基于集值统计-灰色模糊的煤与瓦斯突出安全评价
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摘要
基于煤与瓦斯突出现状,构建了煤与瓦斯突出评价体系,提出新的评价方法,将集值统计与灰色模糊评价相结合,集值统计可对专家的区间评价进行估计,得到符合可信度要求的指标权重;灰色模糊评价用分散的指标信息构建灰色评价矩阵,最后根据最大隶属度原则进行综合评价,能够实现评价结果由定性到定量的转化。运用该方法评价新兴煤矿煤与瓦斯突出危险等级,评价结果为Ⅴ(安全)等级,符合工程实际。
Based on the status of coal and gas outburst,the evaluation system of coal and gas outburst is constructed,and a new evaluation method is put forward.The combined value statistics and grey fuzzy evaluation are combined.The collection value statistics can be used to estimate the expert′ s interval evaluation and get the index weight that meets the requirement of reliability.The grey fuzzy evaluation is used to disperse the evaluation.Index information is constructed by grey evaluation matrix.Finally,comprehensive evaluation is carried out according to the principle of maximum membership degree,so that the evaluation result can be transformed from qualitative to quantitative.This method is applied to evaluate the risk rank of coal and gas outburst in Xinxing coal mine,and the evaluation result is V(safety) grade,which is consistent with engineering practice.
Based on the status of coal and gas outburst,the evaluation system of coal and gas outburst is constructed,and a new evaluation method is put forward.The combined value statistics and grey fuzzy evaluation are combined.The collection value statistics can be used to estimate the expert′ s interval evaluation and get the index weight that meets the requirement of reliability.The grey fuzzy evaluation is used to disperse the evaluation.Index information is constructed by grey evaluation matrix.Finally,comprehensive evaluation is carried out according to the principle of maximum membership degree,so that the evaluation result can be transformed from qualitative to quantitative.This method is applied to evaluate the risk rank of coal and gas outburst in Xinxing coal mine,and the evaluation result is V(safety) grade,which is consistent with engineering practice.
引文
[1]梁跃强,解学才,徐德宇,等.煤与瓦斯突出的预测及地质因素研究进展[J].煤炭技术,2017,36(3):168-170.
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[8]梁冰,秦冰,孙维吉,等.智能加权灰靶决策模型在煤与瓦斯突出危险评价中的应用[J].煤炭学报,2013,38(9):1 611-1 615.
[9]董春游,曹志国,商宇航,等.基于G-K评价与粗糙集的煤与瓦斯突出分类分析[J].煤炭学报,2011,36(7):1 156-1 160.
[10]刘俊娥,曾凡雷,郭章林.基于RS-SVM模型的煤与瓦斯突出多因素风险评价[J].中国安全科学学报,2011,21(7):21-26.
[11]黄维新,刘敦文,夏明.煤与瓦斯突出过程的细观机制研究[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2017,36(2):429-436.
[2]秦忠诚,陈光波,秦琼杰.组合方式对煤岩组合体力学特性和冲击倾向性影响实验研究[J].西安科技大学学报,2017,37(5):655-661.
[3]王佳信,周宗红,张继华,等.煤与瓦斯突出危险性预测的SαSPNN模型及应用[J].传感技术学报,2017,30(7):1 112-1 118.
[4]王春源,潘晓红,撒占友,等.组合赋权可变集模型在煤与瓦斯突出评价中的应用[J].河南理工大学学报:自然科学版,2017,36(2):35-40.
[5]黄琪嵩,程久龙,贾吉喆,等. RES理论在煤与瓦斯突出危险性预测中的应用[J].辽宁工程技术大学学报:自然科学版,2016,35(3):248-253.
[6]杜婉萁,董子文,杨桢,等.煤与瓦斯突出预测指标的区间数关联决策模型[J].辽宁工程技术大学学报:自然科学版,2015,34(11):1 222-1 227.
[7]付晓,袁树杰.基于灰色斜率关联度模型的瓦斯突出危险性风险评价[J].煤炭技术,2015,34(8):171-173.
[8]梁冰,秦冰,孙维吉,等.智能加权灰靶决策模型在煤与瓦斯突出危险评价中的应用[J].煤炭学报,2013,38(9):1 611-1 615.
[9]董春游,曹志国,商宇航,等.基于G-K评价与粗糙集的煤与瓦斯突出分类分析[J].煤炭学报,2011,36(7):1 156-1 160.
[10]刘俊娥,曾凡雷,郭章林.基于RS-SVM模型的煤与瓦斯突出多因素风险评价[J].中国安全科学学报,2011,21(7):21-26.
[11]黄维新,刘敦文,夏明.煤与瓦斯突出过程的细观机制研究[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2017,36(2):429-436.