2006—2015年中国电力碳足迹及其生态压力分析
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摘要
电力行业是我国节能减排的主力军.本文根据电力来源多样性特征,采用IPCC计算方法,结合净初级生产力模型,定量分析了中国2006—2015年电力消费碳足迹及其生态压力的变化,并将电力碳足迹生态压力与人均GDP进行脱钩分析.结果表明,2006—2015年,电力消费碳排放量经历了先升后降两个阶段,其中,2006—2013年,碳排放量稳步上升,2013年后开始逐渐下降,电力碳足迹生态压力与人均GDP之间主要呈弱脱钩关系,但在2013—2015年,开始出现强脱钩状态.可见在国家″十二五″政策引导下,推动经济结构转型调整,促进电力产业节能减排,已获得显著成效,但仍需继续努力,缓解电力消费过程给生态环境带来的压力.
The power industry is the main sector in energy conservation & emission reduction in China. Based on the diversities of power sources, this paper adopts the IPCC calculation method and the net primary productivity model to quantitatively analyze the carbon footprint of power consumption and its ecological pressure in China from 2006 to 2015, and then a decoupling analysis of the ecological pressure of power carbon footprint and per capita GDP is conducted. The results show that from 2006 to 2015, the carbon emissions of power consumption was divided into two stages: from 2006 to 2013, carbon emissions increased steadily and began to decline gradually after 2013. A weak decoupling relation is demonstrated between the ecological pressure of electricity carbon footprint and per capita GDP. However, a strong decoupling state began to appear from 2013 to 2015. It can be seen that remarkable achievements have been obtained in promoting economic restructuring and energy conservation & emission reduction in the power industry. However, efforts are still needed to ease the pressure on the ecological environment caused by electricity consumption process.
The power industry is the main sector in energy conservation & emission reduction in China. Based on the diversities of power sources, this paper adopts the IPCC calculation method and the net primary productivity model to quantitatively analyze the carbon footprint of power consumption and its ecological pressure in China from 2006 to 2015, and then a decoupling analysis of the ecological pressure of power carbon footprint and per capita GDP is conducted. The results show that from 2006 to 2015, the carbon emissions of power consumption was divided into two stages: from 2006 to 2013, carbon emissions increased steadily and began to decline gradually after 2013. A weak decoupling relation is demonstrated between the ecological pressure of electricity carbon footprint and per capita GDP. However, a strong decoupling state began to appear from 2013 to 2015. It can be seen that remarkable achievements have been obtained in promoting economic restructuring and energy conservation & emission reduction in the power industry. However, efforts are still needed to ease the pressure on the ecological environment caused by electricity consumption process.
引文
方恺,朱晓娟,高恺,等. 2013. 全球电力碳足迹及其当量因子测算[J]. 生态学杂志,31(12):3160-3166
Hammond G. 2007. Time to give due weight to the ‘carbon footprint ’issue[J]. Nature, 445(7125):256
李通,何春阳,杨洋,等. 2011. 1995—2008年中国大陆电力消费量时空动态[J]. 地理学报,66(10):1403-1412
李效顺,曲福田,郭忠兴,等. 2008. 城乡建设用地变化的脱钩研究[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境,18(5):179-184
彭佳雯,黄贤金,钟太洋,等. 2011. 中国经济增长与能源碳排放的脱钩研究[J]. 资源科学,33(4):626-633
Post.2006. Carbon footprint of electricity generation [R]. London Parliamentary Office of Science and Technology
韦良焕,张胜楠,赵先贵. 2016. 新疆化石能源碳足迹及生态压力的动态研究[J]. 湖北农业科学,55(10): 2496-2499
赵敏,张卫国,俞立中. 2009. 上海市能源消费碳排放分析[J]. 环境科学研究,22 (8):984-989
朱文泉,潘耀忠,张锦水. 2007. 中国陆地植被净初级生产力遥感估算[J]. 植物生态学报,31(3):413-424
基金项目: 教育部人文社会科学研究课题(No.17YJCZH002)
Supported by the Humanity and Social Science Youth Foundation of the Ministry of Education of China (No.17YJCZH002)
: 景侨楠(1994—),男,E-mail:jing9234510421@hotmail.com; *责任作者,E-mail:seacenter@naikai.edu.cn
Biography: JING Qiaonan(1994—),male,E-mail:jing9234510421@hotmail.com; *Corresponding author,E-mail:seacenter@naikai.edu.cn
Hammond G. 2007. Time to give due weight to the ‘carbon footprint ’issue[J]. Nature, 445(7125):256
李通,何春阳,杨洋,等. 2011. 1995—2008年中国大陆电力消费量时空动态[J]. 地理学报,66(10):1403-1412
李效顺,曲福田,郭忠兴,等. 2008. 城乡建设用地变化的脱钩研究[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境,18(5):179-184
彭佳雯,黄贤金,钟太洋,等. 2011. 中国经济增长与能源碳排放的脱钩研究[J]. 资源科学,33(4):626-633
Post.2006. Carbon footprint of electricity generation [R]. London Parliamentary Office of Science and Technology
韦良焕,张胜楠,赵先贵. 2016. 新疆化石能源碳足迹及生态压力的动态研究[J]. 湖北农业科学,55(10): 2496-2499
赵敏,张卫国,俞立中. 2009. 上海市能源消费碳排放分析[J]. 环境科学研究,22 (8):984-989
朱文泉,潘耀忠,张锦水. 2007. 中国陆地植被净初级生产力遥感估算[J]. 植物生态学报,31(3):413-424
基金项目: 教育部人文社会科学研究课题(No.17YJCZH002)
Supported by the Humanity and Social Science Youth Foundation of the Ministry of Education of China (No.17YJCZH002)
: 景侨楠(1994—),男,E-mail:jing9234510421@hotmail.com; *责任作者,E-mail:seacenter@naikai.edu.cn
Biography: JING Qiaonan(1994—),male,E-mail:jing9234510421@hotmail.com; *Corresponding author,E-mail:seacenter@naikai.edu.cn