陆面水文—气候耦合模拟研究进展（英文）
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摘要
The terrestrial hydrological process is an essential but weak link in global/regional climate models. In this paper, the development status, research hotspots and trends in coupled atmosphere-hydrology simulations are identified through a bibliometric analysis, and the challenges and opportunities in this field are reviewed and summarized. Most climate models adopt the one-dimensional (vertical) land surface parameterization, which does not include a detailed description of basin-scale hydrological processes, particularly the effects of human activities on the underlying surfaces. To understand the interaction mechanism between hydrological processes and climate change, a large number of studies focused on the climate feedback effects of hydrological processes at different spatio-temporal scales, mainly through the coupling of hydrological and climate models. The improvement of the parameterization of hydrological process and the development of large-scale hydrological model in land surface process model lay a foundation for terrestrial hydrological-climate coupling simulation, based on which, the study of terrestrial hydrological-climate coupling is evolving from the traditional unidirectional coupling research to the two-way coupling study of "climate-hydrology" feedback. However, studies of fully coupled atmosphere-hydrology simulations (also called atmosphere-hydrology two-way coupling) are far from mature. The main challenges associated with these studies are: improving the potential mismatch in hydrological models and climate models; improving the stability of coupled systems; developing an effective scale conversion scheme; perfecting the parameterization scheme; evaluating parameter uncertainties; developing effective methodology for model parameter transplanting; and improving the applicability of models and high/super-resolution simulation. Solving these problems and improving simulation accuracy are directions for future hydro-climate coupling simulation research.
The terrestrial hydrological process is an essential but weak link in global/regional climate models. In this paper, the development status, research hotspots and trends in coupled atmosphere-hydrology simulations are identified through a bibliometric analysis, and the challenges and opportunities in this field are reviewed and summarized. Most climate models adopt the one-dimensional (vertical) land surface parameterization, which does not include a detailed description of basin-scale hydrological processes, particularly the effects of human activities on the underlying surfaces. To understand the interaction mechanism between hydrological processes and climate change, a large number of studies focused on the climate feedback effects of hydrological processes at different spatio-temporal scales, mainly through the coupling of hydrological and climate models. The improvement of the parameterization of hydrological process and the development of large-scale hydrological model in land surface process model lay a foundation for terrestrial hydrological-climate coupling simulation, based on which, the study of terrestrial hydrological-climate coupling is evolving from the traditional unidirectional coupling research to the two-way coupling study of "climate-hydrology" feedback. However, studies of fully coupled atmosphere-hydrology simulations (also called atmosphere-hydrology two-way coupling) are far from mature. The main challenges associated with these studies are: improving the potential mismatch in hydrological models and climate models; improving the stability of coupled systems; developing an effective scale conversion scheme; perfecting the parameterization scheme; evaluating parameter uncertainties; developing effective methodology for model parameter transplanting; and improving the applicability of models and high/super-resolution simulation. Solving these problems and improving simulation accuracy are directions for future hydro-climate coupling simulation research.
The terrestrial hydrological process is an essential but weak link in global/regional climate models. In this paper, the development status, research hotspots and trends in coupled atmosphere-hydrology simulations are identified through a bibliometric analysis, and the challenges and opportunities in this field are reviewed and summarized. Most climate models adopt the one-dimensional (vertical) land surface parameterization, which does not include a detailed description of basin-scale hydrological processes, particularly the effects of human activities on the underlying surfaces. To understand the interaction mechanism between hydrological processes and climate change, a large number of studies focused on the climate feedback effects of hydrological processes at different spatio-temporal scales, mainly through the coupling of hydrological and climate models. The improvement of the parameterization of hydrological process and the development of large-scale hydrological model in land surface process model lay a foundation for terrestrial hydrological-climate coupling simulation, based on which, the study of terrestrial hydrological-climate coupling is evolving from the traditional unidirectional coupling research to the two-way coupling study of "climate-hydrology" feedback. However, studies of fully coupled atmosphere-hydrology simulations (also called atmosphere-hydrology two-way coupling) are far from mature. The main challenges associated with these studies are: improving the potential mismatch in hydrological models and climate models; improving the stability of coupled systems; developing an effective scale conversion scheme; perfecting the parameterization scheme; evaluating parameter uncertainties; developing effective methodology for model parameter transplanting; and improving the applicability of models and high/super-resolution simulation. Solving these problems and improving simulation accuracy are directions for future hydro-climate coupling simulation research.
引文
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Chen Z Q R,Kavvas M L,Ohara N et al.,2011b.Impact of water resources utilization on the hydrology of mesopotamian marshlands.Journal of Hydrologic Engineering,16(12):1083-1092.
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Kerandi N,Arnault J,Laux P et al.,2018.Joint atmospheric-terrestrial water balances for East Africa:AWRF-Hydro case study for the upper Tana River basin.Theoretical and Applied Climatology,131(3):1337-1355.
Kollet S J,Maxwell R M,2008a.Capturing the influence of groundwater dynamics on land surface processes using an integrated,distributed watershed model.Water Resources Research,44(2):W02402.
Kollet S J,Maxwell R M,2008b.Demonstrating fractal scaling of baseflow residence time distributions using a fully-coupled groundwater and land surface model.Geophysical Research Letters,35(7):L07402.
Kruk N S,Vendrame I F,Chou S C,2013.Coupling a mesoscale atmospheric model with a distributed hydrological model applied to a watershed in Southeast Brazil.Journal of Hydrologic Engineering,18(1):58-65.
Landman W A,Kgatuke M J,Mbedzi M et al.,2009.Performance comparison of some dynamical and empirical downscaling methods for South Africa from a seasonal climate modelling perspective.International Journal of Climatology,29(11):1535-1549.
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Li M X,Ma Z G,Lv M X,2017.Variability of modeled runoff over China and its links to climate change.Climatic Change,144(3):433-445.
Liang X,Lettenmaier D P,Wood E F et al.,1994.A simple hydrologically based model of land-surface water and energy fluxes for general-circulation models.Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres,99(D7):14415-14428.
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Liu Y,Weerts A H,Clark M et al.,2012.Advancing data assimilation in operational hydrologic forecasting:Progresses,challenges,and emerging opportunities.Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,16(10):3863-3887.
Livneh B,Xia Y L,Mitchell K E et al.,2010.Noah LSM snow model diagnostics and enhancements.Journal of Hydrometeorology,11(3):721-738.
Luo S Q,Lu S H,Zhang Y,2009.Development and validation of the frozen soil parameterization scheme in Common Land Model.Cold Regions Science and Technology,55(1):130-140.
Manabe S,1969.Climate and the ocean circulation:I.The atmospheric circulation and the hydrology of the earth’s surface.Monthly Weather Review,97(11):739-774.
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Maxwell R M,Miller N L,2005.Development of a coupled land surface and groundwater model.Journal of Hydrometeorology,6(3):233-247.
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Oubeidillah A A,Kao S C,Ashfaq M et al.,2014.A large-scale,high-resolution hydrological model parameter data set for climate change impact assessment for the conterminous US.Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,18(1):67-84.
Patil S D,Stieglitz M,2015.Comparing Spatial and temporal transferability of hydrological model parameters.Journal of Hydrology,525:409-417.
Peng T,Shen T,Gao Y et al.,2014.Research and application progress on basin hydro-meteorology coupling flood forecasting.Advances in Meteorological Science and Technology,2(4):52-58.(in Chinese)
Pokhrel Y,Hanasaki N,Koirala S et al.,2012.Incorporating anthropogenic water regulation modules into a land surface model.Journal of Hydrometeorology,13(1):255-269.
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Benke K K,Lowell K E,Hamilton A J,2008.Parameter uncertainty,sensitivity analysis and prediction error in a water-balance hydrological model.Mathematical and Computer Modelling,47(11/12):1134-1149.
Bergstrom S,Graham L P,1998.On the scale problem in hydrological modelling.Journal of Hydrology,211(1-4):253-265.
Beven K,Cloke H,Pappenberger F et al.,2015.Hyperresolution information and hyperresolution ignorance in modelling the hydrology of the land surface.Science China-Earth Sciences,58(1):25-35.
Beven K J,Cloke H L,2012.Comment on“Hyperresolution global land surface modeling:Meeting a grand challenge for monitoring Earth’s terrestrial water”by Eric F.Wood et al.Water Resources Research,48(1):W01801.
Bierkens M F P,2015.Global hydrology 2015:State,trends,and directions.Water Resources Research,51(7):4923-4947.
Bierkens M F P,Bell V A,Burek P et al.,2015.Hyper-resolution global hydrological modelling:What is next?“Everywhere and locally relevant”.Hydrological Processes,29(2):310-320.
Chen F,Xie Z H,2010.Effects of interbasin water transfer on regional climate:A case study of the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Transfer Project in China.Journal of Geophysical Research:Atmospheres,115(D11):112.
Chen Z Q R,Kavvas M L,Ohara N et al.,2011a.Coupled regional hydroclimate model and its application to the Tigris-Euphrates Basin.Journal of Hydrologic Engineering,16(12):1059-1070.
Chen Z Q R,Kavvas M L,Ohara N et al.,2011b.Impact of water resources utilization on the hydrology of mesopotamian marshlands.Journal of Hydrologic Engineering,16(12):1083-1092.
Chiew F H S,Kirono D G C,Kent D M et al.,2010.Comparison of runoff modelled using rainfall from different downscaling methods for historical and future climates.Journal of Hydrology,387(1/2):10-23.
Costa M H,Botta A,Cardille J A,2003.Effects of large-scale changes in land cover on the discharge of the Tocantins River,Southeastern Amazonia.Journal of Hydrology,283(1-4):206-217.
Dai Y J,Zeng X B,Dickinson R E et al.,2003.The common land model.Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,84(8):1013-1023.
Decker M,Zeng X B,2009.Impact of modified richards equation on global soil moisture simulation in the Community Land Model(CLM3.5).Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems,1(3):22.
Fiorentini M,Orlandini S,Paniconi C,2015.Control of coupling mass balance error in a process-based numerical model of surface-subsurface flow interaction.Water Resources Research,51(7):5698-5716.
Foley J A,DeFries R,Asner G P et al.,2005.Global consequences of land use.Science,309(5734):570-574.
Gregersen J B,Gijsbers P J A,Westen S J P,2007.OpenMI:Open modelling interface.Journal of Hydroinformatics,9(3):175-191.
Guo S,Liu C,1997.Large scale hydrological models and its coupling with atmospheric models.Journal of Hydraulic Engineering,7:37-41.(in Chinese)
Habets F,Noilhan J,Golaz C et al.,1999.The ISBA surface scheme in a macroscale hydrological model applied to the Hapex-Mobilhy area(Part II):Simulation of streamflows and annual water budget.Journal of Hydrology,217(1/2):97-118.
Haddeland I,Clark D B,Franssen W et al.,2011.Multimodel estimate of the global terrestrial water balance:Setup and first results.Journal of Hydrometeorology,12(5):869-884.
Haddeland I,Skaugen T,Lettenmaier D P,2006.Anthropogenic impacts on continental surface water fluxes.Geophysical Research Letters,33(8):L08406.
Hanasaki N,Kanae S,Oki T et al.,2008.An integrated model for the assessment of global water resources (Part 1):Model description and input meteorological forcing.Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,12(4):1007-1025.
Heuvelmans G,Muys B,Feyen J,2004.Evaluation of hydrological model parameter transferability for simulating the impact of land use on catchment hydrology.Physics and Chemistry of the Earth,29(11/12):739-747.
IPCC,2015.Climate Change 2014:Mitigation of Climate Change.Vol.3.Cambridge:Cambridge University Press.
Kavvas M L,Kure S,Chen Z Q et al.,2013.WEHY-HCM for modeling interactive atmospheric-hydrologic processes at watershed scale.I:Model description.Journal of Hydrologic Engineering,18(10):1262-1271.
Kerandi N,Arnault J,Laux P et al.,2018.Joint atmospheric-terrestrial water balances for East Africa:AWRF-Hydro case study for the upper Tana River basin.Theoretical and Applied Climatology,131(3):1337-1355.
Kollet S J,Maxwell R M,2008a.Capturing the influence of groundwater dynamics on land surface processes using an integrated,distributed watershed model.Water Resources Research,44(2):W02402.
Kollet S J,Maxwell R M,2008b.Demonstrating fractal scaling of baseflow residence time distributions using a fully-coupled groundwater and land surface model.Geophysical Research Letters,35(7):L07402.
Kruk N S,Vendrame I F,Chou S C,2013.Coupling a mesoscale atmospheric model with a distributed hydrological model applied to a watershed in Southeast Brazil.Journal of Hydrologic Engineering,18(1):58-65.
Landman W A,Kgatuke M J,Mbedzi M et al.,2009.Performance comparison of some dynamical and empirical downscaling methods for South Africa from a seasonal climate modelling perspective.International Journal of Climatology,29(11):1535-1549.
Larsen M A D,Refsgaard J C,Drews M et al.,2014.Results from a full coupling of the HIRHAM regional climate model and the MIKE SHE hydrological model for a Danish catchment.Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,18(11):4733-4749.
Lawrence P J,Chase T N,2010.Investigating the climate impacts of global land cover change in the community climate system model.International Journal of Climatology,30(13):2066-2087.
Li M X,Ma Z G,Lv M X,2017.Variability of modeled runoff over China and its links to climate change.Climatic Change,144(3):433-445.
Liang X,Lettenmaier D P,Wood E F et al.,1994.A simple hydrologically based model of land-surface water and energy fluxes for general-circulation models.Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres,99(D7):14415-14428.
Liang X,Wood E F,Lettenmaier D P et al.,1998.The Project for Intercomparison of Land-surface Parameterization Schemes(PILPS)phase 2(c)Red-Arkansas River basin experiment:2.Spatial and temporal analysis of energy fluxes.Global and Planetary Change,19(1-4):137-159.
Liu C,Li D,Tian Y et al.,2003.An application study of dem based distributed hydrological model on macroscale watershed.Progress in Geography,22(5):437-445.(in Chinese)
Liu Y,Weerts A H,Clark M et al.,2012.Advancing data assimilation in operational hydrologic forecasting:Progresses,challenges,and emerging opportunities.Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,16(10):3863-3887.
Livneh B,Xia Y L,Mitchell K E et al.,2010.Noah LSM snow model diagnostics and enhancements.Journal of Hydrometeorology,11(3):721-738.
Luo S Q,Lu S H,Zhang Y,2009.Development and validation of the frozen soil parameterization scheme in Common Land Model.Cold Regions Science and Technology,55(1):130-140.
Manabe S,1969.Climate and the ocean circulation:I.The atmospheric circulation and the hydrology of the earth’s surface.Monthly Weather Review,97(11):739-774.
Maxwell R M,Lundquist J K,Mirocha J D et al.,2011.Development of a coupled groundwater-atmosphere model.Monthly Weather Review,139(1):96-116.
Maxwell R M,Miller N L,2005.Development of a coupled land surface and groundwater model.Journal of Hydrometeorology,6(3):233-247.
Ning L K,Xia J,Zhan C S et al.,2016.Runoff of arid and semi-arid regions simulated and projected by CLM-DTVGM and its multi-scale fluctuations as revealed by EEMD analysis.Journal of Arid Land,8(4):506-520.
Niu G Y,Yang Z L,Dickinson R E et al.,2005.A simple TOPMODEL-based runoff parameterization (SIMTOP) for use in global climate models.Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres,110(D21):D21106.
Notter B,MacMillan L,Viviroli D et al.,2007.Impacts of environmental change on water resources in the Mt.Kenya region.Journal of Hydrology,343(3/4):266-278.
Oleson K W,Lawrence D M,Gordon B et al.,2010.Technical description of version 4.0 of the Community Land Model(CLM).
Oubeidillah A A,Kao S C,Ashfaq M et al.,2014.A large-scale,high-resolution hydrological model parameter data set for climate change impact assessment for the conterminous US.Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,18(1):67-84.
Patil S D,Stieglitz M,2015.Comparing Spatial and temporal transferability of hydrological model parameters.Journal of Hydrology,525:409-417.
Peng T,Shen T,Gao Y et al.,2014.Research and application progress on basin hydro-meteorology coupling flood forecasting.Advances in Meteorological Science and Technology,2(4):52-58.(in Chinese)
Pokhrel Y,Hanasaki N,Koirala S et al.,2012.Incorporating anthropogenic water regulation modules into a land surface model.Journal of Hydrometeorology,13(1):255-269.
Ragab R,Bromley J,2010.IHMS-integrated hydrological modelling system.Part 1.Hydrological processes and general structure.Hydrological Processes,24(19):2663-2680.
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