中国低技术制造业转移粘性测算
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摘要
发展成熟的低技术制造业是中国产业转移的主体对象,对中国低技术制造业转移粘性测算,能够改进中国低技术制造业转移模式,促进区域协调发展。基于物理学中的牛顿粘性定律,提出新的产业转移粘性测算方法,对中国低技术制造业转移粘性进行测算。结果表明:中国低技术制造业从东部转移到西部、中部、东北部的粘性分别为57.984、13.733、11.493,从东部转移到西部的粘性远远大于到中部和东北部;中国低技术制造业转移的次序应该是先由东部向中部和东北部转移,再由中西部和东北部之间内部互相转移;湖北省、湖南省、重庆市和陕西省是中国东部低技术制造业转出的重点承接地区,上海市、河北省和江苏省是低技术制造业的主要转出区。
The development of mature low-tech manufacturing industry is the main body of China's industrial transfer.The transfer mode of China's low-tech manufacturing industry and regional development can be improved and promoted by the estimates of transfer viscosity to China's low-tech manufacturing industry.Based on Newton's viscosity law in physics,a new method of industrial transfer viscosity measurement is proposed to measure the transfer viscosity of it in China.The results show that the viscosity of China's low-tech manufacturing industry is 57.984,13.733,and 11.493 respectively,transferring from east to west,central and northeast.The order of China's low-tech manufacturing transfer should be shifted from east to central and northeast.Hubei,Hunan,Chongqing and Shaanxi provinces are the key areas for low-tech manufacturing to transfer in and Jiangsu,Shanghai,and Hebei provinces are the key areas to transfer out.
The development of mature low-tech manufacturing industry is the main body of China's industrial transfer.The transfer mode of China's low-tech manufacturing industry and regional development can be improved and promoted by the estimates of transfer viscosity to China's low-tech manufacturing industry.Based on Newton's viscosity law in physics,a new method of industrial transfer viscosity measurement is proposed to measure the transfer viscosity of it in China.The results show that the viscosity of China's low-tech manufacturing industry is 57.984,13.733,and 11.493 respectively,transferring from east to west,central and northeast.The order of China's low-tech manufacturing transfer should be shifted from east to central and northeast.Hubei,Hunan,Chongqing and Shaanxi provinces are the key areas for low-tech manufacturing to transfer in and Jiangsu,Shanghai,and Hebei provinces are the key areas to transfer out.
引文
[1]张杰斐,席强敏,孙铁山,李国平.京津冀区域制造业分工与转移[J].人文地理,2016,31(4).
[2]王金杰,王庆芳,刘建国,李博.协同视角下京津冀制造业转移及区域间合作[J].经济地理,2018,38(7).
[3]Van Dijk,Piet H Pellenbarg.Firm Relocation Decisions in the Netherlands:An Ordered Logit Approach[J].Papers in Regional Science,2000,79(2).
[4]宋炳良.关于梯度推移中的区域“粘性”分析[J].外国经济与管理,1999(6).
[5]杜传忠,韩元军,张宪国.我国区际产业转移的动力及粘性分析[J].江西社会科学,2012,32(5).
[6]罗浩.中国劳动力无限供给与产业区域粘性[J].中国工业经济,2003(4).
[7]郭丽.产业区域转移粘性分析[J].经济地理,2009,29(3).
[8]马子红.基于成本视角的区际产业转移动因分析[J].财贸经济,2006(8).
[9]袁开洪,张卫东.创新群集对产业粘性的影响机理分析[J].国际贸易问题,2006(2).
[10]刘嗣明,童欢,徐慧.中国区际产业转移的困境寻源与对策探究[J].经济评论,2007(6).
[11]成祖松.我国区域产业转移粘性的成因分析:一个文献综述[J].经济问题探索,2013(3).
[12]韩继辉,金辉.制造业区际转移粘性的合理性分析[J].天津商业大学学报,2018,38(1).
[13]李士梅,李强.中国装备制造业全要素生产率测算及提升路径[J].哈尔滨商业大学学报:社会科学版,2019(2).
[14]Giroud,Axèle,Hafiz Mirza.Multinational Enterprise Policies towards International Intra-firm Technology Transfer:The Case of Japanese Manufacturing Firms in Asia[J].East Asia 2006,23(4).
[15]王思文,祁继鹏.要素流动性差异与地区间产业转移粘性[J].兰州大学学报:社会科学版,2012,40(2).
[16]樊士德,沈坤荣,朱克朋.中国制造业劳动力转移刚性与产业区际转移——基于核心-边缘模型拓展的数值模拟和经验研究[J].中国工业经济,2015(11).
[17]Andres Maroto,Jose Luis Zofío.Accessibility Gains and Road Transport Infrastructure in Spain:A Productivity Approach based on the Malmquist Index[J].Journal of Transport Geography,2016,52(4).
[18]贺灿飞,潘峰华.产业地理集中、产业集聚与产业集群:测量与辨识[J].地理科学进展,2007(2).
[19]刘烨,雷平.冰山运输成本的衡量及其中国制造业实证应用[J].经济地理,2015,35(5).
[20]王韶华,刘琳,张伟.京津冀能源强度及其影响因素重心演变时空特征分析[J].统计与信息论坛,2018,33(10).
[21]Sergio Petralia,Pierre-Alexandre Balland,Andrea Morrison.Climbing the Ladder of Technological Development[J].Research Policy,2017,46(5).
[22]张翼鸥,谷人旭.中国城市知识复杂性的空间特征及影响研究[J].地理学报,2018,73(8).
(1)本文采用的是最大最小值标准化,北京市和天津市的一些转移粘性指标在计算过程中被标准化为0,故将其剔除。
[2]王金杰,王庆芳,刘建国,李博.协同视角下京津冀制造业转移及区域间合作[J].经济地理,2018,38(7).
[3]Van Dijk,Piet H Pellenbarg.Firm Relocation Decisions in the Netherlands:An Ordered Logit Approach[J].Papers in Regional Science,2000,79(2).
[4]宋炳良.关于梯度推移中的区域“粘性”分析[J].外国经济与管理,1999(6).
[5]杜传忠,韩元军,张宪国.我国区际产业转移的动力及粘性分析[J].江西社会科学,2012,32(5).
[6]罗浩.中国劳动力无限供给与产业区域粘性[J].中国工业经济,2003(4).
[7]郭丽.产业区域转移粘性分析[J].经济地理,2009,29(3).
[8]马子红.基于成本视角的区际产业转移动因分析[J].财贸经济,2006(8).
[9]袁开洪,张卫东.创新群集对产业粘性的影响机理分析[J].国际贸易问题,2006(2).
[10]刘嗣明,童欢,徐慧.中国区际产业转移的困境寻源与对策探究[J].经济评论,2007(6).
[11]成祖松.我国区域产业转移粘性的成因分析:一个文献综述[J].经济问题探索,2013(3).
[12]韩继辉,金辉.制造业区际转移粘性的合理性分析[J].天津商业大学学报,2018,38(1).
[13]李士梅,李强.中国装备制造业全要素生产率测算及提升路径[J].哈尔滨商业大学学报:社会科学版,2019(2).
[14]Giroud,Axèle,Hafiz Mirza.Multinational Enterprise Policies towards International Intra-firm Technology Transfer:The Case of Japanese Manufacturing Firms in Asia[J].East Asia 2006,23(4).
[15]王思文,祁继鹏.要素流动性差异与地区间产业转移粘性[J].兰州大学学报:社会科学版,2012,40(2).
[16]樊士德,沈坤荣,朱克朋.中国制造业劳动力转移刚性与产业区际转移——基于核心-边缘模型拓展的数值模拟和经验研究[J].中国工业经济,2015(11).
[17]Andres Maroto,Jose Luis Zofío.Accessibility Gains and Road Transport Infrastructure in Spain:A Productivity Approach based on the Malmquist Index[J].Journal of Transport Geography,2016,52(4).
[18]贺灿飞,潘峰华.产业地理集中、产业集聚与产业集群:测量与辨识[J].地理科学进展,2007(2).
[19]刘烨,雷平.冰山运输成本的衡量及其中国制造业实证应用[J].经济地理,2015,35(5).
[20]王韶华,刘琳,张伟.京津冀能源强度及其影响因素重心演变时空特征分析[J].统计与信息论坛,2018,33(10).
[21]Sergio Petralia,Pierre-Alexandre Balland,Andrea Morrison.Climbing the Ladder of Technological Development[J].Research Policy,2017,46(5).
[22]张翼鸥,谷人旭.中国城市知识复杂性的空间特征及影响研究[J].地理学报,2018,73(8).
(1)本文采用的是最大最小值标准化,北京市和天津市的一些转移粘性指标在计算过程中被标准化为0,故将其剔除。