反舰导弹类型的Bayes-可拓识别模型
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摘要
反舰导弹类型识别涉及因素较多,为了对其进行识别,本文基于可拓识别方法和Bayes方法,提出了一种集这2种方法优点的新方法。既考虑了各个识别特征指标与各反舰导弹相应特征指标的"关联"契合程度,又能考虑各反舰导弹类型识别的分布函数、先验概率及误判损失。实例仿真过程表明,较可拓识别方法,该方法考虑因素更全面,计算结果更精准,更符合实际。
There are many factors in the design of anti-ship missile type identification,in order to identify the type of anti ship missile,this paper combines the extension recognition method and the Bayes method,proposing a new method that sets the advantages of these two methods. The " association" coincidence of each characteristic index and the corresponding characteristic index of the anti ship missile is considered,and the distribution function,the priori probability and the misjudgement loss of the anti-ship missiles can be considered. The case study shows that this method is more comprehensive,accurate and realistic than the extension recognition method.
There are many factors in the design of anti-ship missile type identification,in order to identify the type of anti ship missile,this paper combines the extension recognition method and the Bayes method,proposing a new method that sets the advantages of these two methods. The " association" coincidence of each characteristic index and the corresponding characteristic index of the anti ship missile is considered,and the distribution function,the priori probability and the misjudgement loss of the anti-ship missiles can be considered. The case study shows that this method is more comprehensive,accurate and realistic than the extension recognition method.
引文
[1]曾家有,吴杰.智能反舰导弹发展需求及其关键技术[J].战术导弹技术,2018(2):36-42.(Zeng Jiayou,Wu Jie.Development Demand and and Key Technologies of Intelligent Anti-ship Missile[J].Tactical Missile Technology,2018(2):36-42.)
[2]王宗杰,罗木生,侯学隆.反舰导弹二次攻击可行性研究[J].指挥控制与仿真,2018,40(1):38-41+66.(Wang Zongjie,Luo Musheng,Hou Xuelong.Feasibility Study on Second Attack of Anti-ship Missile[J].Command Control and Simulation,2018,40(1):38-41+66.)
[3]于俊伟,刘楠,张德贤,等.反舰导弹类型识别的贝叶斯网络方法[J].计算机工程与应用,2012,48(9):215-217+248.(Yu Junwei,Liu Nan,Zhang Dexian,et al.Bayesian Network Method for Type Recognition of Anti-ship Missiles[J].Computer Engineering and Applications,2012,48(9):215-217+248.)
[4]马英超,王海川,徐国亮.基于贝叶斯网络的反舰导弹身份识别[J].指挥控制与仿真,2007(2):38-40.(Ma Yingchao,Wang Haichuan,Xu Guoliang.Antiship Missile Identification Based on Bayesian Network[J].Command control and simulation,2007(2):38-40.)
[5]杨春燕,蔡文.可拓学[M].北京:科学出版社,2014:34-167.
[6]王军东.Bayes理论在雷达探测距离评估中的应用[J].现代防御技术,2017,45(6):107-112.(Wang Jundong.The Application of Bayes Theory in Radar Detection Range Evaluation[J].Modern Defense Technology,2017,45(6):107-112.)
[7]颜王吉,曹诗泽,任伟新.结构系统识别不确定性分析的Bayes方法及其进展[J].应用数学和力学,2017,38(1):44-59.(Yan Wangji,Cao Shize,Ren Weixin.Bayes Method and Its Progress in Uncertainty Analysis of Structural System Identification[J].Applied mathematics and mechanics,2017,38(1):44-59.)
[8]谭杰.基于Bayes判别分析的配电网故障选线方法[J].电力学报,2016,31(3):217-223.(Tan Jie.Distribution Network Fault Line Selection Method Based on Bayes Discriminant Analysis[J].Journal of Electric Power,2016,31(3):217-223.)
[9]王丰,顾佼佼,林瑜.航空装备故障损伤等级的可拓精准评定研究[J].计算机测量与控制,2018,26(6):261-263+267.(Wang Feng,Gu Jiaojiao,Lin Yu.Extension Accurate Assessment of Fault Damage Level of Aviation Equipment[J].Computer Measurement and Control,2018,26(6):261-263+267.)
[10]王丰,张磊,胡春万.基于多级优度评价方法的导弹武器系统效能评估[J].指挥控制与仿真,2017,39(3):74-77.(Wang Feng,Zhang Lei,Hu Chunwan.Effectiveness Evaluation of Missile Weapon System Based on Multi-level Superiority Evaluation method[J].Command control and simulation,2017,39(3):74-77.)
[11]李日华,毛凯,周刚.Bayes-可拓判别[J].系统工程理论与实践,2005(7):131-135.(Li Rihua,Mao Kai,Zhou Gang.Bayes-Extension Discrimination[J].System Engineering Theory and Practice,2005(7):131-135.)
[12]王丰,顾佼佼,王蓉.舰船综合电力系统设备故障的贝叶斯-可拓诊断模型[J].兵器装备工程学报,2019,40(2):189-193.(Wang Feng,Gu Jiaojiao,Wang Rong.Bayesian-Extension Diagnostic Model for Equipment Faults in Ship Integrated Power System[J].Journal of Ordnance and Equipment Engineering,2019,40(2):189-193.)
[13]孙胜,王钦伟,曹洁,等.反舰导弹研究现状与发展趋势综述[J].航天控制,2017,35(3):79-84.(Sun Sheng,Wang Qinwei,Cao Jie,et al.[J].A Sarvey of Research of Status and Development Trend of Anti-ship Missiles[J].Aerospace Control,2017,35(3):79-84.)
[14]王兴,赵长见,梁卓,等.基于多目标遗传算法的反舰导弹中制导惯组精度优化分配方法[J].航天控制,2018,36(3):9-14.(Wang Xing,Zhao Changjian,Liang Zhuo,et al.Optimizied IMU Precision Distribution Method Based on Multi-objective Genetic Algorithm for Anti-ship Missile Midcourse Guidance[J].Aerospace Control,2018,36(3):9-14.)
[15]宋海凌,马溢清,鲍永亮.反舰导弹突防及毁伤能力仿真研究[J].现代防御技术,2017,45(2):189-195+201.(Song Hailing,Ma Yiqing,Bao Yongliang.Simulation Study on Penetration and Damage Capability of Anti-ship Missile[J].Modern Defense Technology,2017,45(2):189-195+201.)
[16]王赟.反舰导弹威胁评估指标组合权重因子确定[J].现代防御技术,2015,43(4):30-35.(Wang Yi.Determining the Weighting Factor of the Combination of Threat Assessment Indicators for Anti-ship Missiles[J].Modern Defense Technology,2015,43(4):30-35.)
[17]李大鹏,杨根源,李京.基于粗糙自适应神经模糊推理的导弹类型识别[J].战术导弹技术,2012(4):30-34.(Li Dapeng,Yang Genyuan,Li Jing.Missile Type Recognition Based on Rough Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Reasoning[J].Tactical Missile Technology,2012(4):30-34.)
[18]曾家有,宋友凯,车志宇.基于航路规划的反舰导弹发射顺序和间隔研究[J].航天控制,2009,27(2):22-25.(Zeng Jiayou,Song Youkai,Che Zhiyu.Research on Launching Sequence and Interval of Anti-ship Missile Based on Route Planning[J].Aerospace Control,2009,27(2):22-25.)
[2]王宗杰,罗木生,侯学隆.反舰导弹二次攻击可行性研究[J].指挥控制与仿真,2018,40(1):38-41+66.(Wang Zongjie,Luo Musheng,Hou Xuelong.Feasibility Study on Second Attack of Anti-ship Missile[J].Command Control and Simulation,2018,40(1):38-41+66.)
[3]于俊伟,刘楠,张德贤,等.反舰导弹类型识别的贝叶斯网络方法[J].计算机工程与应用,2012,48(9):215-217+248.(Yu Junwei,Liu Nan,Zhang Dexian,et al.Bayesian Network Method for Type Recognition of Anti-ship Missiles[J].Computer Engineering and Applications,2012,48(9):215-217+248.)
[4]马英超,王海川,徐国亮.基于贝叶斯网络的反舰导弹身份识别[J].指挥控制与仿真,2007(2):38-40.(Ma Yingchao,Wang Haichuan,Xu Guoliang.Antiship Missile Identification Based on Bayesian Network[J].Command control and simulation,2007(2):38-40.)
[5]杨春燕,蔡文.可拓学[M].北京:科学出版社,2014:34-167.
[6]王军东.Bayes理论在雷达探测距离评估中的应用[J].现代防御技术,2017,45(6):107-112.(Wang Jundong.The Application of Bayes Theory in Radar Detection Range Evaluation[J].Modern Defense Technology,2017,45(6):107-112.)
[7]颜王吉,曹诗泽,任伟新.结构系统识别不确定性分析的Bayes方法及其进展[J].应用数学和力学,2017,38(1):44-59.(Yan Wangji,Cao Shize,Ren Weixin.Bayes Method and Its Progress in Uncertainty Analysis of Structural System Identification[J].Applied mathematics and mechanics,2017,38(1):44-59.)
[8]谭杰.基于Bayes判别分析的配电网故障选线方法[J].电力学报,2016,31(3):217-223.(Tan Jie.Distribution Network Fault Line Selection Method Based on Bayes Discriminant Analysis[J].Journal of Electric Power,2016,31(3):217-223.)
[9]王丰,顾佼佼,林瑜.航空装备故障损伤等级的可拓精准评定研究[J].计算机测量与控制,2018,26(6):261-263+267.(Wang Feng,Gu Jiaojiao,Lin Yu.Extension Accurate Assessment of Fault Damage Level of Aviation Equipment[J].Computer Measurement and Control,2018,26(6):261-263+267.)
[10]王丰,张磊,胡春万.基于多级优度评价方法的导弹武器系统效能评估[J].指挥控制与仿真,2017,39(3):74-77.(Wang Feng,Zhang Lei,Hu Chunwan.Effectiveness Evaluation of Missile Weapon System Based on Multi-level Superiority Evaluation method[J].Command control and simulation,2017,39(3):74-77.)
[11]李日华,毛凯,周刚.Bayes-可拓判别[J].系统工程理论与实践,2005(7):131-135.(Li Rihua,Mao Kai,Zhou Gang.Bayes-Extension Discrimination[J].System Engineering Theory and Practice,2005(7):131-135.)
[12]王丰,顾佼佼,王蓉.舰船综合电力系统设备故障的贝叶斯-可拓诊断模型[J].兵器装备工程学报,2019,40(2):189-193.(Wang Feng,Gu Jiaojiao,Wang Rong.Bayesian-Extension Diagnostic Model for Equipment Faults in Ship Integrated Power System[J].Journal of Ordnance and Equipment Engineering,2019,40(2):189-193.)
[13]孙胜,王钦伟,曹洁,等.反舰导弹研究现状与发展趋势综述[J].航天控制,2017,35(3):79-84.(Sun Sheng,Wang Qinwei,Cao Jie,et al.[J].A Sarvey of Research of Status and Development Trend of Anti-ship Missiles[J].Aerospace Control,2017,35(3):79-84.)
[14]王兴,赵长见,梁卓,等.基于多目标遗传算法的反舰导弹中制导惯组精度优化分配方法[J].航天控制,2018,36(3):9-14.(Wang Xing,Zhao Changjian,Liang Zhuo,et al.Optimizied IMU Precision Distribution Method Based on Multi-objective Genetic Algorithm for Anti-ship Missile Midcourse Guidance[J].Aerospace Control,2018,36(3):9-14.)
[15]宋海凌,马溢清,鲍永亮.反舰导弹突防及毁伤能力仿真研究[J].现代防御技术,2017,45(2):189-195+201.(Song Hailing,Ma Yiqing,Bao Yongliang.Simulation Study on Penetration and Damage Capability of Anti-ship Missile[J].Modern Defense Technology,2017,45(2):189-195+201.)
[16]王赟.反舰导弹威胁评估指标组合权重因子确定[J].现代防御技术,2015,43(4):30-35.(Wang Yi.Determining the Weighting Factor of the Combination of Threat Assessment Indicators for Anti-ship Missiles[J].Modern Defense Technology,2015,43(4):30-35.)
[17]李大鹏,杨根源,李京.基于粗糙自适应神经模糊推理的导弹类型识别[J].战术导弹技术,2012(4):30-34.(Li Dapeng,Yang Genyuan,Li Jing.Missile Type Recognition Based on Rough Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Reasoning[J].Tactical Missile Technology,2012(4):30-34.)
[18]曾家有,宋友凯,车志宇.基于航路规划的反舰导弹发射顺序和间隔研究[J].航天控制,2009,27(2):22-25.(Zeng Jiayou,Song Youkai,Che Zhiyu.Research on Launching Sequence and Interval of Anti-ship Missile Based on Route Planning[J].Aerospace Control,2009,27(2):22-25.)