炮兵打击集群目标毁伤程度预测分析
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摘要
通过对射击幅员、射弹、毁伤幅员的散布规律进行分析,运用数学方法,较为准确地预测了炮兵对集群目标的毁伤程度。首先,将目标毁伤程度划分为摧毁目标、压制目标、疲惫目标三个等级;然后,建立射弹散布坐标系、分析射击幅员大小和毁伤幅员散布规律;最后,通过计算炮兵覆盖集群目标的概率和毁伤目标的条件概率,建立目标毁伤程度预测模型。实例分析表明,该模型能够对集群目标的毁伤程度进行预测,为指挥员定下战斗决心提供一种有效的辅助手段。
This paper analyzes the scattering regularity of the shooting space,the bomb and the damage space,and uses the mathematical method to accurately predict the damage degree of the artillery on the cluster target. Firstly,the damage degree is divided into three levels: destroy target,damage target and tired target. Then,set up the scattered coordinate system of bomb,analyze the scattering regularity of the shooting space and the damage space. Finally,by calculating the probability of the artillery coverage the target and the conditional probability of damage targets,we established the prediction model of target damage degree.The example analysis shows that the model can predict the degree of damage to the cluster target,and provide an effective auxiliary means for the commander to set up combat determination.
This paper analyzes the scattering regularity of the shooting space,the bomb and the damage space,and uses the mathematical method to accurately predict the damage degree of the artillery on the cluster target. Firstly,the damage degree is divided into three levels: destroy target,damage target and tired target. Then,set up the scattered coordinate system of bomb,analyze the scattering regularity of the shooting space and the damage space. Finally,by calculating the probability of the artillery coverage the target and the conditional probability of damage targets,we established the prediction model of target damage degree.The example analysis shows that the model can predict the degree of damage to the cluster target,and provide an effective auxiliary means for the commander to set up combat determination.
引文
[1]李质明,等.炮兵射击理论[M].长沙:国防科技大学出版社,2003.
[2]总参兵种部.陆军战役战术火力毁伤教程[M].北京:解放军出版社,2003.
[3]总参军训部.炮兵射击基础理论[M].北京:解放军出版社,2014.
[4]总参军训部.炮兵射击基础理论[M].北京:解放军出版社,2014.
[5]高天喜,刘怡昕,崔兴好.单炮射击效率评定的像素表示法[J].测试技术学报,2004(18):1.
[2]总参兵种部.陆军战役战术火力毁伤教程[M].北京:解放军出版社,2003.
[3]总参军训部.炮兵射击基础理论[M].北京:解放军出版社,2014.
[4]总参军训部.炮兵射击基础理论[M].北京:解放军出版社,2014.
[5]高天喜,刘怡昕,崔兴好.单炮射击效率评定的像素表示法[J].测试技术学报,2004(18):1.