基于AHP-熵物元的地震安全社区应急管理评价
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摘要
为提高建设地震安全社区减灾综合效益,解决我国地震频发造成的严重经济损失和人员伤亡,在发展尚未成熟的地震安全社区建设理念基础上探究其应急管理影响因素,从应急三阶段管理以及社会环境影响方面选取指标建立评价体系;引入AHP-熵权法和可拓物元数学理论,构建地震安全社区应急管理综合评价模型;应用该模型对大连地震安全社区进行实例验证,得出该社区应急管理等级以及应急全过程中不足之处,得到的评价结果与实际情况相符,表明多级可拓物元模型的定量计算结果准确可靠,对完善地震安全社区应急管理具有指导和实用价值。
To improve the disaster-relief comprehensive benefit of constructing the earthquake safety communities,and solve the serious economic loss and personnel casualties caused by the frequent earthquake in China,the influencing factors on the emergency management of earthquake safety community were explored on the basis of the immature construction ideas of earthquake safety community,and an evaluation system was established by selecting the indexes from the aspects of emergency three-stage management and social environment influence. A comprehensive evaluation model on the emergency management of earthquake safety community was constructed by introducing into the AHP-entropy weight method and the extension matter-element mathematical theory. The case verification was carried out on an earthquake safety community in Dalian by using this model,and the emergency management grade and the shortcomings in the whole emergency process of this community were obtained. The evaluation results were consistent with the actual situation,which indicated that the quantitative calculation results of the multi-level extension matter-element model were accurate and reliable,which have the guiding and practical value for improving the emergency management of earthquake safety communities.
To improve the disaster-relief comprehensive benefit of constructing the earthquake safety communities,and solve the serious economic loss and personnel casualties caused by the frequent earthquake in China,the influencing factors on the emergency management of earthquake safety community were explored on the basis of the immature construction ideas of earthquake safety community,and an evaluation system was established by selecting the indexes from the aspects of emergency three-stage management and social environment influence. A comprehensive evaluation model on the emergency management of earthquake safety community was constructed by introducing into the AHP-entropy weight method and the extension matter-element mathematical theory. The case verification was carried out on an earthquake safety community in Dalian by using this model,and the emergency management grade and the shortcomings in the whole emergency process of this community were obtained. The evaluation results were consistent with the actual situation,which indicated that the quantitative calculation results of the multi-level extension matter-element model were accurate and reliable,which have the guiding and practical value for improving the emergency management of earthquake safety communities.
引文
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[14]邢娟娟.应急准备文化的推进与实践[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(9):115-120.XING Juanjuan.Promotion and practice of emergency preparedness culture[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2011,7(9):115-120.
[15]邓砚,聂高众,苏桂武.地震应急的影响因素分析[J].灾害学,2005(2):27-33.DENG Yan,NIE Gaozhong,SU Guiwu.Analysis of influencing factors of earthquake emergency response[J].Disaster Science,2005(2):27-33.
[16]田林钢,马成功,王绪.基于AHP-熵权法的水利工程业主风险模糊评价[J].人民黄河,2017,39(12):117-122,130.TIAN Lingang,MA Chenggong,WANG Xu.Fuzzy risk assessment of water conservancy project owners based on ahp-entropy weight method[J].People’s Yellow River,2017,39(12):117-122,130.
[17]周英烈,史秀志,胡建华.基于可拓学物元模型的矿山紧急避险能力评价研究[J].安全与环境学报,2013,13(1):229-233.ZHOU Yinglie,SHI Xiuzhi,HU Jianhua.Evaluation study on mine emergency capacity based on extenics matter-element model[J].Journal of Safety and Environment,2013,13(1):229-233.
[2]李亦纲,吴建春,王忠国.地震安全示范社区建设标准研究[J].震灾防御技术,2015,10(3):621-628.LI Yigang,WU Jianchun,WANG Zhongguo.Standard research on earthquake safety demonstration community construction[J].Earthquake Disaster Prevention Technology,2015,10(3):621-628.
[3]谢礼立.汶川地震的教训[J].南京工业大学学报(自然科学版),2009,31(1):1-8.XIE Lili.Lessons from Wenchuan earthquake[J].Journal of Nanjing University of Technology(Natural Science Edition),2009,31(1):1-8.
[4]谢礼立.城市防震减灾能力的定义及评估方法[J].地震工程与工程振动,2006(3):1-10.XIE Lili.The definition and evaluation method of urban seismic disaster mitigation capability[J].Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration,2006(3):1-10.
[5]陈文涛.基于社区的灾害应急能力评价指标体系建构[A].中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会.第九届中国管理科学学术年会论文集[C].中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会:中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会,2007:4.
[6]张勤,高亦飞,高娜.城镇社区地震应急能力评价指标体系的构建[J].灾害学,2009,24(3):133-136.ZHANG Qin,GAO Yifei,GAO Na.Establishment of evaluation index system of urban community earthquake emergency response capability[J].Disaster Science,2009,24(3):133-136.
[7]吴晓涛.基于FAHP法的城市社区应急准备能力评估[J].灾害学,2010,25(4):110-114.WU Xiaotao.Evaluation of urban community emergency preparedness capability based on FAHP method[J].Disaster Science,2010,25(4):110-114.
[8]任国友.安全社区地震应急准备能力评价[J].中国劳动关系学院学报,2013,27(5):87-91.REN Guoyou.Evaluation of earthquake emergency preparedness capability of safe communities[J].Journal of China institute of labor relations,2013,27(5):87-91.
[9]邹清明,肖东生.基于模糊综合评价的城市社区应急管理脆弱性分析[J].南华大学学报(社会科学版),2013,14(1):55-60.ZOU Qingming,XIAO Dongsheng.Vulnerability analysis of urban community emergency management based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation[J].Journal of South China University(Social Science E-dition),2013,14(1):55-60.
[10]武安绪,吴培稚,胡新亮.基于GIS的震后应急快速反应与地震现场震情分析[J].西北地震学报,2005(S1):14-18,30.WU Anxu,WU Peizhi,HU Xinliang.Rapid response to post-earthquake emergencies and analysis of earthquake site seismic conditions based on GIS[J].China Earthquake Engineering Journal,2005(S1):14-18,30.
[11]陈飞,徐年,李伟.江苏地震应急指挥车VOIP网络的设计与实现[J].地震工程学报,2016,38(S2):236-239.CHEN Fei,XU Nian,LI Wei.Design and implementation of VOIPnetwork for jiangsu earthquake emergency command vehicle[J].China Earthquake Engineering Journal,2016,38(S2):236-239.
[12]吴红亚,郇战,顾卫杰.物联网技术在地震受困人员应急搜救中的应用研究[J].地震工程学报,2019(3):788-792,806.WU Hongya,HUAN Zhan,GU Weijie.Application research of Internet of things technology in emergency search and rescue for people trapped in earthquakes[J].China Earthquake Engineering Journal,2019(3):788-792,806.
[13]苏海花.基于Matlab层次分析法的震后恢复重建项目质量评价研究[J].地震工程学报,2019(3):793-799.SU Haihua.Research on post-earthquake reconstruction project quality evaluation based on Matlab analytic hierarchy process[J].China Earthquake Engineering Journal,2019(3):793-799.
[14]邢娟娟.应急准备文化的推进与实践[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(9):115-120.XING Juanjuan.Promotion and practice of emergency preparedness culture[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2011,7(9):115-120.
[15]邓砚,聂高众,苏桂武.地震应急的影响因素分析[J].灾害学,2005(2):27-33.DENG Yan,NIE Gaozhong,SU Guiwu.Analysis of influencing factors of earthquake emergency response[J].Disaster Science,2005(2):27-33.
[16]田林钢,马成功,王绪.基于AHP-熵权法的水利工程业主风险模糊评价[J].人民黄河,2017,39(12):117-122,130.TIAN Lingang,MA Chenggong,WANG Xu.Fuzzy risk assessment of water conservancy project owners based on ahp-entropy weight method[J].People’s Yellow River,2017,39(12):117-122,130.
[17]周英烈,史秀志,胡建华.基于可拓学物元模型的矿山紧急避险能力评价研究[J].安全与环境学报,2013,13(1):229-233.ZHOU Yinglie,SHI Xiuzhi,HU Jianhua.Evaluation study on mine emergency capacity based on extenics matter-element model[J].Journal of Safety and Environment,2013,13(1):229-233.