大型体育赛事在突发性地震灾害中的应对措施建模
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摘要
传统震后应急指挥系统应对大型体育赛事突发性地震灾害,未考虑到地震后接受能力不足时,如何解决伤员救助问题,且救援规划时间较长。所以该文提出新的大型体育赛事突发性地震灾害应对措施模型。设计震后任务优先权与时间约束来构建大型体育赛事突发地震灾害时限应急救援指派模型,为灾害地点指派救援队伍;考虑异地疏散的情况,设计GIS技术构建地震应急异地疏散接受能力判断模型,采用模型接口实现模型数据输入、分析与输出,集成地震应急异地疏散接受能力判断模型与GIS技术获取有效的震后地理空间数据,对大型体育赛事现场震后应急异地疏散接受能力做出判断。实验结果表明,所设计模型可有效指派大型体育赛事灾害现场应急救援队伍,应急异地疏散接受能力判断用时均值约为120 s,为大型体育赛事震后救援节约时间。
The traditional post-earthquake emergency command system can deal with the sudden earthquake disaster of large-scale sports events, but it does not consider how to solve the problem of casualty rescue when the post-earthquake acceptance capacity is insufficient, and the rescue planning time is long. A new large-scale earthquake emergency response model for sports events is proposed. Designing post-earthquake task priority and time constraints to construct a time-limited emergency rescue assignment model for large-scale sports events, assigning rescue teams to disaster sites; considering the situation of evacuation from other places, designing GIS technology to construct an earthquake emergency evacuation acceptance judgment model, using model interface to achieve model data input Analysis and output, integration of earthquake emergency evacuation acceptance model and GIS technology to obtain effective post-earthquake geospatial data, judgment of large-scale sports events on-site emergency evacuation acceptance, make a judgment. The experimental results show that the designed model can effectively assign emergency rescue teams for disaster scene of large-scale sports events, and the average time for emergency judgment of evacuation acceptance is about 120 seconds, which saves time for post-earthquake rescue of large-scale sports events.
The traditional post-earthquake emergency command system can deal with the sudden earthquake disaster of large-scale sports events, but it does not consider how to solve the problem of casualty rescue when the post-earthquake acceptance capacity is insufficient, and the rescue planning time is long. A new large-scale earthquake emergency response model for sports events is proposed. Designing post-earthquake task priority and time constraints to construct a time-limited emergency rescue assignment model for large-scale sports events, assigning rescue teams to disaster sites; considering the situation of evacuation from other places, designing GIS technology to construct an earthquake emergency evacuation acceptance judgment model, using model interface to achieve model data input Analysis and output, integration of earthquake emergency evacuation acceptance model and GIS technology to obtain effective post-earthquake geospatial data, judgment of large-scale sports events on-site emergency evacuation acceptance, make a judgment. The experimental results show that the designed model can effectively assign emergency rescue teams for disaster scene of large-scale sports events, and the average time for emergency judgment of evacuation acceptance is about 120 seconds, which saves time for post-earthquake rescue of large-scale sports events.
引文
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[12] 王东明, 朱达邈, 李永佳. 中国地震灾害损失调查评估培训系统在线考试子系统的设计与实现[J]. 地震研究, 2015, 38(3):508-516.
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[15] 陈志芬, 周健, 王家卓,等. 应急避难场所规划中避难人口预测的简便方法——以地震灾害为例[J]. 城市规划, 2016, 40(9):105-112.
[2] 张现成, 李成菊, 樊浩,等. 大型体育赛事举办中的社会问题、成因及对策[J]. 首都体育学院学报, 2015, 27(4):364-366.
[3] 谭映军, 马兴, 李运明,等. 灾害救援中医院层面应急计划的筹备与实施研究[J]. 重庆医学, 2017, 46(20):2861-2863.
[4] 张韶华, 杨昆, 刘涛,等. 地震应急辅助决策支持系统的设计与实现[J]. 测绘科学, 2015, 40(6):115-119.
[5] 王晓青, 窦爱霞, 丁香,等. 地震烈度应急遥感评估研究与应用进展[J]. 地球信息科学学报, 2015, 17(12):1536-1544.
[6] Lahham S, Baydoun J, Bailey J, et al. A prospective evaluation of transverse tracheal sonography during emergent intubation by emergency medicine resident physicians.[J]. Journal of Ultrasound in Medicine, 2017, 36(10):2079-2081.
[7] 郭红梅, 张莹, 陈维锋,等. 多因素控制的城镇地震灾害应急处置模型研究[J]. 震灾防御技术, 2017, 12(4):882-892.
[8] 吴绍洪, 靳京, 郑景云. 中国地震灾害中“伤亡比”指标的估算[J]. 地理科学进展, 2015, 34(7):918-925.
[9] WEN C, XUE F S, LIU Y Y, et al. Use of emergency surgery score to predict adverse outcomes after emergent laparotomies[J]. Surgery, 2017, 163(2):483-486.
[10] 周辉. 地震数据中杂波干扰数据的优化检测仿真研究[J]. 计算机仿真, 2016, 33(5):326-329.
[11] 宋建功, 王之欣, 李勤勇,等. 面向地震应急响应的互联网信息处理[J]. 北京航空航天大学学报, 2017, 43(6):1155-1164.
[12] 王东明, 朱达邈, 李永佳. 中国地震灾害损失调查评估培训系统在线考试子系统的设计与实现[J]. 地震研究, 2015, 38(3):508-516.
[13] Nuti C, Vanzi I. Assessment of post‐earthquake availability of hospital system and upgrading strategies[J]. Earthquake Engineering & Structural Dynamics, 2015, 27(12):1403-1423.
[14] 陈建伟, 陈艳华, 苏幼坡,等. 重大地震灾害应急救援的基本方式——自救、互救与公救[J]. 世界地震工程, 2015, 31(2):114-118.
[15] 陈志芬, 周健, 王家卓,等. 应急避难场所规划中避难人口预测的简便方法——以地震灾害为例[J]. 城市规划, 2016, 40(9):105-112.