中国装配式建筑区域发展水平综合差异分析——基于PP-DEA模型
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摘要
我国装配式建筑在各个省份的发展过程中存在明显差异、发展极为不平衡的现状。以我国31个省份的装配式建筑发展水平为研究对象,从建设规模、信息化水平、生产建造能力、技术创新能力、政府支持力度、可持续性、综合效益7个方面构建综合评价指标体系,以投影寻踪模型和数据包络分析模型为基础,从静态和动态两个维度对区域装配式建筑发展水平差异进行综合评价,并通过构造综合发展水平差异指数把31个省份划分为5个等级。研究结果表明:我国大部分地区装配式建筑发展水平处在Ⅲ、Ⅳ级水平,不同地区存在明显差异,其中政府支持力度与生产建造能力是影响区域装配式建筑发展水平的重要因素。进一步提出提升我国区域装配式建筑发展水平的相应建议。
There are obvious differences in the development of prefabricated construction in various provinces and cities in China. This paper takes the development level of regional assembly architecture in 31 provinces of China's as the research object, constructs the comprehensive evaluation index system from seven aspects, including construction scale, information level, production and construction ability, technological innovation ability, government support,sustainability and comprehensive benefit, and makes a comprehensive evaluation of the regional development level difference of the assembly architecture in China from the static and dynamic dimensions, divides the 31 provinces into5 grades. The results show that: the development level of assembled buildings in most areas of our country is at the level of grade Ⅲ and grade Ⅳ, and there are obvious differences in different areas, among them, government support and production and construction capacity are the important factors that affect the development level of regional assembly buildings. The paper further puts forward the corresponding suggestions to improve the development level of the regional assembly building in our country.
There are obvious differences in the development of prefabricated construction in various provinces and cities in China. This paper takes the development level of regional assembly architecture in 31 provinces of China's as the research object, constructs the comprehensive evaluation index system from seven aspects, including construction scale, information level, production and construction ability, technological innovation ability, government support,sustainability and comprehensive benefit, and makes a comprehensive evaluation of the regional development level difference of the assembly architecture in China from the static and dynamic dimensions, divides the 31 provinces into5 grades. The results show that: the development level of assembled buildings in most areas of our country is at the level of grade Ⅲ and grade Ⅳ, and there are obvious differences in different areas, among them, government support and production and construction capacity are the important factors that affect the development level of regional assembly buildings. The paper further puts forward the corresponding suggestions to improve the development level of the regional assembly building in our country.
引文
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[25]刘炳胜,陈晓红,王雪青,等.中国区域建筑产业TFP变化趋势与影响因素分析[J].系统工程理论与实践, 2013,33(4):1041-1049.
[26]关柯, 张德群, 张兴野.建筑业经济新论[M].重庆: 重庆大学出版社, 2007.
[27]LU W. Competitiveness in construction: a critical review of research[J].Construction Management & Economics, 2007,25(9):989-1000.
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[29]CAIAZZA R, RICHARDSON A, AUDRETSCH D. Knowledge effects on competitiveness: from firms to regional advantage[J].Journal of Technology Transfer, 2015,40(6):899-909.
[30]张晓瑞,王振波.基于PP-DEA模型的区域城镇化发展差异的综合评价[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2012,22(2):130-135.
[31]付强.投影寻踪模型原理及其应用[M].北京: 科学出版社,2006.
[2]游细斌,杨青生,付远方.区域交通系统与城镇系统耦合发展研究:以潮州市域为例[J].经济地理,2017,37(12):96-102.
[3]郑梦莹,蔡建国.基于因子和聚类分析法的建筑业可持续发展评价研究[J].科技管理研究,2014,34(12):223-227.
[4]刘炳胜,王雪青,曹琳剑.基于SEM与SD组合的中国建筑产业竞争力动态形成机理仿真[J].系统工程理论与实践,2010,30(11):2063-2070.
[5]刘炳胜,陈晓红,薛斌,等.中国区域建筑业发展水平梯度变迁与影响机理研究[J].运筹与管理,2016,25(1):254-261.
[6]杨建仁,刘卫东.基于灰色关联分析和层次分析法的新型工业化水平综合评价:以中部六省为例[J].数学的实践与认识,2011,41(2):122-132.
[7]李红兵,韩昕林.住宅产业化发展的系统动力学分析[J].统计与决策,2012(11):72-74.
[8]江红,梁小平,崔晋豫.浅谈中国住宅产业化水平的评价方法[J].青岛建筑工程学院学报,2000(4):32-38.
[9]贾若愚,徐照,吴晓纯,等.区域建筑产业现代化发展水平评价研究[J].建筑经济,2015,36(2):22-28
[10]王美华.构建建筑产业现代化综合评价指标体系[J].施工企业管理,2015(4):53-55.
[11]ARIF M, BENDI D,SAWHNEY A, et al.State of offsite construction in India: drivers and barriers[J]. Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 2012,364:597-604.
[12]NA L, ROGER W L. Designers' and general contractors' perceptions of offsite construction techniques in the United State construction industry[J].International Journal of Construction Education & Research, 2008,4(3):177-188.
[13]PAN W, SIDWELL R. Demystifying the cost barriers to offsite construction in the UK[J]. Construction Management & Economics, 2011,29(11):1081-1099.
[14]JAILLON L, POON C S. The evolution of prefabricated residential building systems in Hong Kong: a review of the public and the private sector[J].Automation in Construction, 2009, 18(3):239-248.
[15]SONG J, FAGERLUND W R, HAAS C T, et al. Considering prework on industrial projects[J].Journal of Construction Engineering & Management, 2005,131(6):723-733.
[16]ELNAAS H, GIDADO K, PHILIP A P. Factors and drivers effecting the decision of using off-site manufacturing (OSM) systems in house building industry[J]. Journal of Engineering, Project, and Production Management, 2014,4(1):51-58.
[17]PARK M, INGAWALE-VERMA Y, KIM W, et al.Construction policymaking: with an example of Singaporean government's policy to diffuse prefabrication to private sector[J].KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering, 2011, 15(5):771-779.
[18]MOXNES E. Not only the tragedy of the commons: misperceptions of feedback and policies for sustainable development[J].System Dynamics Review, 2000,16(4):325-348.
[19]LIU P, LI Q M, SONG L L, et al.The index system for the development level evaluation of regional construction industrialization: a case study in Jiangsu, China[J].Applied Sciences, 2017, 7(5): 492-509.
[20]RICHARD R B. Industrialized building systems: reproduction before automation and robotics[J]. Automation in Construction, 2005,14(4):442-451.
[21]ALINAITWE H M, MWAKALI J, HANSSON B. Assessing the degree of industrialization in construction :a case of Uganda[J].Statyba, 2006,12(3):221-229.
[22]刘贵文,邓飞,王曼.中国建筑产业竞争力评价研究[J].土木工程学报,2011(7):157-164.
[23]王雪青,潘辉.基于云模型的中国区域建筑产业竞争力评价研究[J].山西财经大学学报, 2012(7):60-71.
[24]刘炳胜,申映华,王雪青,等.基于组合模型的中国区域建筑产业竞争力系统评价[J].同济大学学报(自然科学版), 2012,40(5):800-806.
[25]刘炳胜,陈晓红,王雪青,等.中国区域建筑产业TFP变化趋势与影响因素分析[J].系统工程理论与实践, 2013,33(4):1041-1049.
[26]关柯, 张德群, 张兴野.建筑业经济新论[M].重庆: 重庆大学出版社, 2007.
[27]LU W. Competitiveness in construction: a critical review of research[J].Construction Management & Economics, 2007,25(9):989-1000.
[28]LU W, SHEN L, YAM M C. Critical success factors for competitiveness of contractors: China study [J].Journal of Construction Engineering & Management, 2008,134(12):972-982.
[29]CAIAZZA R, RICHARDSON A, AUDRETSCH D. Knowledge effects on competitiveness: from firms to regional advantage[J].Journal of Technology Transfer, 2015,40(6):899-909.
[30]张晓瑞,王振波.基于PP-DEA模型的区域城镇化发展差异的综合评价[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2012,22(2):130-135.
[31]付强.投影寻踪模型原理及其应用[M].北京: 科学出版社,2006.