摘要
基于理论梳理与现实需要,构建海洋产业生态化理论模型,提出海洋产业结构生态化、海洋产业组织生态化、产业生产方式生态化及海洋产业技术生态化4方面的综合评价指标体系;选取沿海11省(区、市)2006—2014年的统计数据,运用主成分分析将20个指标降维成7个主成分,利用熵权-dematel组合赋权,计算沿海各省(区、市)的生态化水平综合得分,再运用系统协调度模型,对海洋产业生态化水平进行静态与动态综合评价。研究表明:(1)中国海洋产业生态化水平与海洋产业技术生态化关联性最大,技术开发与研发投入逐渐上升,但科技成果转化率偏低;其次为生产方式生态化,主要体现在污染排放水平和能源消耗水平,污染排放水平虽逐年下降,但排放总量仍超出环境标准,对区域的海洋产业生态化水平影响大。(2)2006—2014年整体海洋产业生态化水平呈现稳定上升趋势,要素间协调性逐步提升,2014年除天津、海南外,均达到基本协调以上的等级;系统层评价值中,产业生产方式波动较大;7个主成分表现稳定,无较大波动。(3)各省(区、市)生态化协调指数与生态化综合水平的发展趋势并不一致。其中,上海、江苏一直处于领先地位,形成片状协调发展格局,天津、海南的综合排名均较低,整体上呈现南北低中间高的格局。根据评价结果,应弥补各地区海洋产业生态化的短板,改善区域间与区域内部发展的不平衡,抓紧构建环境准入与约束机制、海洋产业生态共生机制以及协调发展的激励机制,保证经济、社会与生态的协调发展。
Based on the theoretical analysis and practical needs,the theoretical model of marine industrial ecologization was constructed,and a comprehensive evaluation index system which concluded the marine industrial structure ecologization,marine industrial organization ecologization,marine production mode ecologization and marine technological innovations ecologization was built. 20 indexes were reduced to 7 principal components by principal component analysis. Entropy weight-dematel was used to calculate the comprehensive score of ecological level of coastal provinces( district and city),then adopted the system coordination degree model to carry out static and dynamic comprehensive evaluation using statistics collected from 2006 to 2014. The results showed that:(1) marine technological innovations ecologization was the most to affect marine industrial ecologization,and the technological research and investment were increased gradually,but the conversion of scientific and technological achievements were low. Secondly,marine production mode ecologization was included the level of pollution emission and energy consumption. Although the pollution discharge degree was declining year by year,the total emission was still beyond the environmental standard,which had a great influence on the ecological level of coastal provinces.(2) The overall ecological level of 2006-2014 showed a stable upward trend. The coordination between the elements had gradually increased. In 2014,the level of coordination all reached a higher level except Tianjin and Hainan. In the system layer,marine production mode ecologization fluctuated greatly,and the 7 principal components were stable.(3) The development trend of ecological coordination index and ecological comprehensive level was inconsistent. Shanghai and Jiangsu were in the leading positions,forming a coordinated development pattern. Tianjin and Hainan were relatively low,basically presenting the pattern of level in south and north regions and high level in middle region. According to the evaluation results,we should accelerate the short board construction of marine industrial ecologization in various regions,improve the regional and intra-regional imbalance,construct the environmental access and constraint mechanism,the ecological symbiotic mechanism of the marine industry and the incentive mechanism for coordinated development,to ensure the coordinated development of economy,society and ecology.
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