基于大数据的重大工程智能群体决策支持系统研究
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摘要
随着工程建设行业的规模化及国际化发展趋势,重大工程逐渐成为国家发展的重要标志.重大工程的复杂性往往导致决策不确定性并引发管理中的诸多难题.为高效解决重大工程决策主体多元化所带来的信息不对称、决策方案冲突等问题,将智能决策方法融入重大工程群体决策过程中,构建了基于大数据的重大工程智能群体决策支持系统(BD-IGDSS),并通过将BD-IGDSS应用于中泰铁路工程及港珠澳大桥工程,分析该系统在重大工程决策管理中的优势.
With the trend of scale and internationalization of construction industry,the megaprojects gradually become an important symbol of national development. The complexity of megaprojects leads to many difficulties and uncertainties in decision-making management. In order to effectively solve the problems of information asymmetry and conflict of decision-making schemes caused by the diversification of megaproject decision-makers,this paper integrates the intelligent decision-making method into the group decision-making process of megaprojects,and constructs a big data-based intelligent group decision support system(BD-IGDSS)for the megaprojects. By applying BD-IGDSS to China-Thailand railway project and Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macao Bridge project,the advantages of this system in decision-making management of megaproject are analyzed and summarized.
With the trend of scale and internationalization of construction industry,the megaprojects gradually become an important symbol of national development. The complexity of megaprojects leads to many difficulties and uncertainties in decision-making management. In order to effectively solve the problems of information asymmetry and conflict of decision-making schemes caused by the diversification of megaproject decision-makers,this paper integrates the intelligent decision-making method into the group decision-making process of megaprojects,and constructs a big data-based intelligent group decision support system(BD-IGDSS)for the megaprojects. By applying BD-IGDSS to China-Thailand railway project and Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macao Bridge project,the advantages of this system in decision-making management of megaproject are analyzed and summarized.
引文
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[15]向鹏成,罗文竹,严雅馨.中泰铁路项目受挫的教训与启示[J].国际经济合作,2017(1):91-95.
[16]李迁,朱永灵,刘慧敏,等.港珠澳大桥决策治理体系:原理与实务[J].管理世界,2019,35(4):52-60,159.
[17]丁进良,杨翠娥,陈远东,等.复杂工业过程智能优化决策系统的现状与展望[J].自动化学报,2018,44(11):1931-1943.
[18]任福兵,李玲玲.国外群体决策研究进展[J].现代情报,2018,38(5):172-177.
[19]屠李,赵鹏军,张超荣,等.面向新一代人工智能的城市规划决策系统优化[J].城市发展研究,2019,26(1):54-59.
[2]杨善林,倪志伟.机器学习与智能决策体系[M].北京:科学出版社,2004.
[3]郭建锋,张建平,胡振中,等.基于数据挖掘的智能工程决策平台[J].哈尔滨工业大学学报,2006,38(9):1518-1522.
[4]陈连武.面向工程领域的群体决策体系[D].西安:西北工业大学,2001.
[5]吴强.智能群体决策支持系统中若干关键理论与方法研究[D].合肥:中国科学技术大学,2006.
[6]曾赛星.重大工程管理[J].科学观察,2018,13(6):45-47.
[7]涂慧君,苏宗毅.大型复杂项目建筑策划群决策的决策主体研究[J].建筑学报,2016,49(12):72-76.
[8]涂慧君,陈卓.大型复杂项目建筑策划“群决策”的计算机数据分析方法研究[J].建筑学报,2015,48(2):30-34.
[9]雷丽彩.有限理性假设下的大型工程群体决策问题研究[D].南京:南京大学,2012.
[10]郭广颂,文振华,郝国生.基于群体决策的多用户协同交互式遗传算法[J].电子与信息学报,2018,40(9):2165-2172.
[11]张德华,盛昭瀚,邱大灿,等.大型工程前期决策的群体协同决策机制研究[J].现代管理科学,2011,29(11):6-9.
[12]王雪青,王振人,石子健.基于欧式空间的重大工程群体决策冲突测度模型[J].工程管理学报,2018,32(2):91-96.
[13] ZHOU H T,WANG H W,ZENG W. Smart construction site in mega construction projects:a case study on island tunneling project of Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macao Bridge[J]. Frontiers of Engineering Management,2018,5(1):78-87.
[14]何洁.面向大型工程的群体决策机制与方法研究[D].南京:南京大学,2011.
[15]向鹏成,罗文竹,严雅馨.中泰铁路项目受挫的教训与启示[J].国际经济合作,2017(1):91-95.
[16]李迁,朱永灵,刘慧敏,等.港珠澳大桥决策治理体系:原理与实务[J].管理世界,2019,35(4):52-60,159.
[17]丁进良,杨翠娥,陈远东,等.复杂工业过程智能优化决策系统的现状与展望[J].自动化学报,2018,44(11):1931-1943.
[18]任福兵,李玲玲.国外群体决策研究进展[J].现代情报,2018,38(5):172-177.
[19]屠李,赵鹏军,张超荣,等.面向新一代人工智能的城市规划决策系统优化[J].城市发展研究,2019,26(1):54-59.