基于WAVEWATCHⅢ模型的可能最大台风浪的推算
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摘要
近几年,极端气象事件较为频繁,威胁了沿海核电厂的防洪安全,而关于可能最大台风浪的计算比较少。文中利用开发的程序,采用风浪数学模型WAVEWATCHⅢ计算了极端天气条件下某个核电厂区的可能最大台风浪,计算结果已经应用于该核电厂区的防洪安全设计中,取得了良好的效果。表明该计算方法能够较好地模拟台风过程波浪大小的变化,对可能最大台风浪的模拟较为准确。
In recent years, extreme weather events have occurred frequently, which threat the flood control safety of coastal nuclear power plants, while the calculation of the probable maximum typhoon waves is relatively small. By using the developed program, the mathematical model of typhoon wave WAVEWATCHⅢ was used to calculate the probable maximum typhoon waves in a nuclear power plant under extreme weather conditions,the calculation results have been applied to the flood control safety design of the nuclear power plant, and good results have been achieved. The results show that this method can simulate the variation of wave size in typhoon process, and it is accurate to simulate the probable maximum typhoon wave.
In recent years, extreme weather events have occurred frequently, which threat the flood control safety of coastal nuclear power plants, while the calculation of the probable maximum typhoon waves is relatively small. By using the developed program, the mathematical model of typhoon wave WAVEWATCHⅢ was used to calculate the probable maximum typhoon waves in a nuclear power plant under extreme weather conditions,the calculation results have been applied to the flood control safety design of the nuclear power plant, and good results have been achieved. The results show that this method can simulate the variation of wave size in typhoon process, and it is accurate to simulate the probable maximum typhoon wave.
引文
[1]丁赟.滨海核电可能最大台风浪的推算[J].海洋预报,2011,28(4):43-47.DING Yun. Estimation of probable maximum typhoon wave for coastal nuclear power plant[J]. Marine Forecasts, 2011, 28(4):43-47.
[2]王乐铭,刘建良.滨海核电站可能最大风暴潮(PMSS)研究[J].电力勘测,1999(2):49-53.WANG Le-ming, LIU Jian-liang. Research into PMSS of coastal nuclear power station[J]. Electric Power Survey&Design, 1999(2):49-53.
[3] TOLMAN H L. User manual and system documentation of WAVEWATCH-III version 3.14[M]. Environmental Modeling Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 2009.
[4] National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. ETOPO1[DB/OL].(2018-01-07). https://maps.ngdc.noaa.gov/viewers/wcs-client.
[5] National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder. NCEP climate forecast system reanalysis[DB/OL](2016-07).https://rda.ucar.edu/datasets/ds094.0/2016.07.
[6] HOLLAND G J. An analytic model of the wind and pressure profiles in hurricanes[J]. Monthly Weather Review, 1980, 108(8):1 212-1 218.
[2]王乐铭,刘建良.滨海核电站可能最大风暴潮(PMSS)研究[J].电力勘测,1999(2):49-53.WANG Le-ming, LIU Jian-liang. Research into PMSS of coastal nuclear power station[J]. Electric Power Survey&Design, 1999(2):49-53.
[3] TOLMAN H L. User manual and system documentation of WAVEWATCH-III version 3.14[M]. Environmental Modeling Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 2009.
[4] National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. ETOPO1[DB/OL].(2018-01-07). https://maps.ngdc.noaa.gov/viewers/wcs-client.
[5] National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder. NCEP climate forecast system reanalysis[DB/OL](2016-07).https://rda.ucar.edu/datasets/ds094.0/2016.07.
[6] HOLLAND G J. An analytic model of the wind and pressure profiles in hurricanes[J]. Monthly Weather Review, 1980, 108(8):1 212-1 218.