摘要
运用联合国粮食及农业组织(FAO)数据对世界主要谷物的产量与进出口贸易进行分析,通过对比认为玉米、小麦的产区和贸易区都很稳定成熟,大麦、高粱和燕麦略有变动,但总体而言中国对于谷物的进口量庞大,建议提高和稳定产量,并促进贸易发展,从国内生产和外贸两个层面满足中国谷物需求。
Using the FAO data to analyze the production and import and export of the world's major cereals, by comparison the authors thought that the producing and trade areas of maize and wheat were stable and mature, and there were some changes of barley, sorghum and oats. But in general, China's imports of cereals were huge, it was suggested to increase and stabilize output and to promote trade development to meet China's cereals demand from both domestic production and foreign trade.
引文
[1]陈蓉,傅新红.我国谷物消费变动趋势及影响因素分析[J].农村经济,2012(7):37-41.
[2]樊胜根,莫塞迪塔·索姆比拉,刘庆华.中国未来粮食供求预测的差别[J].中国农村观察,1997(3):19-25,37.
[3]习银生,杨皓森,张玉梅.中国玉米市场形势分析与未来10年展望[J].农业展望,2014(9):4-9.
[4]王新华,狄强.中国粮食进口影响因素的实证研究[J].统计与决策,2014(22):108-111.
[5]王雪娇.近年中国玉米进出口贸易格局转变及原因分析[J].农业经济与管理,2014(3):90-96.
[6]戴鹏.中国谷物进口影响因素分析[J].南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2014(6):26-33.
[7]王锐.我国粮食进口增长特征及影响因素分析———2003至2014年的实证研究[J].经济问题探索,2015(6):25-30.
[8]钟钰,陈博文,王立鹤,等.我国粮食进口对国际粮价的影响:“大国效应”的验证——以三大主粮为例[J].中国农业大学学报(社会科学版),2015(6):119-125.
[9]陈印军,肖碧林,王勇,等.中国谷物发展态势、展望与对策[J].农业经济问题,2008(7):27-32,110.