基于试验结果可信度的装甲车辆测试性综合评估方法研究
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摘要
由于外场试验自然故障样本量不足、实验室试验评估结果优于装备测试性真实水平,装甲车辆定型阶段缺乏科学的测试性评估方法。从条件概率定义出发修正了测试性预测模型,研究得到了测试性评估结果与试验评价方式关系,提出了基于外场试验、实验室试验、分析评价的测试性综合试验方法,构建了试验结果可信度计算模型和按照可信度确定不同试验结果权重的测试性综合评估模型。案例应用结果表明:基于试验结果可信度的测试性综合评估方法既解决了外场试验样本量不充分问题,又提高了试验操作的可行性和评估结论的科学性,为装甲车辆测试性试验提供了方法支持。
As the natural fault samples are insufficient in the field test and the evaluated result of the laboratory test is superior to the real testability level of the equipment,a scientific evaluation method of testability is lack for armored vehicles in final stage. For this reason,the test predictive model of testability is modified according to the definition of conditional probability,and the relationship between the test result and the test evaluation mode is studied. A comprehensive test method of testability based on the three test modes,including field test,laboratory test,and analysis and evaluation,is presented,and a calculation model of test result credibility and a comprehensive evaluation model of testability,which determines the weight of different test results according to credibility,are established. The proposed method and models are validated via applied examples. Results show that the comprehensive testability evaluation method based on the credibility of the test results solves the problem that the samples of field test are insufficient and improves the practicability of test operation and the scientificalness of evaluation conclusion.
As the natural fault samples are insufficient in the field test and the evaluated result of the laboratory test is superior to the real testability level of the equipment,a scientific evaluation method of testability is lack for armored vehicles in final stage. For this reason,the test predictive model of testability is modified according to the definition of conditional probability,and the relationship between the test result and the test evaluation mode is studied. A comprehensive test method of testability based on the three test modes,including field test,laboratory test,and analysis and evaluation,is presented,and a calculation model of test result credibility and a comprehensive evaluation model of testability,which determines the weight of different test results according to credibility,are established. The proposed method and models are validated via applied examples. Results show that the comprehensive testability evaluation method based on the credibility of the test results solves the problem that the samples of field test are insufficient and improves the practicability of test operation and the scientificalness of evaluation conclusion.
引文
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[15]魏世孝,周献中.多属性决策理论方法及其在C3I系统中的应用[M].北京:国防工业出版社,1998:76-77.WEI Shi-xiao,ZHOU Xian-zhong.Multi-attribute decision-making theory and its application in C3I system[M].Beijing:National Defense Industry Press,1998:76-77.(in Chinese)
[16]张永锋,骆清国.装甲车辆柴油机整机性能的综合评价[J].机械工程学报,2006,42(13):205-208.ZHANG Yong-feng,LUO Qing-guo.Comprehensive evaluation of diesel engine performance for armored vehicles[J].Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering,2006,42(13):205-208.(in Chinese)
[17]东北师范大学.GB/T 4087—2009数据的统计处理和解释:二项分布可靠度单侧置信下限[S].北京:中国标准出版社,2009.Northeast Normal University.GB/T 4087—2009 Statistical interpretation of data—one-side confidence lower limit of reliability for binomial distribution[S].Beijing:Standards Press of China,2009.(in Chinese)
[2]沈岭,周鸣歧.航天产品测试性试验验证方法[J].中国质量,2006(7):16-18.SHEN Ling,ZHOU Ming-qi.Testability demonstration methods of aerospace products[J].China Quality,2006(7):16-18.(in Chinese)
[3]何洋,叶晓慧,赵建扬.机电设备的测试性试验初探[J].电光与控制,2011,18(11):92-95.HE Yang,YE Xiao-hui,ZHAO Jian-yang.On testability verification for electromechanical equipment[J].Electronics Optics&Control,2011,18(11):92-95.(in Chinese)
[4]张小波,常瑞承.舰艇型号工程测试性验证与评价方法[J].舰船科学技术,2014,36(7):150-153.ZHANG Xiao-bo,CHANG Rui-cheng.The study of the ship engineering development testablilty evaluation method[J].Ship Science and Technology,2014,36(7):150-153.(in Chinese)
[5]常春贺,杨江平,王杰.雷达装备测试性验证及应用研究[J].计算机测量与控制,2011,19(8):1943-1949.CHANG Chun-he,YANG Jiang-ping,WANG Jie.Research on verification and application of testability of radar equipment[J].Computer Measurement&Control,2011,19(8):1943-1949.(in Chinese)
[6]张联禾.基于模拟试验的测试性评估方法研究[J].西南师范大学学报:自然科学版,2014,39(11):122-127.ZHANG Lian-he.Testability evaluation method based on the simulation test study of flight test phase[J].Journal of Southwest China Normal University:Natural Science Edition,2014,39(11):122-127.(in Chinese)
[7]中国人民解放军总装备部.GJB 2547A—2012装备测试性工作通用要求[S].北京:中国人民解放军总装备部,2012.General Armaments Department of the Chinese People's Liberation Army.GJB 2547A—2012 General requirement for materiel testability program[S].Beijing:General Armaments Department of the Chinese People's Liberation Army,2012.(in Chinese)
[8]张艺琼,武月琴,曾照祥,等.测试性验证试验中的综合评估方法[J].测控技术,2013,32(6):133-139.ZHANG Yi-qiong,WU Yue-qin,ZENG Zhao-xiang,et al.Method of integrated evaluation of testability validation test[J].Measurement&Control Technology,2013,32(6):133-139.(in Chinese)
[9]王京,李天梅,何华锋,等.多源测试性综合评估数据等效折合模型与方法研究[J].兵工学报,2017,38(1):151-159.WANG Jing,LI Tian-mei,HE Hua-feng,et al.Research on multi-source data equivalent methods for testability integrated evaluation[J].Acta Armamentarii,2017,38(1):151-159.(in Chinese)
[10]韩志钢.装备测试性综验证技术研究[J].可靠性与环境适应性理论研究,2016,34(2):7-9.HAN Zhi-gang.A comprehensive testability verification technology of equipment[J].Electronic Product Reliability and Environmental Testing,2016,34(2):7-9.(in Chinese)
[11]余龙海,史贤俊,肖支才.基于使用阶段数据的装备测试性验证方法[J].电光与控制,2016,23(6):90-95.YU Long-hai,SHI Jun-xian,XIAO Zhi-cai.A method for testability verification of armament based on data of service stage[J].Electronics Optics&Control,2016,23(6):90-95.(in Chinese)
[12]田仲.测试性验证方法研究[J].航空学报,1995,16(增刊):65-70.TIAN Zhong.Study on testability demonstration methods[J].Acta Aeronautica et Astronautica Sinica,1995,16(S):65-70.(in Chinese)
[13]徐忠伟,周玉芬,徐松涛,等.测试性验证中抽样方案的精确算法及应用[J].航空学报,2000,21(1):67-69.XU Zhong-wei,ZHOU Yu-fen,XU Song-tao,et al.Accurate algorithm of sampling plan&its application in testability demonstration[J].Acta Aeronautica et Astronaunica,2000,21(1):67-69.(in Chinese)
[14]田仲.测试性分配和预计[J].北京航空航天大学学报,1995,21(4):13-17.TIAN Zhong.Testability allocation and prediction[J].Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,1995,21(4):13-17.(in Chinese)
[15]魏世孝,周献中.多属性决策理论方法及其在C3I系统中的应用[M].北京:国防工业出版社,1998:76-77.WEI Shi-xiao,ZHOU Xian-zhong.Multi-attribute decision-making theory and its application in C3I system[M].Beijing:National Defense Industry Press,1998:76-77.(in Chinese)
[16]张永锋,骆清国.装甲车辆柴油机整机性能的综合评价[J].机械工程学报,2006,42(13):205-208.ZHANG Yong-feng,LUO Qing-guo.Comprehensive evaluation of diesel engine performance for armored vehicles[J].Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering,2006,42(13):205-208.(in Chinese)
[17]东北师范大学.GB/T 4087—2009数据的统计处理和解释:二项分布可靠度单侧置信下限[S].北京:中国标准出版社,2009.Northeast Normal University.GB/T 4087—2009 Statistical interpretation of data—one-side confidence lower limit of reliability for binomial distribution[S].Beijing:Standards Press of China,2009.(in Chinese)