新乡市空气质量数值预报系统及重污染过程模拟分析
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摘要
介绍河南省新乡市空气质量数值预报系统,该平台应用嵌套网格空气质量模式系统(NAQPMS)和第3代空气质量模式(CMAQ),实现自动化运行;基于该系统平台,分析华北-华中地区大范围的PM_(2.5)重污染事件,评估其对重污染过程的预报效果。结果表明:数值模式系统较好地预报出本次污染过程,尤其是NAQPMS模式,较为准确的预报出污染时段和污染物的浓度水平。
Air quality numerical forecasting service system of Xinxiang city, Henan province was conducted operationally. Two air quality numerical models, nested air quality prediction modeling system(NAQPMS) and community multiscale air quality(CMAQ) were employed to realize automatic operation. A severe PM_(2.5) polluted episode over north and middle China was analyzed based on the platform to eualuate the forecast effect. The results show that the model system can reproduce this episode well, with good relationship between observation and simulation,especially NAQPMS model, which can predict accurately period of the event and the concentration level of pollutants.
Air quality numerical forecasting service system of Xinxiang city, Henan province was conducted operationally. Two air quality numerical models, nested air quality prediction modeling system(NAQPMS) and community multiscale air quality(CMAQ) were employed to realize automatic operation. A severe PM_(2.5) polluted episode over north and middle China was analyzed based on the platform to eualuate the forecast effect. The results show that the model system can reproduce this episode well, with good relationship between observation and simulation,especially NAQPMS model, which can predict accurately period of the event and the concentration level of pollutants.
引文
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[3]WANG L T,WEI Z,WEI W,et al.Source apportionment of PM2.5in top polluted cities in Hebei,China using the CMAQ model[J].Atmospheric Environment,2015,122:723-736.
[4]BONYOUNG K,ELADIO K,GREG Y.1.5-Dimensional volatility basis set approach for modeling organic aerosol in CAMx and CMAQ[J].Atmospheric Environment,2014,95:158-164.
[5]LI N,HE Q Y,TIE X X,et al.Quantifying sources of elemental carbon over the Guanzhong Basin of China:a consistent network of measurements and WRF-Chem modeling[J].Environmental Pollution,2016,214:86-93.
[6]王自发,吴其重,GBAGUIDIA,等.北京空气质量多模式集成预报系统的建立及初步应用[J].南京信息工程大学学报(自然科学版),2009,1(1):19-26.
[7]徐文帅,李云婷,吴其重,等.AQI标准下北京市空气质量数值预报系统及其在重大活动保障中的应用[J].中国环境监测,2016,32(2):11-19.
[8]程念亮,李红霞,孟凡,等.山东省空气质量预报平台设计及其预报效果评估[J].环境污染与防治,2015,37(9):92-99.
[9]苏枞枞.应用嵌套网格模式系统对沈阳市环境空气质量的数值模拟研究[J].北方环境,2013,29(4):58-61.
[10]河南省环境保护厅.河南省环境保护厅关于印发河南省环境空气质量预报预警试行方案的通知[EB/OL].(2015-04-16)[2017-08-01].http://www.hnep.gov.cn/tabid/435/Info ID/15739/Default.aspx.
[11]中国环境监测总站,环境空气质量预报预警方法技术指南[M].北京:中国环境出版社,2014.
[12]中国环境监测总站.环境空气质量预报信息交换技术指南(试行)[EB/OL].(2015-03-09)[2017-08-01].http://www.cnemc.cn/publish/117/news/news_44295.html.
[13]中国环境监测总站.环境空气质量可视化预报会商技术指南(试行)[EB/OL].(2015-03-09)[2017-08-01].http://www.cnemc.cn/publish/117/news/news_44299.html.
[14]中国环境监测总站.环境空气质量数值预报模式源清单技术指南(试行)[EB/OL].(2015-03-09)[2017-08-01].http://www.cnemc.cn/publish/total Web Site/news/news_44325.html.
[15]环境保护部办公厅.关于征求《大气细颗粒物(PM2.5)源排放清单编制技术指南(试行)》(征求意见稿)等8项环境保护部文件意见的函[EB/OL].(2014-01-17)[2017-08-01].http://www.zhb.gov.cn/gkml/hbb/bgth/201401/t20140124_266910.html.