基于D-ANP的厦门自贸区建设区域性国际金融中心关键因素分析
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摘要
中国(福建)自由贸易区厦门片区的设立,将促进厦门的国际经贸合作,增加对本土金融服务的需求,无疑为厦门建设区域性国际金融中心带来良好的发展契机。本研究采用以决策实验室法为基础的网络分析法(D-ANP),对影响区域性国际金融中心建设的因素进行分析,认为经济总量、经济潜力、开放程度、金融国际化、利用外资、金融规模是影响厦门自贸区建设区域性国际金融中心的关键因素。此外,通过因果图显示,在资源有限的情况下,欲有效改善关键因素的绩效表现,可以首先考虑从金融国际化着手改善。最后,本研究基于以上分析,对厦门自贸区建设区域性国际金融中心提出相关对策。
The establishment of the Xiamen area of China(Fujian) Free Trade Zone will promote Xiamen's international economic and trade cooperation and increase the demand for local financial services, which will undoubtedly bring good development opportunities for Xiamen to build a regional international financial center. This study uses the network analysis method(D-ANP) based on the decisionmaking laboratory method to analyze the factors affecting the construction of regional international financial centers, and considers the total economic volume, economic potential, openness, financial internationalization, and utilization of foreign capital. The financial scale is a key factor affecting the construction of a regional international financial center in the Xiamen Free Trade Zone. In addition,through the causal map, in the case of limited resources, in order to effectively improve the performance of key factors, we can first consider improving from financial internationalization. Finally, based on the above analysis, this study proposes relevant countermeasures for the construction of a regional international financial center in the Xiamen Free Trade Zone.
The establishment of the Xiamen area of China(Fujian) Free Trade Zone will promote Xiamen's international economic and trade cooperation and increase the demand for local financial services, which will undoubtedly bring good development opportunities for Xiamen to build a regional international financial center. This study uses the network analysis method(D-ANP) based on the decisionmaking laboratory method to analyze the factors affecting the construction of regional international financial centers, and considers the total economic volume, economic potential, openness, financial internationalization, and utilization of foreign capital. The financial scale is a key factor affecting the construction of a regional international financial center in the Xiamen Free Trade Zone. In addition,through the causal map, in the case of limited resources, in order to effectively improve the performance of key factors, we can first consider improving from financial internationalization. Finally, based on the above analysis, this study proposes relevant countermeasures for the construction of a regional international financial center in the Xiamen Free Trade Zone.
引文
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[2] Liu L C.Strange R. An empirical ranking of international financial centers inAsia-Pacific region[J]. The International Executive. 1997(2):651-674.
[3] OuYang Y P, Shieh H M, Leu J D, et al. A novel hybrid MCDM model combined with DEMATEL and ANP with applications[J]. International Journal of Operations Research, 2008(3):160-168.
[4] Saaty T L. Decision Making with Dependence and Feedback:The Analytic Network Process[M]. Pittsburgh:RWS Publication, 1996.
[5] Truchon M. Borda and the maximum likelihood approach to vote aggregation[J].Mathematical Social Sciences, 2008(1):96-102.
[6] Tzeng G H, Huang J J. Multiple Attribute Decision Making:Methods and Application[M]. Boca Raton:CRC Press,2011.
[7] Zhao X B, Zhang L. Wang D T. Determining factors of the development of a national financial center:The case of China[J].Geoforum, 2004(5):577-592.
[8] Zhao S X. The centennial competition of global financial centers:Key determinants and the rise of China's financial center[Z]. Working paper 2010-04 for RSA Annual Conference. No. T10:23:49Z, 2010.
[9]胡列曲.夏凡.区域性国际金融中心评价指标体系:对昆明和周边主要城市的比较与评价[J].云南财经大学学报,2012(6):91-98.
[10]梁小珍,杨丰梅.部慧.等.基于城市竞争力评价的我国多层次金融中心体系[J].系统工程理论与实践,2011(10):1847-1857.
[11]倪鹏飞,孙承平.中国城市金融中心的定位研究[J].财贸经济,2005(2):17-22.
[12]苏捷斯.基于德尔菲法的国际金融中心评价指标体系构建[J].科技管理研究.2010(12):60-62.
[13]新华·道琼斯国际金融中心发展指数报告(2014)[R].上海:国家金融信息中心指数研究院,标普·道琼斯指数有限公司,2014.
[14]杨再斌,匡霞.上海国际金融中心建设条件的量化研究[J].华东理工大学学报(社会科学版),2004(1):27-32.
[15]中国(深圳)综合开发研究院.中国金融中心指数(CDI·CFCI)报告(第八期)[R].北京:中国经济出版社,2016.