丝绸之路经济带建设背景下新疆与中亚贸易合作绩效评价分析
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摘要
贸易畅通是全面促进丝绸之路经济带建设的重要内容,贸易合作绩效是衡量贸易畅通的重要指标。该文在分析新疆与中亚五国贸易合作现状的基础上,以丝绸之路经济带建设的重要内容为导向,依据投入产出系统构建了贸易合作绩效评价的理论框架,采用超效率DEA模型,对新疆与中亚五国贸易合作的绩效水平进行了测评。结果表明:新疆与中亚五国贸易合作效率水平整体呈下降趋势,与中亚各国的贸易合作效率水平差异较大,其效率水平有待改善;新疆与中亚五国贸易合作整体排名变动不大,仅哈萨克斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦的排名有所波动,塔吉克斯坦的排名始终靠后,其合作效率水平亟需提升。
Smooth flow of trade is an important part that can fully promote the construction of Silk Road economic belt, and the performance of trade cooperation is an important indicator to measure the trade flow. This article analyzes the current situation of trade cooperation between Xinjiang and five Central Asian countries, constructing a theoretical framework in accordance with the input-output system, and evaluating the performance level by using super-efficiency DEA model on the basis of important contents of the Silk Road economic belt strategy. The results show that the whole efficiency of trade cooperation is decreasing, and the efficiency of trade cooperation between Xinjiang and each country of Central Asian countries are quite different. The efficiency of trade cooperation between Xinjiang and part of Central Asian countries is still invalid and needs to be improved. The overall efficiency ranking changed little, of which the efficiency rankings of Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan fluctuate alternatively, and the efficiency ranking of Tajikistan is always rearward.
Smooth flow of trade is an important part that can fully promote the construction of Silk Road economic belt, and the performance of trade cooperation is an important indicator to measure the trade flow. This article analyzes the current situation of trade cooperation between Xinjiang and five Central Asian countries, constructing a theoretical framework in accordance with the input-output system, and evaluating the performance level by using super-efficiency DEA model on the basis of important contents of the Silk Road economic belt strategy. The results show that the whole efficiency of trade cooperation is decreasing, and the efficiency of trade cooperation between Xinjiang and each country of Central Asian countries are quite different. The efficiency of trade cooperation between Xinjiang and part of Central Asian countries is still invalid and needs to be improved. The overall efficiency ranking changed little, of which the efficiency rankings of Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan fluctuate alternatively, and the efficiency ranking of Tajikistan is always rearward.
引文
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(1)带域国家的界定参考谭晶荣(2015)的研究,指中亚5国、环中亚经济带20国、欧盟28国和乌克兰、埃及、利比亚、阿尔及利亚、突尼斯和摩洛哥等59个国家。
[2]GANESAN S,AMBROSE M,HESS R L.The Relationship between Justice and Attitudes:An Examination of Justice Effects on Event and System-related Attitudes[J].Organizational ehavior and Human Decision Processes,2007,103(1).
[3]鲁明勇.区域旅游合作绩效的定量评价方法探讨[J].统计与决策,2011,(16).
[4]梁耀明,张叶平,王浩.产学研合作绩效综合评价研究——基于广东省部院产学研合作项目的实证[J].科技进步与对策,2014,(5).
[5]MCGEE J E,DOWLING M J,MEGGINSON W L.Coopperative Strategy and 77 New Venture Performance:the Role of Business Strategy and Management Experience[J].Strategy Management Journal,1995,16(7).
[6]马君.试论纵向一体化的解构与企业合作网络的构建[J].外国经济与管理,2007,(2).
[7]赵静敏.基于DEA的江苏省对外贸易可持续发展效率评价[J].江苏商论,2007,(3).
[8]邢小军,周德群,孙利娟.基于DEA模型的农产品国际贸易效率的国际比较研究[J].管理评论,2011,(2).
[9]张俊涛.基于DEA的福建省对外贸易可持续发展相对效率评价[J].商场现代化,2012,(1).
[10]陈刚,刘燕鹏,谷树忠,等.中国造纸行业的贸易绩效:1996—2004[J].中国造纸,2006,(8).
[11]金培振,张亚斌,李激扬.能源效率与节能潜力的国际比较——以中国与OECD国家为例[J].世界经济研究,2011,(1).
(1)带域国家的界定参考谭晶荣(2015)的研究,指中亚5国、环中亚经济带20国、欧盟28国和乌克兰、埃及、利比亚、阿尔及利亚、突尼斯和摩洛哥等59个国家。