国内市场潜能对中国绿色经济绩效的影响研究——基于空间视角的分析
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摘要
从空间视角分析了国内市场潜能对中国绿色经济绩效的影响。结果表明:中国省域绿色经济绩效之间存在显著的空间自相关性,且其空间变化过程具有较好的稳健性;国内市场潜能对中国绿色经济绩效有显著的促进作用,即国内市场潜能对外贸形势恶化具有很好的替代性;产业结构和贸易开放度对中国绿色经济绩效有显著的抑制作用,产权结构对中国绿色经济绩效有显著的促进作用,而城镇化水平和投资开放度对中国绿色经济绩效的影响具有不确定性。
This paper analyzes the effect of domestic market potential on Chinese green economy performance from the spatial perspective. Results show that provincal green economy performance in China has a significant positive spatial autocorrelation effect and the trend of spatial changes in green economy performance has a good robustness. Domestic market potential has a significant promotion effect on Chinese green economy performance,namely,domestic market potential has a good alternative to deteriorating foreign trade situation. Industrial structure and trade openness have a significant inhibitory effect on Chinese green economy performance. Property rights structure can significantly promote Chinese green economy performance. However,the impact of urbanization level and openness to investment on Chinese green economy performance is uncertain.
This paper analyzes the effect of domestic market potential on Chinese green economy performance from the spatial perspective. Results show that provincal green economy performance in China has a significant positive spatial autocorrelation effect and the trend of spatial changes in green economy performance has a good robustness. Domestic market potential has a significant promotion effect on Chinese green economy performance,namely,domestic market potential has a good alternative to deteriorating foreign trade situation. Industrial structure and trade openness have a significant inhibitory effect on Chinese green economy performance. Property rights structure can significantly promote Chinese green economy performance. However,the impact of urbanization level and openness to investment on Chinese green economy performance is uncertain.
引文
[1] Harris C. The Market as a Factor in the Localization of Industry in the UnitedStates[J]. Annals of the Association of American Geographers,1954,44(4):315-348.
[2] Redding S,Venables A. Economic Geography and International Inequality[J]. Journal of International Economics,2004,62(1):53-82.
[3]董亚娟,胡星生,季正.环境约束下人力资本对绿色经济绩效的影响分析[J].统计与管理,2017(5):54-58.
[4]黄清煌,高明.中国环境规制工具的节能减排效果研究[J].科研管理,2016,37(6):19-27.
[5]谌莹,张捷.碳排放、绿色全要素生产率和经济增长[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2016,33(8):47-63.
[6]李斌,曹万林.环境规制对我国循环经济绩效的影响研究——基于生态创新的视角[J].中国软科学,2017(6):140-154.
[7]林善浪,张作雄.技术创新、知识溢出与地区市场潜能[J].软科学,2013,27(9):1-6.
[8] Yang Y,Zhou X F,Feng Y J,et al. A Survey to Evaluate Electronic Healthcare Databases for Potential Post-Marketing Drug Safety Surveillance in China[J]. Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety,2016,25:427-427.
[9] Yang J,Dong J,Lin Z H,et al. Predicting Market Potential and Environmental Benefits of Deploying Electric Taxis in Nanjing,China[J]. Transportation Research Part D-Transport and Environment,2016,49:68-81.
[10] Gonzalez-Val R,Tirado-Fabregat D A,Viladecans-Marsal E.Market Potential and City Growth:Spain 1860-1960[J]. Cliometrica,2017,11(1):31-61.
[11] Gunduz U,Kaya T. Regional Employment Generation Potential of the Turkish Labor Market:An Inter-sectoral Perspective[J].Technological and Economic Development of Economy,2017,23(5):726-741.
[12] Chang N L,Ho-Baillie A W Y,Vak D,et al. Manufacturing Cost and Market Potential Analysis of Demonstrated Roll-to-roll Perovskite Photovoltaic Cell Processes[J]. Solar Energy Materials and Solar Cells,2018,174:314-324.
(1)市场潜能概念最早由美国地理学家Harris提出,用以表述一个地区作为生产地,其区位选择依赖于对市场的通达程度。在Harris的市场潜能模型中,市场潜能与各地市场购买力即市场规模呈正比,与该地到市场的距离呈反比。其后,以Krugman,Fujita等为代表的新经济地理学家提出了基于垄断竞争、规模报酬和运输成本,包含企业主体决策行为的基于一般均衡框架的市场潜能模型。
(1)此处采用的省域创新指数来自复旦大学产业发展研究中心(FIND)、复旦大学中国经济研究中心(智库)和第一财经研究院联合发布的《中国城市和产业创新力报告2017》。
(1)功效系数法的具体算法为d1=xi-xmin/xmax-xmin×0. 4+0. 6,其中,xmax和xmin为一组数据的最大值和最小值,xi为真实值,di为绿色经济绩效值。
[2] Redding S,Venables A. Economic Geography and International Inequality[J]. Journal of International Economics,2004,62(1):53-82.
[3]董亚娟,胡星生,季正.环境约束下人力资本对绿色经济绩效的影响分析[J].统计与管理,2017(5):54-58.
[4]黄清煌,高明.中国环境规制工具的节能减排效果研究[J].科研管理,2016,37(6):19-27.
[5]谌莹,张捷.碳排放、绿色全要素生产率和经济增长[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2016,33(8):47-63.
[6]李斌,曹万林.环境规制对我国循环经济绩效的影响研究——基于生态创新的视角[J].中国软科学,2017(6):140-154.
[7]林善浪,张作雄.技术创新、知识溢出与地区市场潜能[J].软科学,2013,27(9):1-6.
[8] Yang Y,Zhou X F,Feng Y J,et al. A Survey to Evaluate Electronic Healthcare Databases for Potential Post-Marketing Drug Safety Surveillance in China[J]. Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety,2016,25:427-427.
[9] Yang J,Dong J,Lin Z H,et al. Predicting Market Potential and Environmental Benefits of Deploying Electric Taxis in Nanjing,China[J]. Transportation Research Part D-Transport and Environment,2016,49:68-81.
[10] Gonzalez-Val R,Tirado-Fabregat D A,Viladecans-Marsal E.Market Potential and City Growth:Spain 1860-1960[J]. Cliometrica,2017,11(1):31-61.
[11] Gunduz U,Kaya T. Regional Employment Generation Potential of the Turkish Labor Market:An Inter-sectoral Perspective[J].Technological and Economic Development of Economy,2017,23(5):726-741.
[12] Chang N L,Ho-Baillie A W Y,Vak D,et al. Manufacturing Cost and Market Potential Analysis of Demonstrated Roll-to-roll Perovskite Photovoltaic Cell Processes[J]. Solar Energy Materials and Solar Cells,2018,174:314-324.
(1)市场潜能概念最早由美国地理学家Harris提出,用以表述一个地区作为生产地,其区位选择依赖于对市场的通达程度。在Harris的市场潜能模型中,市场潜能与各地市场购买力即市场规模呈正比,与该地到市场的距离呈反比。其后,以Krugman,Fujita等为代表的新经济地理学家提出了基于垄断竞争、规模报酬和运输成本,包含企业主体决策行为的基于一般均衡框架的市场潜能模型。
(1)此处采用的省域创新指数来自复旦大学产业发展研究中心(FIND)、复旦大学中国经济研究中心(智库)和第一财经研究院联合发布的《中国城市和产业创新力报告2017》。
(1)功效系数法的具体算法为d1=xi-xmin/xmax-xmin×0. 4+0. 6,其中,xmax和xmin为一组数据的最大值和最小值,xi为真实值,di为绿色经济绩效值。