基于GA-AHP和物元分析法的水库除险加固效益评价
|
摘要
针对水库除险加固工程的效益评价问题,综合考虑经济、社会、环境三个方面构建效益评价指标体系,采用遗传层次分析法(GA-AHP)确定指标权重,并建立物元分析评价模型(MEAE),分析工程治理效果,为水库的管理和维护提供依据。以宜昌市小溪塔黑湾水库除险加固工程为例,用定性和定量结合的方法量化各指标值,确定评价标准,对工程效益进行评价。结果表明,黑湾水库除险加固大部分效益指标达到了预期效益,与实际情况相符,验证了评价模型的有效性。
Aiming at evaluating the benefit of the reservoir reinforcement project,this paper established a benefit evaluation index system from three aspects of economy,society and environment.Combination of genetic algorithm with analytic hierarchy process was used to determine the weight of different index.Matter element analysis evaluation(MEAE)model was established to solve the index system.The effect of the project wass analyzed for the reservoir management and maintenance in the future.Taking the Black Bay Reservoir in Yichang City as an example,the value of each index was quantified by qualitative and quantitative analysis and evaluation criteria were determined to evaluate the benefits of the project.The evaluation results show that most of benefit index of reinforcement benefit of Black Bay Reservoir attain the expected benefits,which is basically consistent with the actual situation.The effectiveness of the evaluation model is verified.
Aiming at evaluating the benefit of the reservoir reinforcement project,this paper established a benefit evaluation index system from three aspects of economy,society and environment.Combination of genetic algorithm with analytic hierarchy process was used to determine the weight of different index.Matter element analysis evaluation(MEAE)model was established to solve the index system.The effect of the project wass analyzed for the reservoir management and maintenance in the future.Taking the Black Bay Reservoir in Yichang City as an example,the value of each index was quantified by qualitative and quantitative analysis and evaluation criteria were determined to evaluate the benefits of the project.The evaluation results show that most of benefit index of reinforcement benefit of Black Bay Reservoir attain the expected benefits,which is basically consistent with the actual situation.The effectiveness of the evaluation model is verified.
引文
[1]杜雷功.全国病险水库除险加固专项规划综述[J].水利水电工程设计,2003,22(3):1-5,64.
[2]严祖文,魏迎奇,张国栋.病险水库除险加固现状分析及对策[J].水利水电技术,2010,41(10):76-79.
[3]Wood E.An Analysis of Flood Levee Reliability[J].Water Resources Research,1977,13(3):665-671.
[4]姚文泉,竺小芹.水利工程加固改造建设项目效果和效益后评价方法探讨[J].治淮,2006(4):28-30.
[5]胡江,苏怀智.基于生命质量指数的病险水库除险加固效应评价方法[J].水利学报,2012,43(7):852-859,868.
[6]王宁,沈振中,徐力群,等.基于模拟退火层次分析法的病险水库除险加固效果评价[J].水电能源科学,2013,31(9):65-67,219.
[7]王庆,王冉冉,冯敏.病险水库除险加固治理效果的探讨[J].水利科技与经济,2014,20(12):118-120.
[8]施熙灿.水利工程经济学(第四版)[M].北京:中国水利水电出版社,2010.
[9]刘志斌,杨晓伟.基于组合权物元分析模型的地下水水质评价[J].安全与环境学报,2012,12(1):146-149.
[10]Liu B.The Analytic Hierarchy Process for the Reservoir Evaluation in Chaoyanggou Oilfield[J].Advances in Petroleum Exploration and Development,2013,6(2):46-50.
[11]蔡文.物元分析[M].广州:广东高等教育出版社,1987.
[12]Lihua Feng,Weihu Hong.Application of Matter Element Analysis in Weather Forecasting[J].Meteorological Applications,2014,21(2):398-402.
[2]严祖文,魏迎奇,张国栋.病险水库除险加固现状分析及对策[J].水利水电技术,2010,41(10):76-79.
[3]Wood E.An Analysis of Flood Levee Reliability[J].Water Resources Research,1977,13(3):665-671.
[4]姚文泉,竺小芹.水利工程加固改造建设项目效果和效益后评价方法探讨[J].治淮,2006(4):28-30.
[5]胡江,苏怀智.基于生命质量指数的病险水库除险加固效应评价方法[J].水利学报,2012,43(7):852-859,868.
[6]王宁,沈振中,徐力群,等.基于模拟退火层次分析法的病险水库除险加固效果评价[J].水电能源科学,2013,31(9):65-67,219.
[7]王庆,王冉冉,冯敏.病险水库除险加固治理效果的探讨[J].水利科技与经济,2014,20(12):118-120.
[8]施熙灿.水利工程经济学(第四版)[M].北京:中国水利水电出版社,2010.
[9]刘志斌,杨晓伟.基于组合权物元分析模型的地下水水质评价[J].安全与环境学报,2012,12(1):146-149.
[10]Liu B.The Analytic Hierarchy Process for the Reservoir Evaluation in Chaoyanggou Oilfield[J].Advances in Petroleum Exploration and Development,2013,6(2):46-50.
[11]蔡文.物元分析[M].广州:广东高等教育出版社,1987.
[12]Lihua Feng,Weihu Hong.Application of Matter Element Analysis in Weather Forecasting[J].Meteorological Applications,2014,21(2):398-402.