摘要
Lanchester方程和Monte Carlo方法是作战模拟的常用方法,前者按取均值的方法处理作战过程,忽略了各种因素随时间的差异性,降低了模拟精度;后者对细节的要求较高,使问题变得复杂难解。结合两种方法,既充分考虑了作战问题的宏观规律性和局部共性,也顾及了其中关键因素的微观差异性和随机性,在火力毁伤效能模拟评估问题的应用研究中有较好的表现。
Lanchester equation and monte carlo method are both regarded as the frequently used methods in operational simulation area. To the former,the otherness of kinds of factors would be ignored and simulation precision would be reduced in operational processing by the way of mean value.To the latter,great complexity would be presented because of the high requirements to details. By combination of the two methods,the macroscopic law and local similarity of operational problem are fully considered,meanwhile,the same to the microcosmic otherness and randomness of key factors.And it also shows good behavior in dealing with the problem of fire damage simulated evaluation.
引文
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