摘要
目的:探讨改良Alvarado评分系统在急性阑尾炎治疗中的应用价值。方法:回顾性收集2014年10月—2017年5月因急性阑尾炎于上海健康医学院附属第六人民医院东院行保守治疗的成年急性阑尾炎患者134例,采用改良Alvarado评分系统对患者初次就诊情况进行评分,结合患者出院后随访情况绘制受试者工作特性(ROC)曲线。结果:保守治疗有效组33例,改良Alvarado评分为3.70±0.31,中位数为4分,众数为4分;再手术组患者101例,改良Alvarado评分为7.23±0.14,中位数为7分,众数为7分。ROC曲线下面积为0.937,改良Alvarado评分系统得分最佳诊断截点为6分,此时的敏感度为90.1%,特异度为84.8%,阳性预测值为94.8%,阴性预测值为73.7%。结论:改良Alvarado评分系统对急性阑尾炎治疗方式的选择具有较高的判断价值,得分在6分以上可以考虑积极手术治疗,得分在6分以下可以考虑保守治疗。
Objective: To explore the value of modified Alvarado scoring system in the treatment of acute appendicitis. Method: Clinical data of 134 cases of acute appendicitis, who underwent conservative treatment in East Hospital of the Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai University of Medicine&Health Sciences from October 2014 to May 2017 were retrospectively collect-ed. The modified Alvarado scoring system was used to score in the first visit, then with their followup information to draw the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve. Result: 33 cases of conservative treatment group were effective, the modified Alvarado score was 3.70±0.31, the median was 4, and the mode was 4; The reoperation cases were 101, and the modified Alvarado score was 7.23±0.14, median. For 7 points, the mode wa s 7 points. The area under the ROC curve was0.937, and the best diagnostic cut-off point for the modified Alvarado scoring system was 6 points.The sensitivity at this cut-off was 90.1%, the specificity was 84.8%, the positive predictive value was 94.8%, and the negative predictive value was 73.7%. Conclusion: The modified Alvarado scoring system has a high judgment value for the treatment of acute appendicitis. When the modified Alvarado scoring system scores above 6 points it should be consider for surgical treatment, otherwise it maybe better for conservative treatment.
引文
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