环境规制视角下中国海洋产业转型研究
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摘要
环境规制和创新直接决定了我国产业结构转型的速度和方向。基于我国沿海11省市2006—2014年面板数据,采用产业结构超前系数、More值和门槛回归模型,从方向和速度两个维度对我国海洋产业转型升级水平进行测度。结果表明:在产业转型方向上,沿海地区正向第三产业转型,2010年以后1/2省份的产业转型速度加快。在此基础上,构建门槛回归模型检验技术创新在环境规制促进海洋产业转型的中介作用。结果显示,在海洋技术创新水平制约下环境规制对海洋产业转型升级存在倒"U"型双重门槛效应。因此,政府在制定环境规制政策提升海洋产业转型水平时,应充分考虑海洋技术创新水平对环境规制效果的影响。
Environmental regulation and innovation directly determined the speed and direction of the transformation of China's industrial structure. Based on the panel data of 11 provinces and cities along the coast from 2006 to 2014,this paper measured the level of China's marine industry transformation and upgrade by more value and threshold regression model in two aspects: Direction and speed.The results of the study indicated that in the direction of industrial transformation,it was found that the coastal region was undergoing a transition to a tertiary industry,and that the industrial transformation rate of one-half of the provinces accelerated since 2010. Based on this,a threshold-regression model was constructed to test the mediating role of technological innovation in promoting the transformation of the marine industry through environmental regulation. The results showed that: Under the constraint of the level of marine technology innovation,environmental regulation had a double-threshold inverted"U"effect on the transformation and upgrading of marine industries. Therefore,when the government formulated the environmental regulation policies to upgrade the level of marine industry transformation,it should fully consider the impact of the level of marine technological innovation on the effect of environmental regulation.
Environmental regulation and innovation directly determined the speed and direction of the transformation of China's industrial structure. Based on the panel data of 11 provinces and cities along the coast from 2006 to 2014,this paper measured the level of China's marine industry transformation and upgrade by more value and threshold regression model in two aspects: Direction and speed.The results of the study indicated that in the direction of industrial transformation,it was found that the coastal region was undergoing a transition to a tertiary industry,and that the industrial transformation rate of one-half of the provinces accelerated since 2010. Based on this,a threshold-regression model was constructed to test the mediating role of technological innovation in promoting the transformation of the marine industry through environmental regulation. The results showed that: Under the constraint of the level of marine technology innovation,environmental regulation had a double-threshold inverted"U"effect on the transformation and upgrading of marine industries. Therefore,when the government formulated the environmental regulation policies to upgrade the level of marine industry transformation,it should fully consider the impact of the level of marine technological innovation on the effect of environmental regulation.
引文
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[24]李萌.新型城镇化建设中城市经济转型国际经验借鉴与启示[J].经济与管理评论,2015,31(2)∶26-32.
[25]管治华.碳税征收对经济增长与产业结构影响的实证分析[J].经济问题,2012,(5)∶42-45.
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[27]张成,陆旸,郭路,等.环境规制强度和生产技术进步[J].经济研究,2011,46(2)∶113-124.
[28]孙康,张超,刘峻峰.金融集聚提升了海洋经济技术效率吗?——基于IV-2SLS和门槛回归的实证研究[J].资源开发与市场,2017,33(5)∶584-590.
[29]龚志聪,寿建敏.江苏省海洋产业发展分析与研究[J].市场研究,2013,(4)∶18-19.
[2]盛朝迅.“十三五”时期我国海洋产业转型升级的战略取向[J].经济纵横,2015,(12)∶8-13.
[3]阮陆宁,曾畅,熊玉莹.环境规制能否有效促进产业结构升级?——基于长江经济带的GMM分析[J].江西社会科学,2017,37(5)∶104-111.
[4]孔令丞,张晶.推动产业转型升级的环境规制强度区间界定:省际面板数据实证[J/OL].管理现代化,2017,37(1)∶15-17.
[5]原毅军,谢荣辉.环境规制的产业结构调整效应研究——基于中国省际面板数据的实证检验[J].中国工业经济,2014,(8)∶57-69.
[6]范丹.中国制造业差异化环境规制策略研究——基于创新力与经济增速均衡视角[J].宏观经济研究,2015,(5)∶83-90.
[7]周灵.环境规制约束下的经济增长方式转变研究——基于“新常态”视角[J].改革与战略,2015,31(10)∶9-13,17.
[8]雷明,虞晓雯.地方财政支出、环境规制与我国低碳经济转型[J].经济科学,2013,(5)∶47-61.
[9]董直庆,焦翠红.环境规制能有效激励清洁技术创新吗?——源于非线性门槛面板模型的新解释[J].东南大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2015,17(2)∶64-74.
[10]Lin An Du,Wei Xin Luan,Dan Li.Dynamic Correlation Effects Between Marine Economic Development and the Comprehensive Competitiveness of the Coastal Zone[J].Advanced Materials Research,2015,(1073-1076)∶1411-1417.
[11]李玲,陶锋.中国制造业最优环境规制强度的选择——基于绿色全要素生产率的视角[J].中国工业经济,2012,(5)∶70-82.
[12]王波,韩立民.中国海洋产业结构变动对海洋经济增长的影响——基于沿海11省市的面板门槛效应回归分析[J].资源科学,2017,39(6)∶1182-1193.
[13]刘建民,陈霞,吴金光.湖南省产业转型升级的水平测度及其影响因素的实证分析[J].湖南社会科学,2015,(1)∶143-147.
[14]邵蔚.R&D投入、经济增长与广东省工业企业转型升级[J].经营与管理,2017,(8)∶80-83.
[15]Nazirah Mohamad Abdullah,Abdullah Hisam Omar,Omar Yaakoba.Today's Problem,Tomorrow's Solutions:Lay Theory Explanations of Marine Space Stakeholder Management in the Malaysian Context[J].Marine Policy,2016,73(11)∶162-171.
[16]唐湛,黎红梅.城镇化对林业产业结构优化影响的实证分析[J].农业现代化研究,2017,38(2)∶226-233.
[17]AA Elgamal.Biological Importance of Marine Algae[J].Saudi Pharmaceutical Journal,2010,18(1)∶1-25.
[18]Cullinane K,Wang T,Song D,et al.The Technical Efficiency of Cntainer Ports:Comparing Data Envelopment Analysis and Stochastic Frontier Analysis[J].Transportation Research Part A:Policy and Practice,2006,40(4)∶354-374.
[19]张雨微,刘航,赵景峰.基于创新补偿差异的环境规制对出口优势的效应分析[J].中国科技论坛,2015,(8)∶156-160.
[20]Qing Min Yuan,Cong Cong Qin,Dong Feng.Competition Analysis of Marine Industry in Coastal Provinces in China Based on Niche Theory[J].Advanced Materials Research,2014,(869-870)∶35-38.
[21]王艾敏.海洋科技与海洋经济协调互动机制研究[J].中国软科学,2016,(8)∶40-49.
[22]梅国平,龚海林.环境规制对产业结构变迁的影响机制研究[J].经济经纬,2013,(2)∶72-76.
[23]孙康,季建文,李丽丹,等.基于非期望产出的中国海洋渔业经济效率评价与时空分异[J].资源科学,2017,39(11)∶2040-2051.
[24]李萌.新型城镇化建设中城市经济转型国际经验借鉴与启示[J].经济与管理评论,2015,31(2)∶26-32.
[25]管治华.碳税征收对经济增长与产业结构影响的实证分析[J].经济问题,2012,(5)∶42-45.
[26]卫平,余奕杉.环境规制对制造业产业结构升级的影响——基于省级动态面板数据的系统GMM分析[J].经济问题探索,2017,(9)∶144-152.
[27]张成,陆旸,郭路,等.环境规制强度和生产技术进步[J].经济研究,2011,46(2)∶113-124.
[28]孙康,张超,刘峻峰.金融集聚提升了海洋经济技术效率吗?——基于IV-2SLS和门槛回归的实证研究[J].资源开发与市场,2017,33(5)∶584-590.
[29]龚志聪,寿建敏.江苏省海洋产业发展分析与研究[J].市场研究,2013,(4)∶18-19.