“一带一路”沿线贸易便利化对中国西部的出口贸易效应——以四川省为例
|
摘要
以中国西部地区发展的领头羊四川省为例,以"一带一路"沿线57个国家2016年截面数据作为样本,通过拓展的贸易引力模型,测度了"一带一路"沿线经济体贸易便利化程度对中国西部地区的出口贸易效应。结果表明",一带一路"沿线国家贸易便利化对我国西部地区具有显著的出口贸易效应。从各分指标来看,基础设施的影响最为显著。此外,制度环境与商品流通率也通过了显著性检验。最后,对西部地区如何与"一带一路"沿线区域进行深度合作提出建议。
Taking Sichuan Province,the leader in the development of Chinas western region,as an example,take the 2016 crosssection data of 57 countries along the route of "Belt and Road" as a sample,through the expanded trade gravity model,This paper measures the effect of trade facilitation degree of economy along Belt and Road on export trade in western China. The results show that the trade facilitation of the countries along Belt and Road has a significant export trade effect on the western region of China.From the point of view of the sub-indicators,the impact of infrastructure is the most significant. In addition,the institutional environment and commodity circulation rate also passed the significance test. Finally,some suggestions on how to cooperate with Belt and Road in the western region are put forward.
Taking Sichuan Province,the leader in the development of Chinas western region,as an example,take the 2016 crosssection data of 57 countries along the route of "Belt and Road" as a sample,through the expanded trade gravity model,This paper measures the effect of trade facilitation degree of economy along Belt and Road on export trade in western China. The results show that the trade facilitation of the countries along Belt and Road has a significant export trade effect on the western region of China.From the point of view of the sub-indicators,the impact of infrastructure is the most significant. In addition,the institutional environment and commodity circulation rate also passed the significance test. Finally,some suggestions on how to cooperate with Belt and Road in the western region are put forward.
引文
[1]陈希,沈玉良,彭羽.关于跨境电子商务的贸易便利化改革思考[J].国际贸易,2016,(9):23-27.
[2]程欣.“一带一路”背景下我国贸易便利化水平及发展策略[J].中国流通经济,2016,30(6):110-116.
[3]胡颖.“贸易便利化”的学术论争与中国的改革路径[J].国际商务(对外经济贸易大学学报),2016,(1):119-127.
[4]孔庆峰,董虹蔚.“一带一路”国家的贸易便利化水平测算与贸易潜力研究[J].国际贸易问题,2015,(12):158-168.
[5]李豫新,郭颖慧.边境贸易便利化水平对中国新疆维吾尔自治区边境贸易流量的影响---基于贸易引力模型的实证分析[J].国际贸易问题,2013,(10):120-128.
[6]刘卫东.“一带一路”战略的科学内涵与科学问题[J].地理科学进展,2015,34(5):538-544.
[7]刘宇,吕郢康,全水萍.“一带一路”战略下贸易便利化的经济影响---以中哈贸易为例的GTAP模型研究[J].经济评论,2016,(6):70-83.
[8]罗翊烜,扈钟方.贸易便利化与中国“一带一路”建设选择---基于沿线亚洲国家面板数据和引力模型的实证分析[J].商业经济研究,2017,(23):131-134.
[9]毛艳华,杨思维.21世纪海上丝绸之路贸易便利化合作与能力建设[J].国际经贸探索,2015,(1):101-112.
[10]盛斌.WTO《贸易便利化协定》评估及对中国的影响研究[J].国际贸易,2016,(1):4-13.
[11]孙林,倪卡卡.东盟贸易便利化对中国农产品出口影响及国际比较---基于面板数据模型的实证分析[J].国际贸易问题,2013,(4).
[12]谭晶荣,潘华曦.贸易便利化对中国农产品出口的影响研究---基于丝绸之路沿线国家的实证分析[J].国际贸易问题,2016,(5):39-49.
[13]汪戎,李波.贸易便利化与出口多样化:微观机理与跨国证据[J].国际贸易问题,2015,(3):33-43.
[14]翁国民,陆娟芳,等.论优化合格评定程序与贸易便利化[J].上海财经大学学报,2006,8(5):33-40.
[15]吴小康,于津平.进口国通关成本对中国出口的影响[J].世界经济,2016,(10):103-126.
[16]杨军,黄洁,洪俊杰,等.贸易便利化对中国经济影响分析[J].国际贸易问题,2015,(9):156-166.
[17]张建平,樊子嫣.“一带一路”国家贸易投资便利化状况及相关措施需求[J].国家行政学院学报,2016,(1):23-29.
[18]张晓静,李梁.“一带一路”与中国出口贸易:基于贸易便利化视角[J].亚太经济,2015,(3):21-27.
[19]张亚斌,刘俊,李城霖.丝绸之路经济带贸易便利化测度及中国贸易潜力[J].财经科学,2016,(5):112-122.
[20]朱妮娜,石墨菡.我国跨境电子商务对贸易便利化发展影响分析[J].对外经贸,2016,(12).
[21]Gnangnon S.K.Impact of trade facilitation reforms on tax revenue[J].Journal of Economic Studies,2017,44(1).
[22]Hoekman B.,Shepherd B.Who profits from trade facilitation initiatives?Implications for African countries[D].Elsevier B.V.2015.
[23]Perera S.,Siriwardana M.,Mounter S.Trade Facilitation-Measurement Difficulties in the Computable General Equilibrium Model:A Review[J].Theoretical Economics Letters,2017,7(2):154-163.
[24]Rudjanakanoknad J.,Suksirivoraboot W.,Sukdanont S.Evaluation of International Ports in Thailand through Trade Facilitation Indices from Freight Forwarders[J].Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences,2014,(111):1073-1082.
[2]程欣.“一带一路”背景下我国贸易便利化水平及发展策略[J].中国流通经济,2016,30(6):110-116.
[3]胡颖.“贸易便利化”的学术论争与中国的改革路径[J].国际商务(对外经济贸易大学学报),2016,(1):119-127.
[4]孔庆峰,董虹蔚.“一带一路”国家的贸易便利化水平测算与贸易潜力研究[J].国际贸易问题,2015,(12):158-168.
[5]李豫新,郭颖慧.边境贸易便利化水平对中国新疆维吾尔自治区边境贸易流量的影响---基于贸易引力模型的实证分析[J].国际贸易问题,2013,(10):120-128.
[6]刘卫东.“一带一路”战略的科学内涵与科学问题[J].地理科学进展,2015,34(5):538-544.
[7]刘宇,吕郢康,全水萍.“一带一路”战略下贸易便利化的经济影响---以中哈贸易为例的GTAP模型研究[J].经济评论,2016,(6):70-83.
[8]罗翊烜,扈钟方.贸易便利化与中国“一带一路”建设选择---基于沿线亚洲国家面板数据和引力模型的实证分析[J].商业经济研究,2017,(23):131-134.
[9]毛艳华,杨思维.21世纪海上丝绸之路贸易便利化合作与能力建设[J].国际经贸探索,2015,(1):101-112.
[10]盛斌.WTO《贸易便利化协定》评估及对中国的影响研究[J].国际贸易,2016,(1):4-13.
[11]孙林,倪卡卡.东盟贸易便利化对中国农产品出口影响及国际比较---基于面板数据模型的实证分析[J].国际贸易问题,2013,(4).
[12]谭晶荣,潘华曦.贸易便利化对中国农产品出口的影响研究---基于丝绸之路沿线国家的实证分析[J].国际贸易问题,2016,(5):39-49.
[13]汪戎,李波.贸易便利化与出口多样化:微观机理与跨国证据[J].国际贸易问题,2015,(3):33-43.
[14]翁国民,陆娟芳,等.论优化合格评定程序与贸易便利化[J].上海财经大学学报,2006,8(5):33-40.
[15]吴小康,于津平.进口国通关成本对中国出口的影响[J].世界经济,2016,(10):103-126.
[16]杨军,黄洁,洪俊杰,等.贸易便利化对中国经济影响分析[J].国际贸易问题,2015,(9):156-166.
[17]张建平,樊子嫣.“一带一路”国家贸易投资便利化状况及相关措施需求[J].国家行政学院学报,2016,(1):23-29.
[18]张晓静,李梁.“一带一路”与中国出口贸易:基于贸易便利化视角[J].亚太经济,2015,(3):21-27.
[19]张亚斌,刘俊,李城霖.丝绸之路经济带贸易便利化测度及中国贸易潜力[J].财经科学,2016,(5):112-122.
[20]朱妮娜,石墨菡.我国跨境电子商务对贸易便利化发展影响分析[J].对外经贸,2016,(12).
[21]Gnangnon S.K.Impact of trade facilitation reforms on tax revenue[J].Journal of Economic Studies,2017,44(1).
[22]Hoekman B.,Shepherd B.Who profits from trade facilitation initiatives?Implications for African countries[D].Elsevier B.V.2015.
[23]Perera S.,Siriwardana M.,Mounter S.Trade Facilitation-Measurement Difficulties in the Computable General Equilibrium Model:A Review[J].Theoretical Economics Letters,2017,7(2):154-163.
[24]Rudjanakanoknad J.,Suksirivoraboot W.,Sukdanont S.Evaluation of International Ports in Thailand through Trade Facilitation Indices from Freight Forwarders[J].Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences,2014,(111):1073-1082.