苏北工业化发展与生态环境质量的综合评价及驱动效应
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摘要
加快工业化发展的同时促进生态环境建设,是区域经济可持续发展的必然选择。基于工业化、生态化的内涵与特征构建指标体系,评价苏北工业化进程、生态环境质量及其与苏中、苏南的区域差异,进而剖析苏北工业化对生态环境的驱动效应。研究表明:苏北地区总体处于工业化中期的后半阶段,但明显滞后于苏中、苏南及全国工业化进程;苏北生态环境质量总体良好并呈"升高-下降-升高"的"长N型"变化趋势,但低于苏中、苏南及全国平均水平,其动力主要源于自然生态环境质量及环境治理与污染控制的共同作用;苏北工业化发展对生态环境质量的振荡提升具有明显驱动效应,并与环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)基本吻合,为苏北工业化与生态环境的协同发展提供了理论借鉴和实践启迪。
Speeding up the development of industrialization and promoting the construction of ecological environment is an inevitable choice for the sustainable development of regional economy. This paper sets up an index system to evaluate the process of industrialization and quality of ecological environment in Northern Jiangsu Province, and the regional differences with Central and South of Jiangsu Province, and then analyzes the driving effect of industrialization to the ecological environment. The study shows that the Northern Jiangsu Province is generally in the second half of the middle period of industrialization, but it is obviously lagging behind the process of industrialization in the Central and South of Jiangsu Province and the whole country. The quality of eco-environment in Northern Jiangsu Province is generally good and shows a trend of "long N" change of "rise-drop-rise", but it is lower than that of the Central and South of Jiangsu Province and the national average, meanwhile its main power source is the natural ecological environment quality and the common effect of environmental control and pollution control.The industrialization development of Northern Jiangsu has obvious driving effect on the oscillation and promotion of the ecological environment quality, and it is also coincide with the Environmental Kuznets Curve(EKC) basically,and so it provides a theoretical reference and practical inspiration for the coordinated development of industrialization and ecological environment in Northern Jiangsu.
Speeding up the development of industrialization and promoting the construction of ecological environment is an inevitable choice for the sustainable development of regional economy. This paper sets up an index system to evaluate the process of industrialization and quality of ecological environment in Northern Jiangsu Province, and the regional differences with Central and South of Jiangsu Province, and then analyzes the driving effect of industrialization to the ecological environment. The study shows that the Northern Jiangsu Province is generally in the second half of the middle period of industrialization, but it is obviously lagging behind the process of industrialization in the Central and South of Jiangsu Province and the whole country. The quality of eco-environment in Northern Jiangsu Province is generally good and shows a trend of "long N" change of "rise-drop-rise", but it is lower than that of the Central and South of Jiangsu Province and the national average, meanwhile its main power source is the natural ecological environment quality and the common effect of environmental control and pollution control.The industrialization development of Northern Jiangsu has obvious driving effect on the oscillation and promotion of the ecological environment quality, and it is also coincide with the Environmental Kuznets Curve(EKC) basically,and so it provides a theoretical reference and practical inspiration for the coordinated development of industrialization and ecological environment in Northern Jiangsu.
引文
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[6]马秀颖,马敏娜,王志涛.基于多元化视角的吉林省工业化进程测度分析——兼论吉林省县域“三化”协调发展[J].税务与经济,2014(1):100-105.
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[9]李力.不同工业化阶段区域产业生态文明路径选择[J].生态经济,2014(4):172-175.
[10]甄江红,李灵敏,何孙鹏等.内蒙古工业化进程中的生态环境影响及其响应研究[J].干旱区资源与环境,2015(11):86-92.
[11]沈鸿飞,张军,邱慧珍,张智全.区域生态环境状况综合评价——以甘肃省庆阳市为例[J].干旱区资源与环境,2011(6):13-17.
[12]陈向阳.环境库兹涅茨曲线的理论与实证研究[J].中国经济问题,2015(3):51-62.
(1)正向经济意义指该指标在工业化进程评价意义上的实际最大、最小值,如第一产业就业比重10%-30%,则最大、最小值分别为10%和30%。
[2]H·钱纳里.工业化与经济增长的比较研究[M].上海:上海三联出版社,1989:73.
[3]西蒙·库兹涅茨.现代经济增长[M].北京:北京经济学院出版社,1989:12-25.
[4]陈佳贵,黄群慧,钟宏武.中国地区工业化进程的综合评价和特征分析[J].经济研究,2006(6):4-15.
[5]甄江红,贺静,陈芸芸等.内蒙古工业化进程的综合评价与演进分析[J].干旱区资源与环境,2014(2):25-30.
[6]马秀颖,马敏娜,王志涛.基于多元化视角的吉林省工业化进程测度分析——兼论吉林省县域“三化”协调发展[J].税务与经济,2014(1):100-105.
[7]贾百俊,刘科伟,王旭红等.工业化进程量化划分标准与方法[J].西北大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2011(5):59-64.
[8]陈佳贵、黄群慧、钟宏武、王延中等著.中国工业化进程报告[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2007.
[9]李力.不同工业化阶段区域产业生态文明路径选择[J].生态经济,2014(4):172-175.
[10]甄江红,李灵敏,何孙鹏等.内蒙古工业化进程中的生态环境影响及其响应研究[J].干旱区资源与环境,2015(11):86-92.
[11]沈鸿飞,张军,邱慧珍,张智全.区域生态环境状况综合评价——以甘肃省庆阳市为例[J].干旱区资源与环境,2011(6):13-17.
[12]陈向阳.环境库兹涅茨曲线的理论与实证研究[J].中国经济问题,2015(3):51-62.
(1)正向经济意义指该指标在工业化进程评价意义上的实际最大、最小值,如第一产业就业比重10%-30%,则最大、最小值分别为10%和30%。