长江经济带城市环境可持续性政策的经济成效与适用性研究
|
摘要
基于文献梳理,城市环境可持续性政策的经济成效不能用单一的线性模型进行解释,可能受到政策属性和经济发展阶段的双重影响。通过对城市"十三五"规划文本进行开放性译码,实现了城市环境可持续性政策实施力度的定量化。以此为基础,建立了包含不同经济发展阶段和不同政策类型的门槛模型,定量分析了长江经济带地级及以上城市环境可持续性政策的经济成效。结果表明:不同类型的环境可持续性政策具有不同的经济成效,宜居环境政策、绿色经济政策的经济成效受到城市经济发展阶段的影响。总体上,处于经济发展初级阶段的城市应略微偏重于绿色经济政策和生态社会政策,处于经济发展高级阶段的城市应偏重于宜居环境政策和生态社会政策。
Based on literature review,it was concluded that the economic effects of urban environmental sustainability policies could not be explained by a single linear model,which may be influenced by both policy attributes and economic development stages.Through the liberal interpretation of the text of the"13 th Five-Year Plan"for the city,the implementation of the urban environmental sustainability policy was quantified.And based on this,a threshold regression model was established to cover different economic development stages and different policy types in order to perform quantitative analysis of the economic effects of environmental sustainability policies at the prefecture level and above in the Changjiang Economic Zone.The research results showed that different types of environmental sustainability policies had different economic effects,and the economic effects of livable environmental policies and green economic policies were affected by the stage of urban economic development.In general,cities in the primary stage of economic development should be slightly more focused on green economic policies and eco-social policies.Cities at the advanced stage of economic development should be more focused on livable environmental policies and eco-social policies.
Based on literature review,it was concluded that the economic effects of urban environmental sustainability policies could not be explained by a single linear model,which may be influenced by both policy attributes and economic development stages.Through the liberal interpretation of the text of the"13 th Five-Year Plan"for the city,the implementation of the urban environmental sustainability policy was quantified.And based on this,a threshold regression model was established to cover different economic development stages and different policy types in order to perform quantitative analysis of the economic effects of environmental sustainability policies at the prefecture level and above in the Changjiang Economic Zone.The research results showed that different types of environmental sustainability policies had different economic effects,and the economic effects of livable environmental policies and green economic policies were affected by the stage of urban economic development.In general,cities in the primary stage of economic development should be slightly more focused on green economic policies and eco-social policies.Cities at the advanced stage of economic development should be more focused on livable environmental policies and eco-social policies.
引文
[1]Elíasson L,Turnovsky S J. Renewable Resources in an Endogenously Growing Economy:Balanced Growth and Transitional Dynamics[J].Journal of Economic Growth,2003,115(6)∶213-241.
[2]Joshi S,Krishnan R,Lave L.Estimating the Hidden Costs of Environmental Regulation[J].Accounting Review,2001,76(2)∶171-198.
[3]Domazlicky B R,Weber W L.Does Environmental Protection Lead to Slower Productivity Growth in the Chemical Industry?[J].Environmental&Resource Economics,2004,28(3)∶301-324.
[4]Bovenberg A L,Smulders S A.Transitional Impacts of Environmental Policy in an Endogenous Growth Model[J]. International Economic Review,1996,37(4)∶861-893.
[5]曹凤中,吴迪,李京,等.循环经济本质的探讨[J].黑龙江环境通报,2008,32(3)∶1-2.
[6]强永昌.环境标准的经济效应与国际贸易[J].经济学动态,2002,(7)∶27-30.
[7]程中华,李廉水,刘军.环境规制与产业结构升级——基于中国城市动态空间面板模型的分析[J].中国科技论坛,2017,(2)∶66-72.
[8]程都,李钢.我国环境规制对经济发展影响的分析——基于《中国经济学人》的调查数据[J].河北大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2017,(5)∶96-108.
[9]朱志敏.青山绿水渐成海外引才“金名片”[J].中国人才,2013,(17)∶23-25.
[10]Lanoie P,Lucchetti J,Johnstone N,et al.Environmental Policy,Innovation and Performance:New Insights on the Porter Hypothesis[J].Journal of Economics and Management Strategy,2011,20(3)∶803-842.
[11]陈琪.环境绩效对提升企业经济绩效之关系——基于国外实证研究成果的分析[J].现代经济探讨,2013,(7)∶82-87.
[12]俞雅乖,张芳芳.环境保护中政府规制对企业绩效的影响:基于波特假说的分析[J].生态经济,2016,32(1)∶99-101,134.
[13]董立延.新世纪日本绿色经济发展战略——日本低碳政策与启示[J].自然辩证法研究,2012,28(11)∶65-71.
[14]舒绍福.绿色发展的环境政策革新:国际镜鉴与启示[J].改革,2016,(3)∶102-109.
[15]李社增,种项谭.选择和培育新的经济增长点——基于循环经济的思考[J].改革与战略,2011,27(5)∶37-39.
[16]张中华,张沛.西部欠发达山区绿色产业经济发展模式及有效路径[J].社会科学家,2015,(10)∶66-70.
[17]葛建军,韩龙.我国第三产业利润率的行业差异分析——基于分层线性模型与最小二乘法的比较[J].贵州财经学院学报,2010,(2)∶56-61.
[18]贾利军,王之润.行业利润率对贫富差距和通货膨胀影响的经济学分析[J].现代财经(天津财经大学学报),2010,(11)∶16-23.
[19]万建香,梅国平.社会资本可否激励经济增长与环境保护的双赢?[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2012,(7)∶61-75.
[20]高建刚.环保意识提升促进经济环境双赢发展的内生增长模型[J].数学的实践与认识,2016,46(17)∶50-57.
[21]骆玉葭.关于环境意识的经济学分析[J].环境保护,1998,(8)∶28-29.
[22]王玉娟,杨山,吴连霞.多元主体视角下城市人居环境需求异质性研究——以昆山经济技术开发区为例[J].地理科学,2018,38(7)∶1156-1164.
[23]许阳,王琪,孔德意.我国海洋环境保护政策的历史演进与结构特征——基于政策文本的量化分析[J].上海行政学院学报,2016,17(4)∶81-91.
[24]刘琼,高冉,欧名豪.基于内容分析法的土地利用总体规划目标偏好研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(4)∶16-22.
[25]杨志军,耿旭,王若雪.环境治理政策的工具偏好与路径优化——基于43个政策文本的内容分析[J].东北大学学报(社会科学版),2017,19(3)∶276-283.
[26]陈彦光,周一星.城市化Logistic过程的阶段划分及其空间解释——对Northam曲线的修正与发展[J].经济地理,2005,25(6)∶817-822.
[27]关皓明,翟明伟,刘大平,等.中国区域经济发展方式转变过程测度及特征分析[J].经济地理,2014,34(6)∶16-24.
[28]魏进平.基于区域创新系统的经济发展阶段划分与定量判断——以河北省为例[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2008,29(8)∶98-200.
[29]梁炜,任保平.中国经济发展阶段的评价及现阶段的特征分析[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2009,(4)∶3-18.
[30]王琨,闫伟.从贫困到富裕的跨越——经济发展阶段理论的研究进展[J].当代经济管理,2017,39(12)∶8-15.
[31]李晓西.中国经济的发展阶段研究[J].中央财经大学学报,2007,(3)∶50-56.
[32]王丰龙,曾刚.长江经济带研究综述与展望[J].世界地理研究,2017,26(2)∶62-71.
[33]Hansen B E.Sample Splitting and Threshold Estimation[J].Econometrica,2000,68(3)∶575-603.
[2]Joshi S,Krishnan R,Lave L.Estimating the Hidden Costs of Environmental Regulation[J].Accounting Review,2001,76(2)∶171-198.
[3]Domazlicky B R,Weber W L.Does Environmental Protection Lead to Slower Productivity Growth in the Chemical Industry?[J].Environmental&Resource Economics,2004,28(3)∶301-324.
[4]Bovenberg A L,Smulders S A.Transitional Impacts of Environmental Policy in an Endogenous Growth Model[J]. International Economic Review,1996,37(4)∶861-893.
[5]曹凤中,吴迪,李京,等.循环经济本质的探讨[J].黑龙江环境通报,2008,32(3)∶1-2.
[6]强永昌.环境标准的经济效应与国际贸易[J].经济学动态,2002,(7)∶27-30.
[7]程中华,李廉水,刘军.环境规制与产业结构升级——基于中国城市动态空间面板模型的分析[J].中国科技论坛,2017,(2)∶66-72.
[8]程都,李钢.我国环境规制对经济发展影响的分析——基于《中国经济学人》的调查数据[J].河北大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2017,(5)∶96-108.
[9]朱志敏.青山绿水渐成海外引才“金名片”[J].中国人才,2013,(17)∶23-25.
[10]Lanoie P,Lucchetti J,Johnstone N,et al.Environmental Policy,Innovation and Performance:New Insights on the Porter Hypothesis[J].Journal of Economics and Management Strategy,2011,20(3)∶803-842.
[11]陈琪.环境绩效对提升企业经济绩效之关系——基于国外实证研究成果的分析[J].现代经济探讨,2013,(7)∶82-87.
[12]俞雅乖,张芳芳.环境保护中政府规制对企业绩效的影响:基于波特假说的分析[J].生态经济,2016,32(1)∶99-101,134.
[13]董立延.新世纪日本绿色经济发展战略——日本低碳政策与启示[J].自然辩证法研究,2012,28(11)∶65-71.
[14]舒绍福.绿色发展的环境政策革新:国际镜鉴与启示[J].改革,2016,(3)∶102-109.
[15]李社增,种项谭.选择和培育新的经济增长点——基于循环经济的思考[J].改革与战略,2011,27(5)∶37-39.
[16]张中华,张沛.西部欠发达山区绿色产业经济发展模式及有效路径[J].社会科学家,2015,(10)∶66-70.
[17]葛建军,韩龙.我国第三产业利润率的行业差异分析——基于分层线性模型与最小二乘法的比较[J].贵州财经学院学报,2010,(2)∶56-61.
[18]贾利军,王之润.行业利润率对贫富差距和通货膨胀影响的经济学分析[J].现代财经(天津财经大学学报),2010,(11)∶16-23.
[19]万建香,梅国平.社会资本可否激励经济增长与环境保护的双赢?[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2012,(7)∶61-75.
[20]高建刚.环保意识提升促进经济环境双赢发展的内生增长模型[J].数学的实践与认识,2016,46(17)∶50-57.
[21]骆玉葭.关于环境意识的经济学分析[J].环境保护,1998,(8)∶28-29.
[22]王玉娟,杨山,吴连霞.多元主体视角下城市人居环境需求异质性研究——以昆山经济技术开发区为例[J].地理科学,2018,38(7)∶1156-1164.
[23]许阳,王琪,孔德意.我国海洋环境保护政策的历史演进与结构特征——基于政策文本的量化分析[J].上海行政学院学报,2016,17(4)∶81-91.
[24]刘琼,高冉,欧名豪.基于内容分析法的土地利用总体规划目标偏好研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(4)∶16-22.
[25]杨志军,耿旭,王若雪.环境治理政策的工具偏好与路径优化——基于43个政策文本的内容分析[J].东北大学学报(社会科学版),2017,19(3)∶276-283.
[26]陈彦光,周一星.城市化Logistic过程的阶段划分及其空间解释——对Northam曲线的修正与发展[J].经济地理,2005,25(6)∶817-822.
[27]关皓明,翟明伟,刘大平,等.中国区域经济发展方式转变过程测度及特征分析[J].经济地理,2014,34(6)∶16-24.
[28]魏进平.基于区域创新系统的经济发展阶段划分与定量判断——以河北省为例[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2008,29(8)∶98-200.
[29]梁炜,任保平.中国经济发展阶段的评价及现阶段的特征分析[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2009,(4)∶3-18.
[30]王琨,闫伟.从贫困到富裕的跨越——经济发展阶段理论的研究进展[J].当代经济管理,2017,39(12)∶8-15.
[31]李晓西.中国经济的发展阶段研究[J].中央财经大学学报,2007,(3)∶50-56.
[32]王丰龙,曾刚.长江经济带研究综述与展望[J].世界地理研究,2017,26(2)∶62-71.
[33]Hansen B E.Sample Splitting and Threshold Estimation[J].Econometrica,2000,68(3)∶575-603.