自然环境污染对农业经济的负面作用分析研究
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  • 英文篇名:Analysis on Negative Effects of Natural Environment Pollution on Agricultural Economy
  • 作者:赵洁
  • 英文作者:Zhao Jie;School of Accounting and Finance, Xi'an Peihua University;
  • 关键词:自然环境污染 ; 农业经济 ; 负面作用 ; 预测
  • 英文关键词:natural environment pollution;;agricultural economy;;negative effect;;prediction
  • 中文刊名:BFHJ
  • 英文刊名:Environmental Science and Management
  • 机构:西安培华学院会计与金融学院;
  • 出版日期:2019-03-15
  • 出版单位:环境科学与管理
  • 年:2019
  • 期:v.44;No.256
  • 语种:中文;
  • 页:BFHJ201903016
  • 页数:4
  • CN:03
  • ISSN:23-1532/X
  • 分类号:75-78
摘要
随着农业经济的快速发展,粗放型的发展模式对环境污染产生了较大的影响,为了定量分析自然环境污染对农业经济的影响。提出基于主成分博弈的自然环境污染对农业经济的负面作用量化分析模型,构建自然环境污染对经济负面影响的描述性统计变量,采用全样本回归检验分析方法进行农业经济负面效应的相关性分析。设计的模型能准确预测自然环境污染对农业经济的负面作用,量化分析结果置信度较高,需要着力改善农业经济发展模式,降低环境污染,促进农业经济的可持续增长。
        With the rapid development of agricultural economy, extensive development mode has a great impact on environmental pollution. In order to quantitatively analyze the impact of natural environment pollution on agricultural economy, this paper takes environmental pollution to agricultural food safety, soil output benefit and agricultural products added value as constraint variables, this paper constructs the principal component game analysis model of the negative effect of natural environment pollution on agricultural economy. The results of sample regression analysis were used to quantitatively analyze the inhibition of environmental pollution on agricultural economic growth and to realize the quantitative regression prediction of the negative impact of agricultural economy with nonlinear forecasting method. The results of empirical analysis show that the designed model can accurately predict the negative effects of natural environment pollution on agricultural economy, and the quantitative analysis results have high confidence, so it is necessary to improve the development mode of agricultural economy and reduce environmental pollution. The study promotes the sustainable growth of the agricultural economy.
引文
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