摘要
生态系统服务具有空间异质性和时间变异性,这导致服务功能间的权衡、协同和中立。权衡是生态系统管理及最优化决策研究中的关键问题之一。本文综述生态系统服务间权衡识别方法,并对未来生态系统服务模型发展提出建议。主要结论:(1)生态系统服务评估基于定量化指标及其模型模拟;(2)生态系统服务权衡分析多以相关性为主,情景分析、多目标分析、生产可能性边界成为生态系统服务权衡决策的有效手段;(3)未来研究需加强生态系统服务供需流、辅助决策的生态系统制图等。最后,应该集成模型以模拟和诊断情景,优化土地和生态系统管理不同措施,实现区域可持续发展。
Ecosystem services are spatially heterogeneous and temporal variability, which results in trade-offs,synergies and neutrality. The trade-off is a key problem in ecosystem management and requires optimized decision-making research. This paper reviews methods for identifying trade-offs and suggest future model developments. We conclude that(1) ecosystem service assessment depends on quantitative indicators and its modeling;(2)scenario analysis, multi-objective analysis and production possibility boundary are an effective means of ecosystem service trade-off decision-making;(3) future research needs to strengthen ecosystem service supply and demand flow and assist decision-making ecosystem mapping. Finally, integrated models should be developed to simulate and diagnose different scenarios and to optimize measures in land and ecosystem management for sustainability.
引文
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