技术进步与产业结构对环境污染治理投资的影响研究——基于全要素生产率的变化及其分解
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摘要
基于DEA模型测算各省份的Malmquist指数,将全要素生产率变化分解成技术效率变化和技术进步变化,在此基础上引入产业结构,构建计量实证模型,利用中国的省级面板数据,深入研究全要素生产率变化及其分解与产业结构对环境污染治理投资的影响及地区性差异。研究发现:第一,中国全要素生产率变化有下降趋势,主要因技术进步变化而引起,且存在显著的地区性差异。第二,无论是否考虑产业结构,全要素生产率变化及其分解均可以有效地降低环境污染治理投资,且存在显著的地区性差异,其中,不考虑产业结构时,技术进步变化降低环境污染治理投资的作用更大;考虑产业结构时,技术效率变化的降低作用较大,技术进步变化的作用有较大的下降。第三,产业结构加剧了环境污染治理投资,反映出在产业结构调整和优化中并未考虑到环保和绿色。
Based on the DEA model, the paper measures Malmquist index of the provinces, the change of TFP decomposes into technical efficiency change and technological progress change. Introducing the industrial structure, building econometric empirical model, using China's province-level panel data, the paper further studies the change of TFP and its decomposition, and influence and regional differences about the industrial structure's impact on environment pollution control investment. The study found that: First, China's change of TFP change is a downturn, it was mainly caused by the technology changes, and significant regional differences; Second, whether or not considering the industrial structure, the change of TFP and its decomposition can effectively reduce the environmental pollution control investment, and significant regional differences. Regardless of the industrial structure, the technological progress change reduces the effect of environmental pollution treatment investment; Regardless of the industrial structure, technical efficiency change effect is bigger, technology changes have larger decline; Third, the industrial structure intensifies the environmental pollution control investment. This reflects that we have not taken into account the environmental protection and green in the industrial structure adjustment and optimization process.
Based on the DEA model, the paper measures Malmquist index of the provinces, the change of TFP decomposes into technical efficiency change and technological progress change. Introducing the industrial structure, building econometric empirical model, using China's province-level panel data, the paper further studies the change of TFP and its decomposition, and influence and regional differences about the industrial structure's impact on environment pollution control investment. The study found that: First, China's change of TFP change is a downturn, it was mainly caused by the technology changes, and significant regional differences; Second, whether or not considering the industrial structure, the change of TFP and its decomposition can effectively reduce the environmental pollution control investment, and significant regional differences. Regardless of the industrial structure, the technological progress change reduces the effect of environmental pollution treatment investment; Regardless of the industrial structure, technical efficiency change effect is bigger, technology changes have larger decline; Third, the industrial structure intensifies the environmental pollution control investment. This reflects that we have not taken into account the environmental protection and green in the industrial structure adjustment and optimization process.
引文
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[15]Fe R,Norris G M,Zhang Z Y.Productivity growth,technical progress,and efficiency change in industrialized countries[J].American Economic Review,1994,84(1):66-83.
[16]张军,吴桂英,张吉鹏.中国省级物质资本存量估算:1952-2000[J].经济研究,2004(10):35-44.
[2]曹光辉,汪锋,张宗益,等.我国经济增长与环境污染关系研究[J].中国人口?资源与环境,2006(1):25-29.
[3]黄菁.环境污染与工业结构:基于Divisia指数分解法的研究[J].统计研究,2009(12):68-73.
[4]邓柏盛,宋德勇.我国对外贸易、FDI与环境污染之间关系的研究:1995-2005[J].国际贸易问题,2008(4):101-108.
[5]赵国庆,张中元.FDI溢出效应、环境污染与全要素增长率[J].世界经济文汇,2010(6):14-31.
[6]李国璋,江金荣,周彩云.转型时期的中国环境污染影响因素分析--基于全要素能源效率视角[J].山西财经大学学报,2009(12):32-39.
[7]赵细康.环境保护和产业国际竞争力:理论与实证分析[M].北京:中国社会科学出版社,2003.
[8]涂正革,肖耿.环境约束下的中国工业增长模式研究[J].世界经济,2009(11):41-54.
[9]张成,陆旸,郭路,等.环境规制强度和生产技术进步[J].经济研究,2011(2):113-124.
[10]刘伟明,唐东波.环境规制、技术效率和全要素生产率增长[J].产业经济研究,2012(5):28-35.
[11]王兵,吴延瑞,颜鹏飞.环境管制与全要素生产率增长:APEC的实证研究[J].经济研究,2018(5):19-32.
[12]李树,陈刚.环境管制与生产率增长--以APPCL2000的修订为例[J].经济研究,2013(1):17-31.
[13]魏下海,余玲铮.中国全要素生产率变动的再测算与适用性研究--基于数据包络分析与随机前沿分析方法的比较[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2011(3):76-83.
[14]Caves D W,Christensen L R,Diewert W E.The economic theory of index numbers and the measurement of input,output,and productivity[J].Econometrica,1982,50(6):1393-1414.
[15]Fe R,Norris G M,Zhang Z Y.Productivity growth,technical progress,and efficiency change in industrialized countries[J].American Economic Review,1994,84(1):66-83.
[16]张军,吴桂英,张吉鹏.中国省级物质资本存量估算:1952-2000[J].经济研究,2004(10):35-44.