精准扶贫视角下湖南省贫困治理绩效评价研究
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摘要
构建湖南省贫困治理评价指标体系,运用湖南省51个扶贫开发重点县2014-2017年数据,对湖南省贫困治理绩效进行实证分析,实证分析结果显示:湖南省精准扶贫的贫困治理绩效显著,但减贫边际效应递减;精准扶贫具有缩小贫富差距、改善贫困人口生活条件、促进贫困地区公共服务发展的突出效果.在此基础上,对湖南省的精准扶贫目标完成进度进行评估,评估结果为:在原有扶贫政策措施作用下,依照湖南省2014-2017年的减贫速度,湖南省2020年精准扶贫的预期目标可基本完成,贫困发生率和农民人均可支配收入两个目标甚至可以提前完成.但消除绝对贫困的目标任重道远,预计2020年仍有百万农村人口处于贫困状态.
This paper constructs the Performance Evaluation Index System on the Anti-Poverty Program in Hunan Province,and empirically studies the performance of anti-poverty program in Hunan using data in 51 key counties for anti-poverty program in Hunan during the 2014-2017 period.Empirical results show that significant progress has been made by targeted anti-poverty program in Hunan,but marginal effect of alleviating poverty is diminishing,and that targeted poverty alleviation is conductive to narrowing income gap,ameliorating living conditions of the poor,and improving the public service in poverty areas.In this regard,this paper evaluates the completion progress of the goal of Hunan's targeted anti-poverty program.We find that given the original anti-poverty policies,the desired goal of targeted anti-poverty program for the year 2020 in Hunan may be completed in accordance with the speed of poverty reduction between 2014 and 2017,and may even reach ahead of time the goal with regard to poverty occurrence rate and farmer's disposable income per capita,but there is still a long way to go before absolute poverty is eliminated.It is expected that by the year 2020 as many as one million rural population would still live in poverty.
This paper constructs the Performance Evaluation Index System on the Anti-Poverty Program in Hunan Province,and empirically studies the performance of anti-poverty program in Hunan using data in 51 key counties for anti-poverty program in Hunan during the 2014-2017 period.Empirical results show that significant progress has been made by targeted anti-poverty program in Hunan,but marginal effect of alleviating poverty is diminishing,and that targeted poverty alleviation is conductive to narrowing income gap,ameliorating living conditions of the poor,and improving the public service in poverty areas.In this regard,this paper evaluates the completion progress of the goal of Hunan's targeted anti-poverty program.We find that given the original anti-poverty policies,the desired goal of targeted anti-poverty program for the year 2020 in Hunan may be completed in accordance with the speed of poverty reduction between 2014 and 2017,and may even reach ahead of time the goal with regard to poverty occurrence rate and farmer's disposable income per capita,but there is still a long way to go before absolute poverty is eliminated.It is expected that by the year 2020 as many as one million rural population would still live in poverty.
引文
[1]World Bank Group,International Monetary Fund.Global Monitoring Report2014/2015:Ending Poverty and Sharing Prosperity[R].Washington,DC:World Bank 91570,2015.
[2]AMIN A,THRIFT N.Globalisation,Institutional"Thickness"and the Local Economy[C]//Patsy Healey,Stuart Cameron,Simin Davoudi.Managing cities:the new urban context[M].New York:John Wiley and Sons,1995:91-108.
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[6]李裕瑞,曹智,郑小玉,刘彦随.我国实施精准扶贫的区域模式与可持续途径[J].中国科学院院刊,2016,31(03):279-288.
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[9]刘建民,欧阳玲,毛军.财政教育支出的农村减贫效应研究——基于网络空间结构的分析[J].财经理论与实践,2018,39(06):64-68.
[10]冯朝睿.多中心协同反贫困治理体系研究——以滇西北边境山区为例[J].西北人口,2016,37(4):30-36.
[11]范和生,唐惠敏.农村贫困治理与精准扶贫的政策改进[J].中国特色社会主义研究,2017(1):45-52.
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[13]董少杰.呼包鄂协同推进贫困治理的机制与对策研究[J].中国集体经济,2018(8):29-31.
[14]田晓平.河北省贫困治理标准化体系构建与实施研究[J].中国质量与标准导报,2018(1):51-55.
[15]刘娟.新阶段农村贫困治理面临的政策障碍与完善路径[J].现代经济探讨,2012(9):49-53.
[16]姚云云,邱心凯,曹隽.资本的培育:我国农村社区多维贫困治理路径[J].江汉学术,2015,34(4):39-48.
[17]张莎.贫困地区实现金融扶贫有效治理的路径探析[J].理论观察,2016(2):38-40.
[18]张屹,韩太平,舒晓虎.共享发展理念下的中国农村贫困治理:逻辑演变与路径再造[J].中共贵州省委党校学报,2016(3):107-112.
[19]厉亚,宁晓青.消费扶贫赋能脱贫攻坚的内在机理与实现路径[J].湖南科技学院学报,2019(2):3-7.
[20]AN S,SEN A K.Concepts of human development and poverty:A multidimensional perspective[J].1997(1):157-163.
[21]ALKIRE S,SANTOS M E.Acute Multidimensional Poverty:A New Index for Developing Countries[J].Social Science Electronic Publishing,2010,38(HDRP-2010-11).
[22]ALKIRE S,FOSTER J.Counting and multidimensional poverty measurement[J].Journal of Public Economics,2007,95(7):476-487.
[23]喻军.河南贫困地区尽快脱贫的思路与建议[J].郑州航空工业管理学院学报,2011,29(2):46-50.
[24]庄天慧,张海霞,余崇媛.西南少数民族贫困县反贫困综合绩效模糊评价——以10个国家扶贫重点县为例[J].西北人口,2012,33(3):89-93.
[25]刘俊英,时帅.论贫困治理绩效评价——价值理性与工具理性的双重分析[J].长白学刊,2018(4):121-128.
[26]陈银娥,张德伟.县域金融发展与多维贫困减缓——基于湖南省51个贫困县的实证研究[J].财经理论与实践,2018,39(2):109-114.
[27]曾志红.新扶贫标准下集中连片特困地区致贫因素分析——基于武陵山湖南片区300农户的调研[J].经济体制改革,2013(06):55-58.
[28]谢志明,晏奎,周乐明,等.经济增长、能源转型与CO??2排放的长期均衡——基于省级面板数据的实证分析[J].财经理论与实践,2017,38(6):113-118.
[29]黄渊基.连片特困地区旅游扶贫效率评价及时空分异——以武陵山湖南片区20个县(市、区)为例[J].经济地理,2017,37(11):229-235.
[30]宋安平.湖南易地扶贫搬迁的成效、问题及政策研究[J].湖南社会科学,2018(05):126-133.
[2]AMIN A,THRIFT N.Globalisation,Institutional"Thickness"and the Local Economy[C]//Patsy Healey,Stuart Cameron,Simin Davoudi.Managing cities:the new urban context[M].New York:John Wiley and Sons,1995:91-108.
[3]WARD P S.Transient poverty,poverty dynamics,and vulnerability to poverty:An empirical analysis using a balanced panel from rural China[J].World Development,2016(78):541-553.
[4]刘彦随,周扬,刘继来.中国农村贫困化地域分异特征及其精准扶贫策略[J].中国科学院院刊,2016,31(03):269-278.
[5]王介勇,陈玉福,严茂超.我国精准扶贫政策及其创新路径研究[J].中国科学院院刊,2016,31(03):289-295.
[6]李裕瑞,曹智,郑小玉,刘彦随.我国实施精准扶贫的区域模式与可持续途径[J].中国科学院院刊,2016,31(03):279-288.
[7]何得桂,党国英,张正芳.精准扶贫与基层治理:移民搬迁中的非结构性制约[J].西北人口,2016,37(06):55-62.
[8]李玉恒,王艳飞,刘彦随.我国扶贫开发中社会资本作用机理及效应[J].中国科学院院刊,2016,31(03):302-308.
[9]刘建民,欧阳玲,毛军.财政教育支出的农村减贫效应研究——基于网络空间结构的分析[J].财经理论与实践,2018,39(06):64-68.
[10]冯朝睿.多中心协同反贫困治理体系研究——以滇西北边境山区为例[J].西北人口,2016,37(4):30-36.
[11]范和生,唐惠敏.农村贫困治理与精准扶贫的政策改进[J].中国特色社会主义研究,2017(1):45-52.
[12]吕方,冯静.国家贫困治理体系的供给侧结构性改革[J].党政研究,2017(5):45-52.
[13]董少杰.呼包鄂协同推进贫困治理的机制与对策研究[J].中国集体经济,2018(8):29-31.
[14]田晓平.河北省贫困治理标准化体系构建与实施研究[J].中国质量与标准导报,2018(1):51-55.
[15]刘娟.新阶段农村贫困治理面临的政策障碍与完善路径[J].现代经济探讨,2012(9):49-53.
[16]姚云云,邱心凯,曹隽.资本的培育:我国农村社区多维贫困治理路径[J].江汉学术,2015,34(4):39-48.
[17]张莎.贫困地区实现金融扶贫有效治理的路径探析[J].理论观察,2016(2):38-40.
[18]张屹,韩太平,舒晓虎.共享发展理念下的中国农村贫困治理:逻辑演变与路径再造[J].中共贵州省委党校学报,2016(3):107-112.
[19]厉亚,宁晓青.消费扶贫赋能脱贫攻坚的内在机理与实现路径[J].湖南科技学院学报,2019(2):3-7.
[20]AN S,SEN A K.Concepts of human development and poverty:A multidimensional perspective[J].1997(1):157-163.
[21]ALKIRE S,SANTOS M E.Acute Multidimensional Poverty:A New Index for Developing Countries[J].Social Science Electronic Publishing,2010,38(HDRP-2010-11).
[22]ALKIRE S,FOSTER J.Counting and multidimensional poverty measurement[J].Journal of Public Economics,2007,95(7):476-487.
[23]喻军.河南贫困地区尽快脱贫的思路与建议[J].郑州航空工业管理学院学报,2011,29(2):46-50.
[24]庄天慧,张海霞,余崇媛.西南少数民族贫困县反贫困综合绩效模糊评价——以10个国家扶贫重点县为例[J].西北人口,2012,33(3):89-93.
[25]刘俊英,时帅.论贫困治理绩效评价——价值理性与工具理性的双重分析[J].长白学刊,2018(4):121-128.
[26]陈银娥,张德伟.县域金融发展与多维贫困减缓——基于湖南省51个贫困县的实证研究[J].财经理论与实践,2018,39(2):109-114.
[27]曾志红.新扶贫标准下集中连片特困地区致贫因素分析——基于武陵山湖南片区300农户的调研[J].经济体制改革,2013(06):55-58.
[28]谢志明,晏奎,周乐明,等.经济增长、能源转型与CO??2排放的长期均衡——基于省级面板数据的实证分析[J].财经理论与实践,2017,38(6):113-118.
[29]黄渊基.连片特困地区旅游扶贫效率评价及时空分异——以武陵山湖南片区20个县(市、区)为例[J].经济地理,2017,37(11):229-235.
[30]宋安平.湖南易地扶贫搬迁的成效、问题及政策研究[J].湖南社会科学,2018(05):126-133.