雅典奥运会的债务危机对我国冬奥会的启示——基于经济学效应分析
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摘要
奥斯陆退出2022年冬奥会的申办,越来越多的国家更加意识到奥运会对本国经济发展不单纯是积极影响,也会产生负面作用。本文运用多种经济效益分析作为奥运会起源地的雅典承办奥运会过程中产生的债务危机,结果表明:在雅典奥运会承办前期存在"提振效应"和"羊群效应",奥运会承办过程中出现阻碍希腊经济发展的"木桶效应""蝴蝶效应""挤出效应",最终产生"低谷效应",为避免不利效应,提出相应对策,为我国2022冬奥会提供理论建议。
After Oslo's withdrawal from the 2022 Winter Olympic Games,more and more countries are aware that the Olympic Games will not only have a positive impact on the economic development of their own country,but also have a negative effect. Using a variety of economic benefits,the debt crisis of Athens while hosting the Game is analyzed. The result shows that there are " Booster Effect" and " Herd Effect" in the early stage of Athens Olympic Games. During the hosting of the Olympic Game,the " barrel effect", " butterfly effect" and " crowding out effect " hindered the economic development of Greece. Finally,the " trough effect " is created,and corresponding countermeasures are put forward to avoid adverse effects,so as to provide theoretical suggestions for China's 2022 Winter Olympic Games.
After Oslo's withdrawal from the 2022 Winter Olympic Games,more and more countries are aware that the Olympic Games will not only have a positive impact on the economic development of their own country,but also have a negative effect. Using a variety of economic benefits,the debt crisis of Athens while hosting the Game is analyzed. The result shows that there are " Booster Effect" and " Herd Effect" in the early stage of Athens Olympic Games. During the hosting of the Olympic Game,the " barrel effect", " butterfly effect" and " crowding out effect " hindered the economic development of Greece. Finally,the " trough effect " is created,and corresponding countermeasures are put forward to avoid adverse effects,so as to provide theoretical suggestions for China's 2022 Winter Olympic Games.
引文
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[2]柴王军.奥运会与主办城市关系嬗变的文化学考察[J].体育文化导刊.2017(11):7-10.
[3]王坤.举办奥运会对我国经济的影响[J].现代营销(学苑版),2012.2.7.
[4]黄凤娟,付哲敏.大型体育赛事管理中的体育场馆选址问题的建模与分析[J].沈阳体育学院学报,2010,29(3):29-32.
[5]王永顺,易剑东.希腊债务危机是由雅典奥运会导致的吗[J].体育与科学,2012,9(33):7-9.
[6]杨军,王振.学校德育工作者德行的“木桶效应”与“蝴蝶效应[J].内蒙古师范大学学报(教育科学版)2008,(21)39-40.
[7]王献玲.“蝴蝶效应”与小学生职业生涯发展教育[J].天津师范大学学报(基础教育版)2017,(12)33-35.
[8]耿松涛,李恒云.基于社会交换理论的体育赛事旅游者消费决策行为研究:一个概念研究框架[J].体育科学,2012,32(11):27-33.
[9]王重润,崔寅生.房地产投资挤出效应及其对经济增长的影响[J].现代财经2012(9)42-44.
[10]李俊梅.网络组织风险传导机理研究张筑生[D].山西:山西财经大学,2011:23-27.
[11]陈伟.基于“羊群效应”视角下暴走热现象的社会学分析[J].体育科技文献通报2018(3)41-143.
[12]宋娜梅,梁建平,寿在勇.体育赛事产业对经济发展贡献的评价方法探讨[J].体育与科学,2011,32(5):23-26.