碳汇营林技术推广的认知基础测度与实证研究
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摘要
基于文献回顾与理论假设,设计了一套用于测评农户对碳汇营林技术推广过程中内在认知基础的量表体系,并根据调研数据对该量表测度效果进行了实证检验。检验最终结果显示:在碳汇营林技术推广过程中,农户关于碳汇营林技术推广的交易成本与权利损失认知、农户关于碳汇营林技术推广的社会生态与经济收益认知、农户关于碳汇营林技术推广的组织参与认知等,都将对推广过程的实现度与满意度产生显著性影响。这一结果说明,本研究所提出的影响农户对碳汇营林技术推广的认知基础测度框架大体趋于合理并可以接受,这就为更进一步进行碳汇营林技术推广相关管理制度的设计与构建,提供了一个主观数据设置方面的实证支持。
On the basis of theoretical analysis and research hypothesis, this paper constructs a set of scales used to evaluate the cognitive basis of farmers' selection of carbon sequestration techniques. The results show that in the decision-making process of selection of carbon sequestration techniques, such factors as farmer cognition about transaction costs and rights loss for selection of carbon sequestration techniques, farmer cognition about social ecological and economic benefits for selection of carbon sequestration techniques,farmer cognition about organizational participation in selection of carbon sequestration techniques will have a significant impact on the degree of realization and satisfaction with the implementation of farmers' selection of carbon sequestration techniques. This research fruit not only provide a new prospective, but also provide a theoretical model and a maneuverable method to understand and improve decision-making efficiency of farmers' selection of carbon sequestration techniques, and laying a foundation for studying decision-making process of farmers' selection of carbon sequestration techniques, thus it maybe can explore a new way to establish farmers' selection of carbon sequestration techniques system and courses.
On the basis of theoretical analysis and research hypothesis, this paper constructs a set of scales used to evaluate the cognitive basis of farmers' selection of carbon sequestration techniques. The results show that in the decision-making process of selection of carbon sequestration techniques, such factors as farmer cognition about transaction costs and rights loss for selection of carbon sequestration techniques, farmer cognition about social ecological and economic benefits for selection of carbon sequestration techniques,farmer cognition about organizational participation in selection of carbon sequestration techniques will have a significant impact on the degree of realization and satisfaction with the implementation of farmers' selection of carbon sequestration techniques. This research fruit not only provide a new prospective, but also provide a theoretical model and a maneuverable method to understand and improve decision-making efficiency of farmers' selection of carbon sequestration techniques, and laying a foundation for studying decision-making process of farmers' selection of carbon sequestration techniques, thus it maybe can explore a new way to establish farmers' selection of carbon sequestration techniques system and courses.
引文
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[25]于越,宋文龙,王琢.变论域模糊PID在微碳汇测量系统中的仿真研究[J].森林工程,2017, 33(4):44-48.
[26]王岳.黑龙江省林业碳汇市场建设思路和若干重点问题研究[J].林业科技,2018, 43(3):56-59.
[27]陈丽荣,曹玉昆,朱震锋,等.企业购买林业碳汇指标意愿的影响因素分析[J].林业经济问题, 2016, 36(3):276-281.
[28]姜霞,黄祖辉.经济新常态下中国林业碳汇潜力分析[J].中国农村经济, 2016(11):57-67.
[3]姚洋.集体决策中的理性模型和政治模型-关于中国农地制度的案例研究[J].经济学(季刊),2003,2(3):679-700.
[4]宋敏,张安录.农地城市流转社会理性决策框架构建及决策要素分析[J].广东土地科学,2008, 7(3):38-41.
[5]徐晋涛,孙妍,姜雪梅,等.我国集体林区林权制度改革模式和绩效分析[J].林业经济, 2008(9):27-38.
[6]张英,宋维明.集体林权制度改革对农户采伐行为的影响[J].林业科学, 2012, 48(7):161-169.
[7]曲福田.土地利用变化对碳排放的影响[J].中国人口资源与环境, 2011(10):76-83.
[8]廖文梅,张广来,孔凡斌.农户林业社会化服务需求特征及其影响因素分析[J].林业科学, 2016, 52(11):148-155.
[9]罗必良,汪沙李,尚蒲.交易费用、农户认知与农地流转[J].农业技术经济, 2012(1):11-21.
[10]陈飞,翟伟娟.农户行为视角下农地流转诱因及其福利效应研究[J].经济研究, 2015(10):163-177.
[11] Zhou M.Adapting sustainable forest management to climate policyuncertainty:A conceptual framework[J]. Forest Policy andEconomics,2015, 59:66-74.
[12]陈冲影.森林碳汇与农户生计-以全球第一个森林碳汇项目为例[J].世界林业研究,2010, 23(5):15-19.
[13]刘凯旋,金笙.国内森林碳汇市场交易定价方法比较研究[J].农业工程,2011,1(2):96-100.
[14]田强.森林碳汇市场运行机制的构建指标[J].北京农业, 2016(4):104-105.
[15] Canadell, J. G., Raupach,M.R.Forest management for climatechange mitigation[J]. Science, 2008, 320:1 456-1 457.
[16]娄玉娥,文冰.基于森林碳汇的生态系统服务市场化分析[J].西南林业大学学报, 2011, l31(1):79-82.
[17]李怒云.林业碳汇项目的三重功能分析[J].世界林业研究,2006, 19(3):1-5.
[18] Stainback G. A., Alavalapati J. R.R. Economic analysis of slashpine forest carbon sequestration in the sourthern U. S[J]. Journalof Forest Economics, 2002, 8:105-117.
[19]尹少华,周文朋,丁扬.湖南省森林碳汇市场供求关系及其优化研究[J].中南林业科技大学学报, 2015, 35(1):140-144.
[20]黄祖辉,徐旭初,蒋文华.中国“三农”问题:分析框架、现实研判和解决思路[J].中国农村经济, 2009(7):4-11.
[21]齐岩,吴保国.碳汇林业的木材收益与碳汇收益评价的实证分析[J].中国社会科学院研究生院学报, 2011(4):59-64.
[22] Newell, R.G., Stavins, R.N. Climate change and forest sinks:Factors affecting the costs of carbon sequestration[J]. Journal ofEnvironmental Economics and Management, 2000, 40:211-235.
[23] Englin.J., Callaway, J.M.Global climate change and optimal forestmanagement[J]. Natural Resource Modeling, 1993, 7:191-202.
[24] Evans Tom P, H ugh K elley. Multi-scale analysis of a h ouseholdlevel agent-basedmodel of landcover change[J]. Journal of Environmenta l Manag ement, 2004(72):57-72.
[25]于越,宋文龙,王琢.变论域模糊PID在微碳汇测量系统中的仿真研究[J].森林工程,2017, 33(4):44-48.
[26]王岳.黑龙江省林业碳汇市场建设思路和若干重点问题研究[J].林业科技,2018, 43(3):56-59.
[27]陈丽荣,曹玉昆,朱震锋,等.企业购买林业碳汇指标意愿的影响因素分析[J].林业经济问题, 2016, 36(3):276-281.
[28]姜霞,黄祖辉.经济新常态下中国林业碳汇潜力分析[J].中国农村经济, 2016(11):57-67.