Risk Assessment and Service Benefit Evaluation of Forestry Meteorological Disasters in Guangxi
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摘要
In order to strengthen the construction of forestry meteorological service capacity and improve the quality of forestry meteorological services,the national forestry meteorological disaster risk survey and service benefit assessment were carried out from November 2016 to May2017. A total of 196 risk sites in Guangxi were collected by means of questionnaire survey,expert evaluation and field survey. The results showed that fire,pest and wind hazards are the main types of risk points in Guangxi. The survey showed that there were 77 monitoring stations around the disaster risk sites belonging to the Forestry Sector,which mainly monitor fire hazards,while other disasters had no monitoring point yet. Early warning facilities were still constantly improving. The meteorological disasters that affecting forestry production were drought,gale,and heavy rainfall,and the main meteorological hazard factors were temperature,wind speed,and precipitation. Forest fire prevention,forestry resources development and utilization,forestation and tending demand for meteorological services were relatively large. It was hoped that forestry meteorological service products would be obtained through telephone,SMS and early warning systems. In addition,experts objectivly evaluated the contribution rate of meteorological services in Guangxi. The contribution rate of forest meteorological services in the whole region was8. 41%. The scale of Guangxi's total forestry output value was 31. 478 billion yuan in 2016. According to the calculation of this value,the service benefit value had reached 2. 647 billion yuan. In conclusion,strengthening the cooperation in forestry meteorological monitoring,technology development,and emergency response,and further improving forestry meteorological services and effective reducing forestry disaster losses are the top priorities of the meteorological department.
In order to strengthen the construction of forestry meteorological service capacity and improve the quality of forestry meteorological services,the national forestry meteorological disaster risk survey and service benefit assessment were carried out from November 2016 to May2017. A total of 196 risk sites in Guangxi were collected by means of questionnaire survey,expert evaluation and field survey. The results showed that fire,pest and wind hazards are the main types of risk points in Guangxi. The survey showed that there were 77 monitoring stations around the disaster risk sites belonging to the Forestry Sector,which mainly monitor fire hazards,while other disasters had no monitoring point yet. Early warning facilities were still constantly improving. The meteorological disasters that affecting forestry production were drought,gale,and heavy rainfall,and the main meteorological hazard factors were temperature,wind speed,and precipitation. Forest fire prevention,forestry resources development and utilization,forestation and tending demand for meteorological services were relatively large. It was hoped that forestry meteorological service products would be obtained through telephone,SMS and early warning systems. In addition,experts objectivly evaluated the contribution rate of meteorological services in Guangxi. The contribution rate of forest meteorological services in the whole region was8. 41%. The scale of Guangxi's total forestry output value was 31. 478 billion yuan in 2016. According to the calculation of this value,the service benefit value had reached 2. 647 billion yuan. In conclusion,strengthening the cooperation in forestry meteorological monitoring,technology development,and emergency response,and further improving forestry meteorological services and effective reducing forestry disaster losses are the top priorities of the meteorological department.
In order to strengthen the construction of forestry meteorological service capacity and improve the quality of forestry meteorological services,the national forestry meteorological disaster risk survey and service benefit assessment were carried out from November 2016 to May2017. A total of 196 risk sites in Guangxi were collected by means of questionnaire survey,expert evaluation and field survey. The results showed that fire,pest and wind hazards are the main types of risk points in Guangxi. The survey showed that there were 77 monitoring stations around the disaster risk sites belonging to the Forestry Sector,which mainly monitor fire hazards,while other disasters had no monitoring point yet. Early warning facilities were still constantly improving. The meteorological disasters that affecting forestry production were drought,gale,and heavy rainfall,and the main meteorological hazard factors were temperature,wind speed,and precipitation. Forest fire prevention,forestry resources development and utilization,forestation and tending demand for meteorological services were relatively large. It was hoped that forestry meteorological service products would be obtained through telephone,SMS and early warning systems. In addition,experts objectivly evaluated the contribution rate of meteorological services in Guangxi. The contribution rate of forest meteorological services in the whole region was8. 41%. The scale of Guangxi's total forestry output value was 31. 478 billion yuan in 2016. According to the calculation of this value,the service benefit value had reached 2. 647 billion yuan. In conclusion,strengthening the cooperation in forestry meteorological monitoring,technology development,and emergency response,and further improving forestry meteorological services and effective reducing forestry disaster losses are the top priorities of the meteorological department.
引文
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[2]YE C,WANG YN,WU Y.Risk survey and service benefit evaluation of forestry meteorological disaster in Zhejiang Province[A].Annual Meeting of Chinese Meteorological Society S12:Enhancing the level of meteorological science and technology to ensure agricultural disaster reduction and efficiency[C].Acta Meteorologica Sinica,2017.(in Chinese).
[3]ZHU XQ,SONG HP.The status and function of meteorology in forestry production[J].Ningxia Forestry Communication,2007,26(3):34-35.(in Chinese).
[4]ZHANG TR,QIAN JX,REN HL.Review on impacts of meteorological factors on occurrence and development of forest pests[J].Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology,2010,31(3):459-461.(in Chinese).
[5]XU MC,MA WT.Relationship between arid climatic factors and forest fires[J].Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology,2012,34(3):603-607.(in Chinese).
[6]YANG YC,BAI GB,LI JK,et al.Exploration and consideration of Shaanxi's forest fire weather service[J].Agriculture Network Information,2016,31(1):26-29.(in Chinese).
[7]WANG YB,LIU Y,WANG CH.Impact of drought on forestry in Shanxi and the countermeasures we should take[J].Journal of China Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning,2012,33(1):93-96.(in Chinese).
[8]WANG Y,LIU QY.Forestry meteorological disaster's characters,distribution and controls in Jiangxi Province[J].Jiangxi Forestry Science and Technology,2006,34(2):25-27.(in Chinese).
[9]YANG SY,ZHANG MM,YANG YL.Agriculture meteorological disaster analysis of China in recent ten years[J].Acta Agriculturae Jiangxi,2011,19(7):106-108.(in Chinese).
[10]WANG CY,ZHANG JQ,HUO ZG,et al.Prospects and progresses in the research of risk assessment of agro-meteorological disasters[J].Acta Meteorologica Sinica,2015,91(1):1-19.(in Chinese).