林业产业集聚对中国林业全要素生产率作用机制——基于动态空间计量模型的实证分析
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摘要
研究林业产业集聚对林业全要素生产率作用机制有利于促进林业全要素生产率提高,进而促进林业经济发展。文中基于2006-2016年我国林业产业数据,采用DEA-Malmquist指数法测算发现中国林业全要素生产率呈上升趋势,并通过莫兰指数验证了其空间相关特征;使用动态空间计量模型对林业产业集聚影响林业全要素生产率的机制进行实证分析,结论是林业产业集聚主要通过林业综合技术效率途径来影响林业全要素生产率,而对林业技术进步影响不显著;最后结合研究结论提出相关建议。
The study of operation mechanism of forestry industrial agglomeration affecting forestry total factor productivity(TFP) is conducive to improving the efficiency and quality of TFP, and promotes the development of forestry economy. Based on the statistical data of Chinese forestry industry in 2006-2016, this paper calculates Chinese forestry TFP using DEA-Malmquist and found the TFP has been on the rise, and uses Moran's I to verify its spatial correlation. Then the dynamic spatial econometric model is used to analyze the mechanism of forestry industrial agglomeration affecting forestry TFP. The conclusion is that forestry industrial agglomeration affects significantly the forestry TFP with forestry technical efficiency, while it has insignificant influence on forestry technology advancement. Based on the research conclusion, the authors came up with relevant suggestion.
The study of operation mechanism of forestry industrial agglomeration affecting forestry total factor productivity(TFP) is conducive to improving the efficiency and quality of TFP, and promotes the development of forestry economy. Based on the statistical data of Chinese forestry industry in 2006-2016, this paper calculates Chinese forestry TFP using DEA-Malmquist and found the TFP has been on the rise, and uses Moran's I to verify its spatial correlation. Then the dynamic spatial econometric model is used to analyze the mechanism of forestry industrial agglomeration affecting forestry TFP. The conclusion is that forestry industrial agglomeration affects significantly the forestry TFP with forestry technical efficiency, while it has insignificant influence on forestry technology advancement. Based on the research conclusion, the authors came up with relevant suggestion.
引文
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[2]王香花,张伟婷,苏彩平.基于区位熵与集中度的山西省林业产业集群测度[J].林业经济,2015(10):71-73.
[3]张占贞.山东省林业产业集群成长能力影响因素实证分析[J].林业经济问题,2013,33(4):312-318.
[4]李小平.中国木材加工产业集聚的空间格局演变及影响因素研究[D].北京:北京林业大学,2013.
[5]魏素豪,宗刚.我国林业产业集聚的空间计量分析[J].统计与决策,2017(8):130-133.
[6]陈思杭,金志农,滕玉华.林业全要素生产率分析:基于九个主要林业省份的数据[J].生态经济,2013(10):81-84.
[7]苏时鹏,吴俊媛,甘建邦.林改后闽浙赣家庭林业全要素生产率变动比较[J].资源科学,2015,37(1):112-124.
[8]夏永红,沈文星.中国林产工业集聚水平测度及演进趋势与产业经济增长:基于2003—2016年数据的实证分析[J].世界林业研究,2018,31(6):42-46.
[9]姜钰,管时一.中国林业全要素生产率的时空演变及集聚特征分析[J].华东经济管理,2018,32(2):117-121.
[10]程中华,于斌斌.产业集聚与技术进步:基于中国城市数据的空间计量分析[J].山西财经大学学报,2014(10):58-66.
[11]于斌斌,杨宏翔,金刚.产业集聚能提高地区经济效率吗?:基于中国城市数据的空间计量分析[J].中南财经政法大学学报,2015(3):121-130.
[12]鹿坪.产业集聚能提高地区全要素生产率吗?:基于空间计量的实证分析[J].上海经济研究,2017(7):60-68.
[13]潘雅茹,陈峥,罗良文.产业集聚影响全要素能源效率的非线性特征研究:基于中国能源行业数据的实证分析[J].华东经济管理,2017,31(11):121-126.
[14]赵伟,张萃.中国制造业区域集聚与全要素生产率增长[J].上海交通大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2008(5):52-56.
[15]CICCONE A.Agglomerationeffects in Europe[J].Social Science Elec-tronic Publishing,2000,46(2):213-227.
[16]OTTAVIANO G I P,PINELL ID.Market potential and productivity:evidence from Finnish regions[J].Regional Science & Urban Economics,2006,36(5):636-657.
[17]CINGANO F,SCHIVARDI F.Identifying the sources of local product-ivity growth[J].Journal of the European Economic Association,2004,2(4):720-742.
[18]STORPER M,VENABLES A J.Buzz:face-to-face contact and the urban economy[J].Journal of Economic Geography,2004,4(4):351-370.
[19]单豪杰.中国资本存量K的再估算:1952～2006年[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2008(10):17-31.
[20]SHARMA S C,SYLWESTER K,MARGONO H.Decomposition of total factor productivity growth in U.S.states[J].Quarterly Review of Economics & Finance,2007,47(2):215-241.
[21]JERZMANOWSKI M.Total factor productivity differences:appropriate technology vs.efficiency[J].European Economic Review,2007,51(8):2080-2110.
[22]ELHORST J P.Dynamic spatial panels:models,methods,and infer-ences[J].Journal of Geographical Systems,2012,14(1):5-28.
[23]ELHORST J P.Matlabsoftware for spatial panels[J].International Regional Science Review,2015,37(3):389-405.
[24]魏肖杰,张敏新.中国林业产业集聚影响因素作用机制的实证研究:基于空间杜宾模型[J].资源开发与市场,2018,34(12):1731-1737.