大型工程项目对城市承载力影响评价指标研究
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摘要
在文献研究的基础上,通过探索性案例研究,对大型工程项目对城市承载力影响评价指标体系进行初始识别;通过问卷调查的方法收集数据,运用主成分分析、因子分析、相关分析等方法对评价指标体系进行修正;运用层次分析法确定各指标权重。研究确定了基于城市经济、社会、生态承载力3个维度,包含6个二级评价指标、23个具体评价指标的评价指标体系。不仅是对现有大型工程项目评价指标体系研究的补充,而且能为评价大型工程项目的实施效果提供支持,为我国在国内外一系列大型工程项目投资决策提供依据。
Based on literature and exploratory case study,this study constructed the initial evaluation index system for assessing the impact of large-scale projects on carrying capacity of cities. We collected data through questionnaire and corrected the evaluation index system by principal component analysis,factor analysis and correlation analysis. We determined the index weights through AHP. This study builds an evaluation index system based on three dimensions of economic carrying capacity,society carrying capacity,and ecological carrying capacity,which contains six secondary evaluation indexes and 23 specific evaluation indexes. This study not only provides additional insights into the existing research on the evaluation index system of large-scale projects but also solid references for evaluating the effect of large-scale projects. The findings of this study can facilitate investment decisions for large-scale projects at home and abroad.
Based on literature and exploratory case study,this study constructed the initial evaluation index system for assessing the impact of large-scale projects on carrying capacity of cities. We collected data through questionnaire and corrected the evaluation index system by principal component analysis,factor analysis and correlation analysis. We determined the index weights through AHP. This study builds an evaluation index system based on three dimensions of economic carrying capacity,society carrying capacity,and ecological carrying capacity,which contains six secondary evaluation indexes and 23 specific evaluation indexes. This study not only provides additional insights into the existing research on the evaluation index system of large-scale projects but also solid references for evaluating the effect of large-scale projects. The findings of this study can facilitate investment decisions for large-scale projects at home and abroad.
引文
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[2]李小康,雷林,王晓鸣.工程项目精益建造管理水平评价方法研究[J].工程管理学报,2018,32(5):1-6.
[3]王丹,李雪飞.基于挣值法的工程项目质量管理评价体系研究[J].工程管理学报,2017,31(4):126-130.
[4]屈甜利,李烨.基于三方视角的大型工程项目集成评价体系研究[J].工程管理学报,2015,29(5):92-96.
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[11]董玉梅,高进田,等.基于承载力的城市综合开发项目评估模型研究[J].项目管理技术,2012(8):66.
[12]David A N,Richard T W.An Ex Post Evaluation of Ohio’s Great Miami Water Quality Trading Program[J].Journal of the American Water Resources Association,2012,48(1):156-169.
[13]石忆邵,尹昌应,王贺封,等.城市综合承载力的研究进展及展望[J].地理研究,2013,32(1):133-145.
[14]Mahamid I,Bruland A.Cost Deviation in Road Construction Projects:the Case of Palestine[J].Australasian Journal of Construction Economics and Building,2012,12(1):58-71.
[15]Bart W,Johan V,Rob K,et al.Review of Underground Logistic Systems in the Netherlands:an Ex-post Evaluation of Barriers,Enablers and Spin-offs[J].European Transport,2010,45:34-49.
[16]Abidin N Z,Pasquire C L.Delivering Sustainability through Value Management:Concept and Performance Overview[J].Engineering,Construction and Architectural Management,2005,12(2):168-180.
[17]Mcconville J R,Mihelcic J R.Adapting Life-cycle Thinking Tools to Evaluate Project Sustainability in International Water and Sanitation Development Work[J].Environmental Engineering Science,2007,24(7):937-948.
[18]Andrew K,Julio L,Rob M,et al.Setting National Emission Ceilings for Air Pollutants:Policy Lessons from an Ex-post Evaluation of the Gothenburg Protocol[J].Environmental Science&Policy,2010(13):28-41.
[19]Blasinsky M,Goldman H H,Unutzer J.Project Impact:a Report on Barriers and Facilitators to Sustainability[J].Administration and Policy in Mental Health and Mental Health Services Research,2006,33(6):718-729.
[20]Snowball J D.Measuring the Value of Culture:Methods and Examples in Cultural Economics[M].Springer,2008.
[2]李小康,雷林,王晓鸣.工程项目精益建造管理水平评价方法研究[J].工程管理学报,2018,32(5):1-6.
[3]王丹,李雪飞.基于挣值法的工程项目质量管理评价体系研究[J].工程管理学报,2017,31(4):126-130.
[4]屈甜利,李烨.基于三方视角的大型工程项目集成评价体系研究[J].工程管理学报,2015,29(5):92-96.
[5]袁竞峰,郭霁月,李京娥.重大工程社会影响评价的综述:概念、内容与方法[J].现代管理科学,2018,37(12):115-117.
[6]Minhyuk J,Sungjin K,Seokho C.A Progress Measurement Framework for Large-Scale Urban Construction Projects[J].KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering,2018,22(7):2188-2194.
[7]Richard S L,Michael T H,Casey R M.Sustainable City Regions:Mega-Projects in Balance with the Earth’s Carrying Capacity[M].Springer,2011.
[8]Lorenzo F.Extreme Cities and Isotropic Territories:Scenarios and Projects Arising from the Environmental Emergency of the Central Veneto CittàDiffusa[J].International Journal of Disaster Risk Science,2012,3(1):11-22.
[9]Mark T B,Bradley C P.When Do Environmentally Focused Assistance Projects Achieve Their Objectives?Evidence from World Bank Post-project Evaluations[J].Global Environmental Politics,2013(5):65-88.
[10]Matrai T.Cost Benefit Analysis and Ex-post Evaluation for Railway Upgrade Projects[J].Periodica Polytechnica Transportation Engineering,2013,41(1):33.
[11]董玉梅,高进田,等.基于承载力的城市综合开发项目评估模型研究[J].项目管理技术,2012(8):66.
[12]David A N,Richard T W.An Ex Post Evaluation of Ohio’s Great Miami Water Quality Trading Program[J].Journal of the American Water Resources Association,2012,48(1):156-169.
[13]石忆邵,尹昌应,王贺封,等.城市综合承载力的研究进展及展望[J].地理研究,2013,32(1):133-145.
[14]Mahamid I,Bruland A.Cost Deviation in Road Construction Projects:the Case of Palestine[J].Australasian Journal of Construction Economics and Building,2012,12(1):58-71.
[15]Bart W,Johan V,Rob K,et al.Review of Underground Logistic Systems in the Netherlands:an Ex-post Evaluation of Barriers,Enablers and Spin-offs[J].European Transport,2010,45:34-49.
[16]Abidin N Z,Pasquire C L.Delivering Sustainability through Value Management:Concept and Performance Overview[J].Engineering,Construction and Architectural Management,2005,12(2):168-180.
[17]Mcconville J R,Mihelcic J R.Adapting Life-cycle Thinking Tools to Evaluate Project Sustainability in International Water and Sanitation Development Work[J].Environmental Engineering Science,2007,24(7):937-948.
[18]Andrew K,Julio L,Rob M,et al.Setting National Emission Ceilings for Air Pollutants:Policy Lessons from an Ex-post Evaluation of the Gothenburg Protocol[J].Environmental Science&Policy,2010(13):28-41.
[19]Blasinsky M,Goldman H H,Unutzer J.Project Impact:a Report on Barriers and Facilitators to Sustainability[J].Administration and Policy in Mental Health and Mental Health Services Research,2006,33(6):718-729.
[20]Snowball J D.Measuring the Value of Culture:Methods and Examples in Cultural Economics[M].Springer,2008.