four different coming water frequency in 2014,2020 and 2030 in Qinzhou,it can be concluded that the available water supply under 50% coming water frequency is 1.264,1.866 and 2.163 billion m3,respectively. Comparing with the water resources bulletin,it can be found that the calculation is reliable. The conclusion can be the base for water resources optimal allocation of Qinzhou.
引文
[1]水利部水规计[2002]330号文件.全国水资源综合规划技术细则[R].2002.
[2]GB/T 50095-2014,水文基本术语和符号标准[S].
[3]SL 429-2008,水资源供需预测分析技术规划[S].
[4]刘付荣.区域水资源配置中供水预测计算方法研究[J].气象与环境科学,2012,35(1):78-82.
[5]肖汉,曹亚军,李凌霄.基于PCA的BP神经网络在城市供水预测中的应用[J].山东农业大学学报(自然科学版),2013,44(2):266-270.
[6]舒诗湖,向高,何文杰,等.灰色模型在城市中长期用水预测中的应用[J].哈尔滨工业大学学报,2009,(2):85-87.
[7]孙波.灰色理论在贵阳市供水预测中的应用[J].中国水运,2009,9(5):129-130.
[8]王双银,宋孝玉.水资源评价[M].2版.郑州:黄河水利出版社,2014.
[9]张永利,彭龙.多年调节水库兴利调节计算的长系列法[J].水利科技与经济,2012,18(2):77-79.
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[11]王铁生.长藤结瓜灌溉系统的水利计算[M].北京:水利电力出版社,1984.
[12]周刚,罗骏燕.贵州省现有水利工程供水能力研究[J].黑龙江水利科技,2013,41(8):148-149.
[13]张子贤,关于可供水量定义及计算方法的讨论[J].人民长江.2002,33(7):27-29.
[14]钦州市水利局.广西钦州市水资源综合规划报告[R].广西钦州,2008.
[15]金菊良,原晨阳,蒋尚明,等.基于水量供需平衡分析的江淮丘陵区塘坝灌区抗旱能力评价[J]水利学报,2013,44(5):534-541.
[16]朱国华.水资源供需分析中的可供水量计算[J].长江工程职业技术学院学报,1998,(2):68-70.
[17]张伟,周树葵.水泵与水泵站[M].北京:北京大学出版社,2014.
[2]GB/T 50095-2014,水文基本术语和符号标准[S].
[3]SL 429-2008,水资源供需预测分析技术规划[S].
[4]刘付荣.区域水资源配置中供水预测计算方法研究[J].气象与环境科学,2012,35(1):78-82.
[5]肖汉,曹亚军,李凌霄.基于PCA的BP神经网络在城市供水预测中的应用[J].山东农业大学学报(自然科学版),2013,44(2):266-270.
[6]舒诗湖,向高,何文杰,等.灰色模型在城市中长期用水预测中的应用[J].哈尔滨工业大学学报,2009,(2):85-87.
[7]孙波.灰色理论在贵阳市供水预测中的应用[J].中国水运,2009,9(5):129-130.
[8]王双银,宋孝玉.水资源评价[M].2版.郑州:黄河水利出版社,2014.
[9]张永利,彭龙.多年调节水库兴利调节计算的长系列法[J].水利科技与经济,2012,18(2):77-79.
[10]顾圣平,田富强.水资源规划及利用[M].北京:中国水利水电出版社,2009.
[11]王铁生.长藤结瓜灌溉系统的水利计算[M].北京:水利电力出版社,1984.
[12]周刚,罗骏燕.贵州省现有水利工程供水能力研究[J].黑龙江水利科技,2013,41(8):148-149.
[13]张子贤,关于可供水量定义及计算方法的讨论[J].人民长江.2002,33(7):27-29.
[14]钦州市水利局.广西钦州市水资源综合规划报告[R].广西钦州,2008.
[15]金菊良,原晨阳,蒋尚明,等.基于水量供需平衡分析的江淮丘陵区塘坝灌区抗旱能力评价[J]水利学报,2013,44(5):534-541.
[16]朱国华.水资源供需分析中的可供水量计算[J].长江工程职业技术学院学报,1998,(2):68-70.
[17]张伟,周树葵.水泵与水泵站[M].北京:北京大学出版社,2014.