二氧化碳地质封存的环境风险评价方法研究综述
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摘要
二氧化碳捕集、利用与封存是一种可以实现大规模温室气体减排的新兴技术。围绕二氧化碳地质封存过程中的环境风险,系统地梳理了二氧化碳泄漏风险的类别与特点,总结了二氧化碳地质封存的环境风险识别方法,定性与定量风险评价方法等,以期对我国开展二氧化碳地质封存项目的环境风险评价提供借鉴。
Carbon dioxide capture, utilization and storage(CCUS) is an emerging technology, which can achieve the large-scale greenhouse gas reduction. This paper focuses on the environmental risks of carbon dioxide geological storage(CGS), systematically combs the types and characteristics of carbon dioxide leakage risks, and summarizes the environmental risk identification methods of carbon dioxide geological storage, qualitative and quantitative risk assessment methods, etc., which is of referential value for carrying out environmental risk assessment of CGS projects in China.
Carbon dioxide capture, utilization and storage(CCUS) is an emerging technology, which can achieve the large-scale greenhouse gas reduction. This paper focuses on the environmental risks of carbon dioxide geological storage(CGS), systematically combs the types and characteristics of carbon dioxide leakage risks, and summarizes the environmental risk identification methods of carbon dioxide geological storage, qualitative and quantitative risk assessment methods, etc., which is of referential value for carrying out environmental risk assessment of CGS projects in China.
引文
[1] 曹丽斌, 赵学涛, 蔡博峰, 等. 二氧化碳捕集、利用与封存环境风险问卷调查研究[J]. 环境工程, 2018, 36(2): 6-9, 26.
[2] 王永胜. 中国神华煤制油深部咸水层二氧化碳捕集与地质封存项目环境风险后评估研究[J]. 环境工程, 2018, 36(2): 21-26.
[3] Metz B, Davidson O, Coninck H D, et al. IPCC special report on carbon dioxide capture and storage[R]. Prepared by Working Group Ⅲ of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, New York: IPCC, 2005: 442.
[4] Pearce J M, Holloway S, Wacker H, et al. Natural occurrences as analogues for the geological disposal of carbon dioxide[J]. Energy Conversion and Management, 1996, 37(6/7/8): 1123-1128.
[5] Benson S A. Geological Storage of CO2: Analogues and Risk Management[C]//Carbon Sequestration Leadership Forum, 2007.
[6] 胡丽莎, 张徽, 蔡博峰, 等. 泄漏情景下碳封存项目的风险强度评估方法初探[J]. 环境工程, 2018, 36(2): 37-41.
[7] 李琦, 刘桂臻, 蔡博峰, 等. 二氧化碳地质封存环境风险评估的空间范围确定方法研究[J]. 环境工程, 2018, 36(2): 27-32.
[8] Condor J, Unatrakarn D, Wilson M, et al. A comparative analysis of risk assessment methodologies for the geologic storage of carbon dioxide[J]. Energy Procedia, 2011(4): 4036-4043.
[9] Savage D, Maul P R, Benbow S, et al. A generic FEP database for the assessment of long-term performance and safety of the geological storage of CO2[R]. Quintessa, 2004.
[10] Yavuz F, Van Tilburg T, David P, et al. Second generation CO2 FEP analysis: CASSIF-carbon storage scenario identification framework[J]. Energy Procedia, 2009, 1(1): 2479-2485.
[11] Yamaguchi K, Takizawa K, Komaki H, et al. Scenario analysis of hypothetical site conditions for geological CO2 sequestration in Japan[J]. Energy Procedia, 2011(4): 4052-4058.
[12] Walke R, Metcalfe R, Limer L, et al. Experience of the application of a database of generic features, events and processes (FEPs) targeted at geological storage of CO2[J]. Energy Procedia, 2011(4): 4059-4066.
[13] 刘桂臻, 李琦, 周冏, 等. 《二氧化碳捕集、利用与封存环境风险评估技术指南(试行)》在胜利油田驱油封存项目上的应用初探[J]. 环境工程, 2018, 36(2): 42-47, 53.
[14] Dias S, Guen Y L, Poupard O, et al. Risk assessment of MUSTANG project experimental site-Methodological development[J]. Energy Procedia, 2011(4): 4109-4116.
[15] Farret R, Gombert P, Lahaie F, et al. Design of fault trees as a practical method for risk analysis of CCS: application to the different life stages of deep aquifer storage, combining long-term and short-term issues[J]. Energy Procedia, 2011(4): 4193-4198.
[16] Sollie O K, Bernstone C, Carpenter M E, et al. An early phase risk and uncertainty assessment method for CO2 geological storage sites[J]. Energy Procedia, 2011(4): 4132-4139.
[17] Aarnes J E, Selmer-Olsen S, Carpenter M E, et al. Towards guidelines for selection, characterization and qualification of sites and projects for geological storage of CO2[J]. Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies 9, 2009, 1(1): 1735-1742.
[18] Vendrig M. Risk assessment workshop: the use of SWIFT and QRA in determining risk of leakage from CO2 capture, transportand storage systems[R]. London: IEA Greenhouse Gas R&D Programme and BP, 2004.
[19] US EPA. Vulnerability Evaluation Framework for Geologic Sequestration of Carbon Dioxide[R]. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 2008: 85.
[20] Bacanskas L, Karimjee A, Ritter K. Toward practical application of the vulnerability evaluation framework for geological sequestration of carbon dioxide[J]. Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies 9, 2009, 1(1): 2565-2572.
[21] Oldenburg C M. Screening and ranking framework for geologic CO2 storage site selection on the basis of health, safety, and environmental risk[J]. Environmental Geology, 2008, 54(8): 1687-1694.
[22] Meyer V, Houdu E, Poupard O, et al. Quantitative risk evaluation related to long term CO2 gas leakage along wells[J]. Energy Procedia, 2009, 1(1): 3595-3602.
[23] Oldenburg C M, Bryant S L, Nicot J-P. Certification framework based on effective trapping for geologic carbon sequestration[J]. International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, 2009, 3(4): 444-457.
[24] Stauffer P H, Viswanathan H S, Pawar R J, et al. A system model for geologic sequestration of carbon dioxide[J]. Environmental Science & Technology, 2009, 43(3): 565-570.
[25] Stauffer P H, Pawar R J, Surdam R C, et al. Application of the CO2-PENS risk analysis tool to the Rock Springs Uplift, Wyoming[J]. Energy Procedia, 2011(4): 4084-4091.
[26] Bielicki J M, Pollak M F, Wilson E J, et al. A methodology for monetizing basin-scale leakage risk and stakeholder impacts[J]. Energy Procedia, 2013, 37: 4665-4672.
[27] Maul P R, Metcalfe R, Pearce J, et al. Performance assessments for the geological storage of carbon dioxide: learning from the radioactive waste disposal experience[J]. International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, 2007, 1(4): 444-455.
[28] Metcalfe R, Maul P, Benbow S, et al. A unified approach to performance assessment (PA) of geological CO2 storage[J]. Energy Procedia, 2009, 1(1): 2503-2510.
[29] Egan M, Paulley A, Lehman L, et al. Assessing confidence in performance assessments using an evidence support logic methodology: an application of TESLA-9484[J]. 2009.
[30] Evidence Support Logic: A Guide for TESLA Users[EB/OL]. https://www.quintessa.org/latest-news/evidence-support-logic-a-guide-for-tesla-users.
[31] Gough C, Shackley S. Towards a multi-criteria methodology for assessment of geological carbon storage options[J]. Climatic Change, 2006, 74(1/3): 141-174.
[32] Cherkaoui A, Lopez P. CO2 storage risk assessment: feasibility study of the systemic method MOSAR[J]. Safety and Security Engineering Ⅲ, 2009, 108: 173-184.
[33] Bowden A R, Rigg A. Assessing Reservoir Performance Risk in CO2 Storage Projects[C]//GHGT-7, 2004: 1-9.
[34] Dodds K, Waston M, Wright I. Evaluation of risk assessment methodologies using the In Salah CO2 storage project as a case history[J]. Energy Procedia, 2011(4): 4162-4169.
[2] 王永胜. 中国神华煤制油深部咸水层二氧化碳捕集与地质封存项目环境风险后评估研究[J]. 环境工程, 2018, 36(2): 21-26.
[3] Metz B, Davidson O, Coninck H D, et al. IPCC special report on carbon dioxide capture and storage[R]. Prepared by Working Group Ⅲ of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, New York: IPCC, 2005: 442.
[4] Pearce J M, Holloway S, Wacker H, et al. Natural occurrences as analogues for the geological disposal of carbon dioxide[J]. Energy Conversion and Management, 1996, 37(6/7/8): 1123-1128.
[5] Benson S A. Geological Storage of CO2: Analogues and Risk Management[C]//Carbon Sequestration Leadership Forum, 2007.
[6] 胡丽莎, 张徽, 蔡博峰, 等. 泄漏情景下碳封存项目的风险强度评估方法初探[J]. 环境工程, 2018, 36(2): 37-41.
[7] 李琦, 刘桂臻, 蔡博峰, 等. 二氧化碳地质封存环境风险评估的空间范围确定方法研究[J]. 环境工程, 2018, 36(2): 27-32.
[8] Condor J, Unatrakarn D, Wilson M, et al. A comparative analysis of risk assessment methodologies for the geologic storage of carbon dioxide[J]. Energy Procedia, 2011(4): 4036-4043.
[9] Savage D, Maul P R, Benbow S, et al. A generic FEP database for the assessment of long-term performance and safety of the geological storage of CO2[R]. Quintessa, 2004.
[10] Yavuz F, Van Tilburg T, David P, et al. Second generation CO2 FEP analysis: CASSIF-carbon storage scenario identification framework[J]. Energy Procedia, 2009, 1(1): 2479-2485.
[11] Yamaguchi K, Takizawa K, Komaki H, et al. Scenario analysis of hypothetical site conditions for geological CO2 sequestration in Japan[J]. Energy Procedia, 2011(4): 4052-4058.
[12] Walke R, Metcalfe R, Limer L, et al. Experience of the application of a database of generic features, events and processes (FEPs) targeted at geological storage of CO2[J]. Energy Procedia, 2011(4): 4059-4066.
[13] 刘桂臻, 李琦, 周冏, 等. 《二氧化碳捕集、利用与封存环境风险评估技术指南(试行)》在胜利油田驱油封存项目上的应用初探[J]. 环境工程, 2018, 36(2): 42-47, 53.
[14] Dias S, Guen Y L, Poupard O, et al. Risk assessment of MUSTANG project experimental site-Methodological development[J]. Energy Procedia, 2011(4): 4109-4116.
[15] Farret R, Gombert P, Lahaie F, et al. Design of fault trees as a practical method for risk analysis of CCS: application to the different life stages of deep aquifer storage, combining long-term and short-term issues[J]. Energy Procedia, 2011(4): 4193-4198.
[16] Sollie O K, Bernstone C, Carpenter M E, et al. An early phase risk and uncertainty assessment method for CO2 geological storage sites[J]. Energy Procedia, 2011(4): 4132-4139.
[17] Aarnes J E, Selmer-Olsen S, Carpenter M E, et al. Towards guidelines for selection, characterization and qualification of sites and projects for geological storage of CO2[J]. Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies 9, 2009, 1(1): 1735-1742.
[18] Vendrig M. Risk assessment workshop: the use of SWIFT and QRA in determining risk of leakage from CO2 capture, transportand storage systems[R]. London: IEA Greenhouse Gas R&D Programme and BP, 2004.
[19] US EPA. Vulnerability Evaluation Framework for Geologic Sequestration of Carbon Dioxide[R]. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 2008: 85.
[20] Bacanskas L, Karimjee A, Ritter K. Toward practical application of the vulnerability evaluation framework for geological sequestration of carbon dioxide[J]. Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies 9, 2009, 1(1): 2565-2572.
[21] Oldenburg C M. Screening and ranking framework for geologic CO2 storage site selection on the basis of health, safety, and environmental risk[J]. Environmental Geology, 2008, 54(8): 1687-1694.
[22] Meyer V, Houdu E, Poupard O, et al. Quantitative risk evaluation related to long term CO2 gas leakage along wells[J]. Energy Procedia, 2009, 1(1): 3595-3602.
[23] Oldenburg C M, Bryant S L, Nicot J-P. Certification framework based on effective trapping for geologic carbon sequestration[J]. International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, 2009, 3(4): 444-457.
[24] Stauffer P H, Viswanathan H S, Pawar R J, et al. A system model for geologic sequestration of carbon dioxide[J]. Environmental Science & Technology, 2009, 43(3): 565-570.
[25] Stauffer P H, Pawar R J, Surdam R C, et al. Application of the CO2-PENS risk analysis tool to the Rock Springs Uplift, Wyoming[J]. Energy Procedia, 2011(4): 4084-4091.
[26] Bielicki J M, Pollak M F, Wilson E J, et al. A methodology for monetizing basin-scale leakage risk and stakeholder impacts[J]. Energy Procedia, 2013, 37: 4665-4672.
[27] Maul P R, Metcalfe R, Pearce J, et al. Performance assessments for the geological storage of carbon dioxide: learning from the radioactive waste disposal experience[J]. International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, 2007, 1(4): 444-455.
[28] Metcalfe R, Maul P, Benbow S, et al. A unified approach to performance assessment (PA) of geological CO2 storage[J]. Energy Procedia, 2009, 1(1): 2503-2510.
[29] Egan M, Paulley A, Lehman L, et al. Assessing confidence in performance assessments using an evidence support logic methodology: an application of TESLA-9484[J]. 2009.
[30] Evidence Support Logic: A Guide for TESLA Users[EB/OL]. https://www.quintessa.org/latest-news/evidence-support-logic-a-guide-for-tesla-users.
[31] Gough C, Shackley S. Towards a multi-criteria methodology for assessment of geological carbon storage options[J]. Climatic Change, 2006, 74(1/3): 141-174.
[32] Cherkaoui A, Lopez P. CO2 storage risk assessment: feasibility study of the systemic method MOSAR[J]. Safety and Security Engineering Ⅲ, 2009, 108: 173-184.
[33] Bowden A R, Rigg A. Assessing Reservoir Performance Risk in CO2 Storage Projects[C]//GHGT-7, 2004: 1-9.
[34] Dodds K, Waston M, Wright I. Evaluation of risk assessment methodologies using the In Salah CO2 storage project as a case history[J]. Energy Procedia, 2011(4): 4162-4169.