湖北省用水效率-经济发展系统耦合协调发展研究
|
摘要
利用系统分析方法构建用水效率-经济发展系统耦合协调发展指标体系,运用2005-2016年间的湖北省面板数据,基于耦合协调度模型对湖北省用水效率-经济发展系统耦合协调发展水平进行了实证分析。结果表明:2005-2016年,湖北省用水效率系统综合评价指数呈波动式递增的趋势,经济发展则呈良好的上升态势。湖北省用水效率-经济发展系统耦合度一直接近拐点值0.5,处于拮抗阶段。耦合协调度虽不断增加,但总体上较低,2016年也仅达到初级协调水平,处于向协调发展过渡的阶段。湖北省在提高水资源利用效率以及经济发展转型方面仍需做出更多努力,以实现水资源利用与经济的优质协调可持续发展。
Based on the coupling coordination model, an empirical analysis is made of the coupling coordination level of the system between water use efficiency and economic development in Hubei Province by constructing the coupling coordinated development index system of water use efficiency-economic development system and using the panel data in Hubei Province from 2005 to 2016. The results show that the evaluation index of water use efficiency system showed a fluctuated increase, while the evaluation index of economic development showed a good upward trend. The coupling degree of water use efficiency-economic development system was close to the inflection point value of 0.5, and was at the stage of resisting. The coupling coordination degree was generally low, although it was increasing. The coupling coordination degree only reached the level of primary coordination and was at the stage of transition to coordinated development. More efforts are still needed to improve the efficiency of water utilization and economic transition to achieve good coordination of water use efficiency-economic development system.
Based on the coupling coordination model, an empirical analysis is made of the coupling coordination level of the system between water use efficiency and economic development in Hubei Province by constructing the coupling coordinated development index system of water use efficiency-economic development system and using the panel data in Hubei Province from 2005 to 2016. The results show that the evaluation index of water use efficiency system showed a fluctuated increase, while the evaluation index of economic development showed a good upward trend. The coupling degree of water use efficiency-economic development system was close to the inflection point value of 0.5, and was at the stage of resisting. The coupling coordination degree was generally low, although it was increasing. The coupling coordination degree only reached the level of primary coordination and was at the stage of transition to coordinated development. More efforts are still needed to improve the efficiency of water utilization and economic transition to achieve good coordination of water use efficiency-economic development system.
引文
[1] 盖美, 王宇飞, 马国栋, 等. 辽宁沿海地区用水效率与经济的耦合协调发展评价[J]. 自然资源学报, 2013,28(12):2 081-2 094.
[2] 胡兆荣. 杭州市用水效率与经济耦合协调发展评价研究[J]. 水电能源科学, 2016,34(2):149-152.
[3] 孙爱军, 董增川, 张小艳. 中国城市经济与用水技术效率耦合协调度研究[J]. 资源科学, 2008,30(3):446-453.
[4] 常浩娟, 刘卫国, 吴琼. 玛纳斯河流域用水效率与产业结构耦合协调分析[J]. 人民长江, 2016,47(22):39-46.
[5] 贾绍凤, 张士锋, 杨红, 等. 工业用水与经济发展的关系——用水库兹涅茨曲线[J]. 自然资源学报, 2004,19(3):279-284.
[6] 潘安娥, 陈丽. 湖北省水资源利用与经济协调发展脱钩分析——基于水足迹视角[J]. 资源科学, 2014,36(2):328-333.
[7] 张晓京. 长江经济带湖北段水生态建设的问题、成因与对策[J]. 湖北社会科学, 2018,(2): 61-67.
[8] 耿芳, 董增川, 管希柯. 基于耦合协调度模型的南京市用水效率与经济发展关系[J]. 水利经济, 2017,35(1):21-25.
[9] 常玉苗. 水资源环境与城市生态经济系统耦合模型及评价[J]. 水电能源科学, 2018,36(2):55-58.
[10] 刘德强, 沙海江, 吴成亮. 中国省域生态经济系统耦合协调发展时空分异[J]. 江苏农业科学, 2018,46(5):338-342.
[2] 胡兆荣. 杭州市用水效率与经济耦合协调发展评价研究[J]. 水电能源科学, 2016,34(2):149-152.
[3] 孙爱军, 董增川, 张小艳. 中国城市经济与用水技术效率耦合协调度研究[J]. 资源科学, 2008,30(3):446-453.
[4] 常浩娟, 刘卫国, 吴琼. 玛纳斯河流域用水效率与产业结构耦合协调分析[J]. 人民长江, 2016,47(22):39-46.
[5] 贾绍凤, 张士锋, 杨红, 等. 工业用水与经济发展的关系——用水库兹涅茨曲线[J]. 自然资源学报, 2004,19(3):279-284.
[6] 潘安娥, 陈丽. 湖北省水资源利用与经济协调发展脱钩分析——基于水足迹视角[J]. 资源科学, 2014,36(2):328-333.
[7] 张晓京. 长江经济带湖北段水生态建设的问题、成因与对策[J]. 湖北社会科学, 2018,(2): 61-67.
[8] 耿芳, 董增川, 管希柯. 基于耦合协调度模型的南京市用水效率与经济发展关系[J]. 水利经济, 2017,35(1):21-25.
[9] 常玉苗. 水资源环境与城市生态经济系统耦合模型及评价[J]. 水电能源科学, 2018,36(2):55-58.
[10] 刘德强, 沙海江, 吴成亮. 中国省域生态经济系统耦合协调发展时空分异[J]. 江苏农业科学, 2018,46(5):338-342.