新能源消纳影响因素的贡献度评估模型
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摘要
准确评估新能源消纳影响因素的贡献度是制定新能源消纳解决措施的重要依据之一。总结2017年中国新能源消纳取得的成就,从源、网、荷、市场机制等方面分析影响新能源消纳的主要因素,将影响因素进行量化建模,建立基于时序生产模拟的新能源消纳影响因素的贡献度评估模型。以甘肃电网风电消纳为案例,评估2017年各种影响因素促进风电消纳的贡献度。分析表明,在负荷增长、跨区外送、省间电量交换、备用容量共享、省内断面能力提升、自备电厂替代交易等多种因素的共同作用下,2017年甘肃风电消纳状况明显改善,其中负荷增长的贡献度最大,其次是跨区外送和备用容量共享。
Evaluating the contributions of the new energy accommodation influencing factors of is one of the most important issues to improve the current consumption status.This paper summarized the current achievements of China new energy accommodation in2017,analyzed the major influencing factors of new energy accommodation from the perspectives of power mix,power grid,load and market mechanism.The influencing factors contribution evaluating model was established based on chronological production simulation.Taking Gansu wind power accommodation as an example,the contribution of various factors to promote wind power consumption was studied.The results showed that,Gansu wind power accommodation had great achievements with the joint efforts of all factors,including power load increase,cross-district deliberating,generation exchange different provinces,power reverse capacity shared,captive plant exchange trade and so on.The largest contribution was the power load increment and followed by cross-district deliberating and power reverse capacity shared.
Evaluating the contributions of the new energy accommodation influencing factors of is one of the most important issues to improve the current consumption status.This paper summarized the current achievements of China new energy accommodation in2017,analyzed the major influencing factors of new energy accommodation from the perspectives of power mix,power grid,load and market mechanism.The influencing factors contribution evaluating model was established based on chronological production simulation.Taking Gansu wind power accommodation as an example,the contribution of various factors to promote wind power consumption was studied.The results showed that,Gansu wind power accommodation had great achievements with the joint efforts of all factors,including power load increase,cross-district deliberating,generation exchange different provinces,power reverse capacity shared,captive plant exchange trade and so on.The largest contribution was the power load increment and followed by cross-district deliberating and power reverse capacity shared.
引文
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[17]刘德伟,黄越辉,王伟胜,等.考虑调峰和电网输送约束的省级系统风电消纳能力分析[J].电力系统自动化,2011,35(22):77-81.LIU Dewei,HUANG Yuehui,WANG Weisheng,et al.Analysis on provincial system available capability of accommodating wind power considering peak load dispatch and transmission constrains[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2011,35(22):77-81.
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[19]静铁岩,吕泉,王海霞,等.风电参与的非常规调峰服务市场交易理论[J].中国电力,2011,44(10):29-32.JING Tieyan,LV Quan,WANG Haixia,et al.Trading theory of unconventional peak load regulation service market with wind power farm participation[J].Electric Power,2011,44(10):29-32.
[20]于海洋,吕鸣镝,周卫东,等.基于调峰裕度分析的电网风电消纳能力研究[J].东北电力技术,2016,37(7):26-28.YU Haiyang,LüMingdi,ZHOU Weidong,et al.Absorptive capacity research on wind power based on peak load regulation margin analysis[J].Northeast Electric Power Technology,2016,37(7):26-28.
[2]舒印彪,张智刚,郭剑波,等.新能源消纳关键因素分析及解决措施研究[J].中国电机工程学报,2017,37(1):1-9.SHU Yinbiao,ZHANG Zhigang,GUO Jianbo,et al.Stduy on key factors and solutions of renewable energy accommodation[J].Proceedings of the CSEE,2017,37(1):1-9.
[3]裴哲义,范高峰.中国风电运行消纳相关问题研究[J].中国电力,2014,47(4):1-4.PEI Zheyi,FAN Gaofeng.Research on wind power operation and accommodation problems in China[J].Electric Power,2014,47(4):1-4.
[4]国家电网有限公司.促进新能源发展白皮书2018[R].北京:国家电网有限公司,2018.
[5]刘开俊.风电并网对电网的影响分析及解决方案[J].中国电力,2012,45(9):7-10,16.LIU Kaijun.Impacts and solution of wind power integration on grids[J].Electric Power,2012,45(9):7-10,16.
[6]崔慧军,贾文昭,杨彬.风电消纳能力相关因素与机理分析[J].华北电力技术,2015(2):34-39,59.CUI Huijun,JIA Wenzhao,YANG Bin.Relevant factors and mechanism analysis for wind power accommodation[J].North China Electric Power,2015(2):34-39,59.
[7]朱凌志,陈宁,韩华玲.风电消纳关键问题及应对措施分析[J].电力系统自动化,2011,35(22):29-34.ZHU Lingzhi,CHEN Ning,HAN Hualing.Key problems and solutions of wind power accommodation[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2011,35(22):29-34.
[8]裴哲义,王新雷,董存,等.东北供热机组对新能源消纳的影响分析及热点解耦措施[J].电网技术,2017,41(6):1786-1792.PEI Zheyi,WANG Xinlei,DONG Cun,et al.Analysis of impact of CHP plant on renewable energy accommodation in Northeast China and thermoelectric decoupling measures[J].Power System Technology,2017,41(6):1786-1792.
[9]徐式蕴,吴萍,赵兵,等.提升风火打捆哈郑特高压直流风电消纳能力的安全稳定控制措施研究[J].电工技术学报,2015,30(13):92-99.XU Shiyun,WU Ping,ZHAO Bing,et al.Study on the security and stability control strategy enhancing the wind power consuming abilbity of the wind-thermal power combing Hazheng UHVDCsystem[J].Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society,2015,30(13):92-99.
[10]赵君.黑龙江电网风电消纳能力影响因及提高措施研究[J].东北电力技术,2017,38(4):21-23.ZHAO Jun.Influencing factors of wind power absorptive capacity in Heilongjiang grid and improving research measures[J].Northeast Electric Power Technology,2017,38(4):21-23.
[11]刘吉臻,曾德良,田亮,等.新能源电力消纳与燃煤电厂弹性运行控制策略[J].中国电机工程学报,2015,35(21):5385-5394.LIU Jizhen,ZENG Deliang,TIAN Liang,et al.Control strategy for operating flexibility of coal-fired power plants in alternate electrical power systems[J].Proceedings of the CSEE,2015,35(21):5385-5394.
[12]吕泉,陈天佑,王海霞,等.热电厂参与风电调峰的方法评述及展望[J].中国电力,2013,46(11):129-136,141.LV Quan,CHEN Tianyou,WANG Haixia,et al.Review and perspective of integration wind power into CHP power system for peak regulaiton[J].Electric Power,2013,46(11):129-136,141.
[13]国家能源局.国家能源局关于发布2017年度风电投资监测预警结果的通知(国能新能[2017]52号)[Z].2017
[14]王彩霞,李琼慧,谢国辉.风电供热提高低谷风电消纳能力评估[J].中国电力,2013,46(12):100-106.WANG Caixia,LI Qionghui,XIE Guohui.Evaluation of wind power heating in facilitation wind power integration[J].Electric Power,2013,46(12):100-106.
[15]中国电力企业联合会.2017年全国电力工业统计快报[R].2018.
[16]董存,李明节,范高峰,等.基于时序生产模拟的新能源年度消纳能力计算方法及其应用[J].中国电力,2015,48(12):166-172.DONG Cun,LI Mingjie,FAN Gaofeng,et al.Research and application of renewable energy accommodation capability evaluation based on time series production simulations[J].Electric Power,2015,48(12):166-172.
[17]刘德伟,黄越辉,王伟胜,等.考虑调峰和电网输送约束的省级系统风电消纳能力分析[J].电力系统自动化,2011,35(22):77-81.LIU Dewei,HUANG Yuehui,WANG Weisheng,et al.Analysis on provincial system available capability of accommodating wind power considering peak load dispatch and transmission constrains[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2011,35(22):77-81.
[18]韩小琪,孙寿广,戚庆茹.从系统调峰角度评估电网接纳风电能力[J].中国电力,2010,43(6):16-19.HAN Xiaoqi,SUN Shouguang,QI Qingru.Evaluation of wind power penetration limit from peak regulation[J].Electric Power,2010,43(6):16-19.
[19]静铁岩,吕泉,王海霞,等.风电参与的非常规调峰服务市场交易理论[J].中国电力,2011,44(10):29-32.JING Tieyan,LV Quan,WANG Haixia,et al.Trading theory of unconventional peak load regulation service market with wind power farm participation[J].Electric Power,2011,44(10):29-32.
[20]于海洋,吕鸣镝,周卫东,等.基于调峰裕度分析的电网风电消纳能力研究[J].东北电力技术,2016,37(7):26-28.YU Haiyang,LüMingdi,ZHOU Weidong,et al.Absorptive capacity research on wind power based on peak load regulation margin analysis[J].Northeast Electric Power Technology,2016,37(7):26-28.