长江经济带城市经济-社会-环境耦合协调发展的动态演化与分析
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摘要
为探究区域发展的可持续性,在研究系统耦合协调评价体系的基础上,构建一个兼顾经济发展、社会进步与生态环境建设,适宜大区域、多城市的综合评价体系,并从时空两个纬度对长江经济带沿线109个地级以上城市2000～2015年经济-社会-环境耦合协调发展状况进行评估。结果表明:长江经济带经济-社会-环境总体耦合协调性较好,在15年间由初级协调向中级协调转变,但是其耦合发展具有明显的区域异质性,具体表现为东部优于西部,省会城市具有明显优势。同时还指出,在长江经济带耦合协调发展过程中,经济发展起最重要作用,而生态环境是发展的基石。由此,提出要提升人力资本、推进基础设施建设、推动区域间共同治理和保护生态环境等一系列政策建议。
In order to study regional sustainable development, this paper established a comprehensive evaluation system for large regions, which included economic development, social progress and ecological environment. The coupling and coordinated development of the Yangtze River Economic Belt(YREB) was evaluated from two latitudes of time and space based on the relevant data of 109 cities in the YREB from 2000 to 2015. The results pointed out that the integral coordinated development of the YREB was better than before, and it has changed from primary coordination to intermediate coordination during the past fifteen years. The results also showed obvious regional differences: the east was superior to the west, and the provincial capital cities had evident advantages. Meanwhile, the results indicated that the economic development played the most important role in the process of coupling coordination development of the YREB, and the ecological environment was the cornerstone. Based on the aforementioned findings, relevant strategies should be put forward from the aspects of developing human capital, building infrastructure, jointly governing and protecting the ecological environment.
In order to study regional sustainable development, this paper established a comprehensive evaluation system for large regions, which included economic development, social progress and ecological environment. The coupling and coordinated development of the Yangtze River Economic Belt(YREB) was evaluated from two latitudes of time and space based on the relevant data of 109 cities in the YREB from 2000 to 2015. The results pointed out that the integral coordinated development of the YREB was better than before, and it has changed from primary coordination to intermediate coordination during the past fifteen years. The results also showed obvious regional differences: the east was superior to the west, and the provincial capital cities had evident advantages. Meanwhile, the results indicated that the economic development played the most important role in the process of coupling coordination development of the YREB, and the ecological environment was the cornerstone. Based on the aforementioned findings, relevant strategies should be put forward from the aspects of developing human capital, building infrastructure, jointly governing and protecting the ecological environment.
引文
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[14] 姜磊,周海峰,柏玲. 长江中游城市群经济-城市-社会-环境耦合度空间差异分析[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2017, 26(5):649-656.JIANG L, ZHOU H F, BAI L. Urban agglomeration of the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, economic, urban, social and environmental coupling degree spatial difference analysis [J]. Resources and Environment of the Yangtze River Basin, 2017, 26(5): 649-656.
[15] 彭博,方虹,李静,等.中国区域经济-社会-环境的耦合协调度发展研究[J].生态经济,2017,33(10):43-47,75.PENG B, FANG H, LI J, et al. Research on the development of coupling coordination degree of regional economy, society and environment in China [J].Eco-economy, 2017,33(10): 43-47,75.
[16] LI Y F, LI Y, ZHOU Y,et al. Investigation of a coupling model of coordination between urbanization and the environment[J]. Journal of Environmental Management,2012,98:127-133.
[17] SUN Y, CUI Y. Evaluating the coordinated development of economic, social and environmental benefits of urban public transportation infrastructure: Case study of four Chinese autonomous municipalities[J]. Transport Policy,2018,66:116-126.
[18] SUN Q, ZHANG X H, ZHANG H W,et al. Coordinated development of a coupled social economy and resource environment system: A case study in Henan Province, China[J]. Environment, Development and Sustainability,2018,20(3):1385-1404.
[19] ZHOU D, XU J C, LIN Z L. Conflict or coordination? Assessing land use multi-functionalization using production-living-ecology analysis[J]. Science of the Total Environment,2017,577:136-147.
[20] 张蓉. 区域生态环境与经济耦合协调发展的评价研究[D].重庆:西南大学, 2015.ZHANG R. Evaluation study on the coupling and coordinated development of regional ecological environment and economy [D]. Chongqing:Southwestern University, 2015.
[21] 黄娟. 生态经济协调发展思想研究[M]. 北京:中国社会科学出版社,2008:50-70.HUANG J. Study on the idea of coordinated development of ecological economy [M]. Beijing: China Social Sciences Press, 2008:50-70.
[22] 孙才志,李红新.基于AHP-PP模型的大连市水资源可持续利用水平评价[J]. 水资源与水工程学报, 2007(5):1-5.SUN C Z, LI H X.The sustainable utilization of water resources evaluation of the level of Dalian based on AHP-PP model[J]. Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering, 2007(5):1-5.
[23] 方创琳,周成虎,王振波. 长江经济带城市群可持续发展战略问题与分级梯度发展重点[J]. 地理科学进展,2015(11):1398-1408.FANG C L, ZHOU C H, WANG Z B. The strategic problem of sustainable development of the urban agglomeration in the Yangtze Economic Belt and the focus of graded gradient development [J]. Geo Science Progress, 2015(11): 1398-1408.
[24] 廖重斌. 环境与经济协调发展的定量评判及其分类体系——以珠江三角洲城市群为例[J]. 热带地理,1999(2):76-82.LIAO C B. Quantitative evaluation and classification system of harmonious development of environment and economy Taking the urban agglomeration of the Pearl River Delta as an example[J].Tropical Geography, 1999 (2): 76-82.
[2] 《长江经济带发展规划纲要》正式印发[J].城市规划通讯. 2016(18).“Outline of the Yangtze River economic belt development plan” officially issued the [J]. Urban Planning Newsletter. 2016(18).
[3] 王维.长江经济带生态保护与经济发展耦合协调发展格局研究[J].湖北社会科学,2018(1):73-80.WANG W. Study on the coupling and coordinative development pattern of ecological protection and economic development in the Yangtze River Economic Belt[J].Hubei Social Sciences, 2018 (1): 73-80.
[4] 刘玉凤. 长江经济带经济发展与环境质量的协调性研究[D].江西财经大学,2017.LIU Y F. Coordination of economic development and environmental quality in the Yangtze River Economic Belt [D]. Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, 2017.
[5] 时朋飞,李星明,熊元斌.区域美丽中国建设与旅游业发展耦合关联性测度及前景预测——以长江经济带11省市为例[J].中国软科学,2018(2):86-102.SHI P F, LI X M, XIONG Y B. Coupling correlation measure and prospect forecast of regional beautiful China construction and tourism development: A case study of 11 Provinces and cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt [J].China Soft Science, 2018 (2): 86-102.
[6] 周成,冯学钢,唐睿.区域经济—生态环境—旅游产业耦合协调发展分析与预测——以长江经济带沿线各省市为例[J].经济地理,2016,36(3):186-193.ZHOU C, FENG X G,TANG R. Analysis and prediction of the coupling and coordinated development of regional economy, ecological environment and tourism industry Taking provinces and cities along the Yangtze River economic belt as an example[J]. Economic Geography, 2016(3): 186-193.
[7] 严翔,成长春,周亮基.长江经济带经济发展-创新能力-生态环境耦合协调发展研究[J].科技管理研究,2017,37(19):85-93. YAN X, CHENG C C, ZHOU L J. Study on the coupling and coordinative development of economic development-innovation ability-ecological environment in the Yangtze River Economic Zone [J].Science and Technology Management Research, 2017,37 (19): 85-93.
[8] 王维.长江经济带“4E”协调发展时空格局研究[J].地理科学,2017,37(9):1354-1362.WANG W. The spatial and temporal pattern of coordinated development of “4E” in the Yangtze River Economic Belt [J]. Geographical Science, 2017,37 (9): 1354-1362.
[9] 周宏等.现代汉语辞海[M].北京:光明日报出版社,2003:820-821.ZHOU H, et al. Modern Chinese dictionary [M]. Beijing: Guangming Daily Press, 2003:820-821.
[10] 逯进,常虹,汪运波.中国区域能源、经济与环境耦合的动态演化[J].中国人口·资源与环境, 2017(2):60-68.LU J, CHANG H, WANG Y B. Dynamic evolution of China’s regional energy, economic and environmental coupling [J]. Population, Resources and Environment in China, 2017(2):60-68.
[11] 肖欢,周晓波.西北五省区域经济——环境系统耦合空间差异动态演化分析[J].生态经济(学术版),2014(1):171-177.XIAO H, ZHOU X B. The dynamic evolution of the spatial difference of regional economic environment system in the five provinces of Northwest China, [J]. Ecological Economy (Academic Edition), 2014(1):171-177.
[12] 许振宇,贺建林,刘望保.湖南省生态—经济系统耦合协调发展探析[J].生态学杂志,2008,27(2):300-304XU Z Y, HE J L, LIU W B. The coupling and coordinated development of eco economic system in Hunan Province [J]. Journal of Ecology, 2008, 27(2):300-304.
[13] 王搏.基于耦合模型的我国区域经济与生态环境协调发展动态研究[D].长沙:湖南大学,2014.WANG B. Dynamic research on the coordinated development of regional economy and ecological environment in China based on coupling model [D]. Shangsha: Hunan University, 2014.
[14] 姜磊,周海峰,柏玲. 长江中游城市群经济-城市-社会-环境耦合度空间差异分析[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2017, 26(5):649-656.JIANG L, ZHOU H F, BAI L. Urban agglomeration of the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, economic, urban, social and environmental coupling degree spatial difference analysis [J]. Resources and Environment of the Yangtze River Basin, 2017, 26(5): 649-656.
[15] 彭博,方虹,李静,等.中国区域经济-社会-环境的耦合协调度发展研究[J].生态经济,2017,33(10):43-47,75.PENG B, FANG H, LI J, et al. Research on the development of coupling coordination degree of regional economy, society and environment in China [J].Eco-economy, 2017,33(10): 43-47,75.
[16] LI Y F, LI Y, ZHOU Y,et al. Investigation of a coupling model of coordination between urbanization and the environment[J]. Journal of Environmental Management,2012,98:127-133.
[17] SUN Y, CUI Y. Evaluating the coordinated development of economic, social and environmental benefits of urban public transportation infrastructure: Case study of four Chinese autonomous municipalities[J]. Transport Policy,2018,66:116-126.
[18] SUN Q, ZHANG X H, ZHANG H W,et al. Coordinated development of a coupled social economy and resource environment system: A case study in Henan Province, China[J]. Environment, Development and Sustainability,2018,20(3):1385-1404.
[19] ZHOU D, XU J C, LIN Z L. Conflict or coordination? Assessing land use multi-functionalization using production-living-ecology analysis[J]. Science of the Total Environment,2017,577:136-147.
[20] 张蓉. 区域生态环境与经济耦合协调发展的评价研究[D].重庆:西南大学, 2015.ZHANG R. Evaluation study on the coupling and coordinated development of regional ecological environment and economy [D]. Chongqing:Southwestern University, 2015.
[21] 黄娟. 生态经济协调发展思想研究[M]. 北京:中国社会科学出版社,2008:50-70.HUANG J. Study on the idea of coordinated development of ecological economy [M]. Beijing: China Social Sciences Press, 2008:50-70.
[22] 孙才志,李红新.基于AHP-PP模型的大连市水资源可持续利用水平评价[J]. 水资源与水工程学报, 2007(5):1-5.SUN C Z, LI H X.The sustainable utilization of water resources evaluation of the level of Dalian based on AHP-PP model[J]. Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering, 2007(5):1-5.
[23] 方创琳,周成虎,王振波. 长江经济带城市群可持续发展战略问题与分级梯度发展重点[J]. 地理科学进展,2015(11):1398-1408.FANG C L, ZHOU C H, WANG Z B. The strategic problem of sustainable development of the urban agglomeration in the Yangtze Economic Belt and the focus of graded gradient development [J]. Geo Science Progress, 2015(11): 1398-1408.
[24] 廖重斌. 环境与经济协调发展的定量评判及其分类体系——以珠江三角洲城市群为例[J]. 热带地理,1999(2):76-82.LIAO C B. Quantitative evaluation and classification system of harmonious development of environment and economy Taking the urban agglomeration of the Pearl River Delta as an example[J].Tropical Geography, 1999 (2): 76-82.