城市土地开发约束与支持的协调度评价——以浙江省为例
|
摘要
研究目的:以浙江省为例,探索城市土地开发约束与支持的协调度评价新思路,分析城市土地开发协调度的时空分异特征。研究方法:灰色关联熵法,协调度模型。研究结果:(1)浙江省城市土地开发约束力强度东北部高,西南部低,支持力强度分布与之相似;(2)时间上,2000—2015年浙江省城市整体土地开发协调度呈现"升高—降低"的变化趋势;(3)空间上,浙江省城市土地开发协调度北高南低,且具有"小集中—大分散"的特征。研究结论:将协调度理论应用于城市土地开发评价中,并对土地开发约束力与支持力量化后采用灰色关联熵法建立复杂时空权重矩阵,以此建立的土地开发约束与支持的协调度评价体系具有实际价值与可操作性。
The purpose of the paper is to explore the new ideas for evaluating the coordination degree of urban land development and study the characteristics of spatiotemporal differentiation. This paper takes Zhejiang Province as a research case to build an evaluation index system based on the analysis of the constraint strength and support strength of land development. The research methods include grey relational entropy method and coordination degree model. The research results indicate that: 1) the high intensity of constraint of urban land development in Zhejiang Province is concentrated in the northeast, while the low intensity of constraint is concentrated in the southwest. The support strength shares the same distribution with the constraint strength. 2) The overall level of land development coordination in Zhejiang Province shows a "increase-decrease" trend from 2000 to 2015. 3) The level of coordination of urban land development generally presents the obvious spatial differences between the northern and southern parts in Zhejiang Province. It is lower in the north but higher in the south. And it has "a small concentration and large dispersion" features in the space. According to the trend of urban land development coordination degree, the cities can be divided into three types: stationary, floating, and mixture type. In conclusion, the degree of coordination is applied to the evaluation on land development. After quantifying the constraint strength and support strength of land development, the grey correlation entropy method is adopted to build a complex spatiotemporal weight matrix. The evaluation system of "land development coordination" established by this method has practical value and is grey.
The purpose of the paper is to explore the new ideas for evaluating the coordination degree of urban land development and study the characteristics of spatiotemporal differentiation. This paper takes Zhejiang Province as a research case to build an evaluation index system based on the analysis of the constraint strength and support strength of land development. The research methods include grey relational entropy method and coordination degree model. The research results indicate that: 1) the high intensity of constraint of urban land development in Zhejiang Province is concentrated in the northeast, while the low intensity of constraint is concentrated in the southwest. The support strength shares the same distribution with the constraint strength. 2) The overall level of land development coordination in Zhejiang Province shows a "increase-decrease" trend from 2000 to 2015. 3) The level of coordination of urban land development generally presents the obvious spatial differences between the northern and southern parts in Zhejiang Province. It is lower in the north but higher in the south. And it has "a small concentration and large dispersion" features in the space. According to the trend of urban land development coordination degree, the cities can be divided into three types: stationary, floating, and mixture type. In conclusion, the degree of coordination is applied to the evaluation on land development. After quantifying the constraint strength and support strength of land development, the grey correlation entropy method is adopted to build a complex spatiotemporal weight matrix. The evaluation system of "land development coordination" established by this method has practical value and is grey.
引文
[1]陈玉福,谢庆恒,刘彦随.中国建设用地规模变化及其影响因素[J].地理科学进展,2012,31(8):1050-1054.
[2]赵亚莉,刘友兆.城市土地开发强度差异及影响因素研究——基于222个地级及以上城市面板数据[J].资源科学,2013,35(2):380-387.
[3]金志丰,陈雯,孙伟,等.基于土地开发适宜性分区的土地空间配置——以宿迁市区为例[J].中国土地科学,2008,22(9):43-50.
[4]刘凤朝,张博,刘源远,等.城市土地利用协调度评定——以大连市为例[J].中国土地科学,2008,22(12):25-30.
[5]郭治安,沈小峰.协同论[M].太原:山西经济出版社,1991.
[6]欧雄,冯长春,沈青云.协调度模型在城市土地利用潜力评价中的应用[J].地理与地理信息科学,2007,23(1):42-45.
[7]赵凯,赵强军.西安市土地利用协调性动态变化特征分析[J].中国农业资源与区划,2013,34(3):49-54.
[8]何如海,吴娟娟.基于PSR模型的安徽省土地利用协调度评价[J].长春理工大学学报:社会科学版,2017,30(6):89-94.
[9]郭亚周,孙鹏举,刘学录,等.基于熵权法的兰州市土地城镇化时空发展水平分析[J].甘肃农业大学学报,2016,51(1):126-131.
[10]刘姝驿,杨庆媛,何春燕,等.基于层次分析法(AHP)和模糊综合评价法的土地整治效益评价——重庆市3个区县26个村农村土地整治的实证[J].中国农学通报,2013,29(26):54-60.
[11]张颖,徐辉.土地可持续利用协调度评价及障碍因子诊断——以南京市六合区为例[J].广东土地科学,2014,13(1):20-27.
[12]李鑫,李兴校,欧名豪.江苏省城镇化发展协调度评价与地区差异分析[J].人文地理,2012,27(3):50-54.
[13]何格,赵媛.土地市场和区域经济耦合协调度分析[J].重庆大学学报(社会科学版),2015,21(1):23-27.
[14]张红,王悦,张志峰.基于土地“三资特性”的土地管理协调度评价——以北京市为例[J].中国土地科学,2013,27(6):22-27.
[15]张丽萍,刘学录,马晓婧.基于协调度模型的甘肃省开发区土地集约利用评价研究[J].浙江农业学报,2012,24(5):891-897.
[16]张岐山,郭喜江,邓聚龙.灰关联熵分析方法[J].系统工程理论与实践,1996,16(8):7-11.
[17]杨清可,段学军,李平星,等.江苏省土地开发度与利用效益的空间特征及协调分析[J].地理科学,2017,37(11):1696-1704.
[18]程启月.评测指标权重确定的结构熵权法[J].系统工程理论与实践,2010,30(7):1225-1228.
[19]李祚泳.灰色系统理论及其应用进展[J].自然杂志,1989,12(7):483-487.
[20]刘建慧.拓展的灰关联熵方法[J].土壤与作物,1997,13(3):175-178.
[21]庞伟亮,陈英,张仁陟.甘肃省古浪县土地利用与社会经济协调度评价[J].水土保持通报,2012,32(5):75-81.
[22]李久枫,余华飞,付迎春,等.广东省“人口—经济—土地—社会—生态”城市化协调度时空变化及其聚类模式[J].地理科学进展,2018,37(2):287-298.
[2]赵亚莉,刘友兆.城市土地开发强度差异及影响因素研究——基于222个地级及以上城市面板数据[J].资源科学,2013,35(2):380-387.
[3]金志丰,陈雯,孙伟,等.基于土地开发适宜性分区的土地空间配置——以宿迁市区为例[J].中国土地科学,2008,22(9):43-50.
[4]刘凤朝,张博,刘源远,等.城市土地利用协调度评定——以大连市为例[J].中国土地科学,2008,22(12):25-30.
[5]郭治安,沈小峰.协同论[M].太原:山西经济出版社,1991.
[6]欧雄,冯长春,沈青云.协调度模型在城市土地利用潜力评价中的应用[J].地理与地理信息科学,2007,23(1):42-45.
[7]赵凯,赵强军.西安市土地利用协调性动态变化特征分析[J].中国农业资源与区划,2013,34(3):49-54.
[8]何如海,吴娟娟.基于PSR模型的安徽省土地利用协调度评价[J].长春理工大学学报:社会科学版,2017,30(6):89-94.
[9]郭亚周,孙鹏举,刘学录,等.基于熵权法的兰州市土地城镇化时空发展水平分析[J].甘肃农业大学学报,2016,51(1):126-131.
[10]刘姝驿,杨庆媛,何春燕,等.基于层次分析法(AHP)和模糊综合评价法的土地整治效益评价——重庆市3个区县26个村农村土地整治的实证[J].中国农学通报,2013,29(26):54-60.
[11]张颖,徐辉.土地可持续利用协调度评价及障碍因子诊断——以南京市六合区为例[J].广东土地科学,2014,13(1):20-27.
[12]李鑫,李兴校,欧名豪.江苏省城镇化发展协调度评价与地区差异分析[J].人文地理,2012,27(3):50-54.
[13]何格,赵媛.土地市场和区域经济耦合协调度分析[J].重庆大学学报(社会科学版),2015,21(1):23-27.
[14]张红,王悦,张志峰.基于土地“三资特性”的土地管理协调度评价——以北京市为例[J].中国土地科学,2013,27(6):22-27.
[15]张丽萍,刘学录,马晓婧.基于协调度模型的甘肃省开发区土地集约利用评价研究[J].浙江农业学报,2012,24(5):891-897.
[16]张岐山,郭喜江,邓聚龙.灰关联熵分析方法[J].系统工程理论与实践,1996,16(8):7-11.
[17]杨清可,段学军,李平星,等.江苏省土地开发度与利用效益的空间特征及协调分析[J].地理科学,2017,37(11):1696-1704.
[18]程启月.评测指标权重确定的结构熵权法[J].系统工程理论与实践,2010,30(7):1225-1228.
[19]李祚泳.灰色系统理论及其应用进展[J].自然杂志,1989,12(7):483-487.
[20]刘建慧.拓展的灰关联熵方法[J].土壤与作物,1997,13(3):175-178.
[21]庞伟亮,陈英,张仁陟.甘肃省古浪县土地利用与社会经济协调度评价[J].水土保持通报,2012,32(5):75-81.
[22]李久枫,余华飞,付迎春,等.广东省“人口—经济—土地—社会—生态”城市化协调度时空变化及其聚类模式[J].地理科学进展,2018,37(2):287-298.