中国经济升级版的评价指标体系构建、测度与阶段甄别
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摘要
改革开放以来,中国经济取得了举世瞩目的成绩,而随之引起的弊端也日益凸显,经济转型和经济升级成为刻不容缓的任务之一。本文选取1995~2014年中国20年间的统计数据,利用层次分析法,从人民幸福感程度、结构优化程度、可持续发展能力、外向型经济、创新驱动能力方面考察中国经济阶段性特征,再运用系统聚类分析,进一步探索出中国在这20年间历经的经济升级状况及发展趋势,最后提出中国经济再次升级的动力源泉在于提高民生保障水平、科技创新、绿色产业、发展服务业、构建全方位开放新格局。
Since the reform and opening up,Chinese economy has achieved remarkable results,but disadvantages have become increasingly prominent,economic transformation and upgrading has become an urgent task.The paper conducts an empirical study by the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)based on Chinese data from 1995 to 2014,which study Chinese economic features of each stage from the degree of People's sense of happiness,the degree of structural optimization,sustainable development capability,export-oriented economy and innovation-driven capability,then further explore chinese economic upgrade and trends during 20 years based on cluster analysis.Finally,the motivation of Chinese economy re-upgrade is to improve the livelihood security level,propose technological innovation,promote the green industry,develop the service industry and build all-round opening new pattern.
Since the reform and opening up,Chinese economy has achieved remarkable results,but disadvantages have become increasingly prominent,economic transformation and upgrading has become an urgent task.The paper conducts an empirical study by the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)based on Chinese data from 1995 to 2014,which study Chinese economic features of each stage from the degree of People's sense of happiness,the degree of structural optimization,sustainable development capability,export-oriented economy and innovation-driven capability,then further explore chinese economic upgrade and trends during 20 years based on cluster analysis.Finally,the motivation of Chinese economy re-upgrade is to improve the livelihood security level,propose technological innovation,promote the green industry,develop the service industry and build all-round opening new pattern.
引文
[1]王永钦,市场互联性、关系型合约与经济转型[J].经济研究,2006,(6):79~91
[2]康继军,张宗益,傅蕴英.中国经济转型与增长[J].管理世界,2007,(1):7~17
[3]彭泗清,李兰,潘建成,等.经济转型与创新:认识、问题与对策——2013.中国企业家成长与发展专题调查报告[J].管理世界,2013,(9):9~20
[4]中国经济增长前沿课题组,张平,刘霞辉,等.中国经济转型的结构性特征、风险与效率提升路径[J].经济研究,2013,(10):4~17
[5]胡鞍钢,鄢一龙,杨竺松.打造中国经济升级版:背景、内涵与途径[J].国家行政学院学报,2013,(4):9~15
[6]刘迎秋.论打造中国经济升级版[J].国家行政学院学报,2013,(4):16~23
[7]韩康.中国经济发展的升级和体制的升级——关于中国经济升级版的思考[J].国家行政学院学报,2013,(5):4~18
[8]丰志培,刘志迎.经济升级版背景下的产业升级路径与对策——以安徽为例[J].江淮论坛,2014,(4):99~105
[9]刘迎秋.论打造浙江经济升级版的实质、主题及其路径选择[J].浙江学刊,2013,(5):164~169
[10]王喜良.全力推进产业转型升级着力打造云南经济升级版[J].经济问题探索,2014,(11):1~4
[11]鲍媛媛.中国对外贸易依存度的研究[J].管理纵横,2014,(7):11~12
[2]康继军,张宗益,傅蕴英.中国经济转型与增长[J].管理世界,2007,(1):7~17
[3]彭泗清,李兰,潘建成,等.经济转型与创新:认识、问题与对策——2013.中国企业家成长与发展专题调查报告[J].管理世界,2013,(9):9~20
[4]中国经济增长前沿课题组,张平,刘霞辉,等.中国经济转型的结构性特征、风险与效率提升路径[J].经济研究,2013,(10):4~17
[5]胡鞍钢,鄢一龙,杨竺松.打造中国经济升级版:背景、内涵与途径[J].国家行政学院学报,2013,(4):9~15
[6]刘迎秋.论打造中国经济升级版[J].国家行政学院学报,2013,(4):16~23
[7]韩康.中国经济发展的升级和体制的升级——关于中国经济升级版的思考[J].国家行政学院学报,2013,(5):4~18
[8]丰志培,刘志迎.经济升级版背景下的产业升级路径与对策——以安徽为例[J].江淮论坛,2014,(4):99~105
[9]刘迎秋.论打造浙江经济升级版的实质、主题及其路径选择[J].浙江学刊,2013,(5):164~169
[10]王喜良.全力推进产业转型升级着力打造云南经济升级版[J].经济问题探索,2014,(11):1~4
[11]鲍媛媛.中国对外贸易依存度的研究[J].管理纵横,2014,(7):11~12