生态系统服务权衡量化方法综述及未来模型发展（英文）
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摘要
生态系统服务具有空间异质性和时间变异性,这导致服务功能间的权衡、协同和中立。权衡是生态系统管理及最优化决策研究中的关键问题之一。本文综述生态系统服务间权衡识别方法,并对未来生态系统服务模型发展提出建议。主要结论:(1)生态系统服务评估基于定量化指标及其模型模拟;(2)生态系统服务权衡分析多以相关性为主,情景分析、多目标分析、生产可能性边界成为生态系统服务权衡决策的有效手段;(3)未来研究需加强生态系统服务供需流、辅助决策的生态系统制图等。最后,应该集成模型以模拟和诊断情景,优化土地和生态系统管理不同措施,实现区域可持续发展。
Ecosystem services are spatially heterogeneous and temporal variability, which results in trade-offs,synergies and neutrality. The trade-off is a key problem in ecosystem management and requires optimized decision-making research. This paper reviews methods for identifying trade-offs and suggest future model developments. We conclude that(1) ecosystem service assessment depends on quantitative indicators and its modeling;(2)scenario analysis, multi-objective analysis and production possibility boundary are an effective means of ecosystem service trade-off decision-making;(3) future research needs to strengthen ecosystem service supply and demand flow and assist decision-making ecosystem mapping. Finally, integrated models should be developed to simulate and diagnose different scenarios and to optimize measures in land and ecosystem management for sustainability.
Ecosystem services are spatially heterogeneous and temporal variability, which results in trade-offs,synergies and neutrality. The trade-off is a key problem in ecosystem management and requires optimized decision-making research. This paper reviews methods for identifying trade-offs and suggest future model developments. We conclude that(1) ecosystem service assessment depends on quantitative indicators and its modeling;(2)scenario analysis, multi-objective analysis and production possibility boundary are an effective means of ecosystem service trade-off decision-making;(3) future research needs to strengthen ecosystem service supply and demand flow and assist decision-making ecosystem mapping. Finally, integrated models should be developed to simulate and diagnose different scenarios and to optimize measures in land and ecosystem management for sustainability.
引文
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Fan M,Shibata H,Chen L.2018.Assessing high impacts of climate change:spatial characteristics and relationships of hydrological ecosystem services in northern Japan(Teshio River watershed).Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change,23(4):525-552.
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Fu M,Tian J,Zhu Y,et al.2017.Identification of functional zones and methods of target management in Sanjiangyuan National Park.Biodiversity Science,25(1):71-79.
Goldenberg R,Kalantari Z,Cvetkovic V,et al.2017.Distinction,quantification and mapping of potential and realized supply-demand of flowdependent ecosystem services.Sci Total Environ,593-594:599-609.
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Gret-Regamey A,Siren E,Brunner S H,et al.2017.Review of decision support tools to operationalize the ecosystem services concept.Ecosystem Services,26:306-315.
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Han W.2016.Xi'an metropolitan area agricultural ecosystem service tradeoff and synergy relationship and its driving force.Shaanxi Normal University.(in Chinese)
Hao M Y,Ren Z Y,Sun Y J,et al.2017.Dynamic analysis of trade-offs and synergies between ecosystem services in Guanzhong Basin.Geography Research,36(3):592-602.(in Chinese)
He J,Huang J,Li C.2017.The evaluation for the impact of land use change on habitat quality:A joint contribution of cellular automata scenario simulation and habitat quality assessment model.Ecological Modelling,366:58-67.
Hu H T,Fu B J,LüY H,et al.2015.SAORES:A spatially explicit assessment and optimization tool for regional ecosystem services.Landscape Ecology,30(3):547-560.
Huang I B,Keisler J,Linkov I.2011.Multi-criteria decision analysis in environmental sciences:Ten years of applications and trends.Science of the Total Environment,409(19):3578-3594.
Jonsson P,Eklundh L.2004.TIMESAT-a program for analyzing timeseries of satellite sensor data.Computers&Geosciences,30(8):833-845.
Kaim A,Cord A F,Volk M.2018.A review of multi-criteria optimization techniques for agricultural land use allocation.Environmental Modelling&Software,105:79-93.
Kim H,Rosa I M D,Alkemade R,et al.2018.A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios.bioRxiv,10.1101/300632.
Kim I,Arnhold S.2018.Mapping environmental land use conflict potentials and ecosystem services in agricultural watersheds.Science of the Total Environment,630:827-838.
Lautenbach S,Volk M,Strauch M,et al.2013.Optimization-based tradeoff analysis of biodiesel crop production for managing an agricultural catchment.Environmental Modelling&Software,48:98-112.
Law E A,Bryan B A,Meijaard E,et al.2017.Mixed policies give more options in multifunctional tropical forest landscapes.Journal of Applied Ecology,54(1):51-60.
Le Clec'h S,Jegou N,Decaens T,et al.2018a.From field data to ecosystem services maps:using regressions for the case of deforested areas within the Amazon.Ecosystems,21(2):216-236.
Le Clec'h S,Sloan S,Gond V,et al.2018b.Mapping ecosystem services at the regional scale:the validity of an upscaling approach.International Journal of Geographical Information Science,32(8):1593-1610.
Lee H,Lautenbach S.2016.A quantitative review of relationships between ecosystem services.Ecological Indicators,66:340-351.
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