摘要
技术创新是实现经济发展和环境保护"双重红利"的必要途径。为此,构建环境规制影响工业技术创新投入产出的三阶段分析框架,利用中国2002—2015年大中型工业企业35个分行业面板数据,使用动态面板系统广义矩估计(GMM)方法,在区分行业间污染排放强度波动趋势异质性的条件下实证检验环境规制对工业技术创新投入、产出的非线性影响及分阶段作用机制,找寻工业技术创新的环境规制最优协同区间,进一步引入交互项模型分析环境规制、创新投入、创新产出之间的交互影响与协同效应,以综合探究工业技术创新的环境规制协同机制。研究结果表明:(1)除在污染排放强度为递增样本,环境规制与创新人员、资金投入均呈现"U形"关系;(2)环境规制与创新知识、产品产出均呈现"倒U形"关系;(3)虽然在全样本中存在创新投入产出分阶段协同作用的最优环境规制区间,但中国现阶段环境规制水平还处于各曲线拐点左侧,远低于协同区间水平;(4)在创新技术研发阶段,存在环境规制与创新资金投入的协同效应,在创新技术转化阶段,存在环境规制与创新知识产出的协同效应。目前,中国工业行业整体环境规制水平仍然较低,为实现环境与经济的双赢,应提高环境规制强度,针对不同工业行业制定环境规制滚动修正、动态调整机制,充分发挥环境规制对工业行业技术创新的推动作用。
Technological innovation is a necessary approach to solve the dilemma between economic development and environmental protection. In order to seek the optimal synergistic region of environmental regulation for industrial technology innovation,this paper took the panel data of 36 industrial sectors of large and medium-sized industrial enterprises in China from 2002 to 2015 as samples,constructed multi-stage analysis framework of environmental regulation on technological innovation's input and output,as well as empirically tested the nonlinear effects and multi-stage mechanisms of environmental regulation on technological innovation's input and output with distinguishing the heterogeneity of the fluctuation trend of pollution emission intensity by system GMM method.Further,it introduced the interaction models to analyze the interaction effects and synergies between environmental regulation,innovation's input and innovation's output,and comprehensively explored the collaborative mechanisms of environmental regulation on industrial technology innovation. The results showed that:(1)In the input stage,there was a "U-shaped",relationship between environmental regulation and technological innovation's input except in the sample of increasing pollution emission intensity;(2) In the output stage,environmental regulation and technological innovation's output showed an"inverted U-shaped" relationship;(3) Although there was an optimal synergetic interval of environmental regulation for collaborative innovation in the total sample,environmental regulation of industrial sectors were staying on the left of inflection point and much lower than the level of optimal synergetic interval;(4)environmental regulation and R&D investment intensity created synergistic effects on technological innovation's knowledge output at the stage of research and development; environmental regulation and technological innovation's knowledge output had synergistic effects on technological innovation's product output in the transformation phase. The overall environmental regulation of China's industries is still at a low level. To achieve a win-win situation for economy and environment,the government should increase the intensity of environmental regulation,establish differentiated and dynamically adjusted environmental regulation policies towards different industries,and promote technological innovation in industrial sectors effectively.
引文
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(1)因环境规制强度已进行标准化,不再采用去对数形式。
(1)各行业污染物主要包括废水、废气和固体废物,其中废气排放量的单位为亿标立方米,为体积单位,不能满足于其他环境规制指标的可加性与可比性,因此,本文使用烟粉尘和SO2的排放量对其进行替换。
(1)本文将连续报告年份的工业总产值与工业销售产值数据进行对比,发现两者相差基本没有超过5%。
(2)本文以2002年为基期对数据进行了调整:使用消费者价格指数(CPI)对R&D内部经费支出、港澳台资本、其他外商资本进行价格调整;使用工业生产者出厂价格指数对各行业工业总产值、工业销售产值、利润总额、新产品销售收入进行价格调整;使用固定资产投资价格指数对固定资产净值进行价格调整。
(1)由于篇幅限制,具体计算过程文章中未详细说明,如需要可向作者索取。