湖北省村镇居民家庭能源消费结构及选择偏好研究——基于不同收入水平比较的分析
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摘要
居民能源消费结构变化,关系到生态文明建设与经济结构转型等国家战略的实施效果。在问卷调查基础上,本文利用多值Logit模型,重点分析了湖北省不同收入水平村镇居民家庭能源消费结构及选择偏好。研究发现:汽油、电力、液化气和薪柴是村镇家庭最主要的能源,不同收入水平村镇家庭能源消费组合差异显著且选择偏好不同,"电力+汽油"是村镇家庭能源消费组合"由繁到简"变化的主要趋势。最后,提出推动湖北省村镇居民家庭能源消费结构优化的建议:切实提高村镇居民家庭收入,促进能源消费结构提升;做好电力与汽油能源规划,保障居民家庭能源供应;大力开发新能源,加快能源供应结构调整。
The change of energy consumption stru cture is related to the effect of national strategy implementation of ecological civilization construction and economic structure transformation in China. Based on the questionnaire survey, this paper analyzes the family energy consumption structure and preferences of village and town residents in different income levels in Hubei Province by a Multi-Logit Model. The following conclusions have been found as: gasoline, electricity, liquefied gas and firewood is the main source of energy of families in village and town; combination and preference of energy consumption are all significantly different between different income level families; "electricity + gasoline"is the main trend from complex to simple of energy consumption combination. Finally, the following suggestions are put forward to optimize the energy consumption structure of village and town residents in Hubei province: improve the household income of the village and town for the energy consumption structure promotion; make power and gasoline energy planning to ensure the household energy supply; develop new energy energetically to accelerate the adjustment of energy supply structure.
The change of energy consumption stru cture is related to the effect of national strategy implementation of ecological civilization construction and economic structure transformation in China. Based on the questionnaire survey, this paper analyzes the family energy consumption structure and preferences of village and town residents in different income levels in Hubei Province by a Multi-Logit Model. The following conclusions have been found as: gasoline, electricity, liquefied gas and firewood is the main source of energy of families in village and town; combination and preference of energy consumption are all significantly different between different income level families; "electricity + gasoline"is the main trend from complex to simple of energy consumption combination. Finally, the following suggestions are put forward to optimize the energy consumption structure of village and town residents in Hubei province: improve the household income of the village and town for the energy consumption structure promotion; make power and gasoline energy planning to ensure the household energy supply; develop new energy energetically to accelerate the adjustment of energy supply structure.
引文
[1]魏楚,王丹,吴宛忆,谢伦裕.中国农村居民煤炭消费及影响因素研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(09):178-185.
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[5]史清华,彭小辉,张锐.中国农村能源消费的田野调查——以晋黔浙三省2253个农户调查为例[J].管理世界,2014,(05):80-92.
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[7]刘贤贤,刘满芝,冯倩茹.中国城镇生活能源消费的时空格局及演变[J].消费经济,2016,32(01):41-45+67.
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[9]张海鹏,牟俊霖,尹航.林区农村家庭生活能源消费需求实证分析——基于双扩展的线性支出系统模型[J].中国农村经济,2010,(07):64-74.
[10]梁育填,樊杰,孙威,韩晓旭,盛科荣,马海龙,徐勇,王传胜.西南山区农村生活能源消费结构的影响因素分析——以云南省昭通市为例[J].地理学报,2012,67(02):221-229.
[11]李科.我国城乡居民生活能源消费碳排放的影响因素分析[J].消费经济,2013,29(02):73-76+80.
[12]仇焕广,严健标,李登旺,韩炜.我国农村生活能源消费现状、发展趋势及决定因素分析——基于四省两期调研的实证研究[J].中国软科学,2015,(11):28-38.
[13]陈锟,王晓红,朱敏.Logit模型在市场营销定量研究中的应用——消费者对家电品牌选择的实证分析[J].商业研究,2006,(24):195-199.
[2]郑新业,魏楚,虞义华,等.中国家庭能源消费研究报告(2016)[R].北京:科学出版社,2017.
[3]霍沫霖,赵佳,徐朝,等.中国散烧煤消费地图及影响因素研究[J].中国电力,2017,50(1):1-8.
[4]支国瑞,杨俊超,张涛,等.我国北方农村生活燃煤情况调查、排放估算及政策启示[J].环境科学研究,2015,28(08):1179-1185.
[5]史清华,彭小辉,张锐.中国农村能源消费的田野调查——以晋黔浙三省2253个农户调查为例[J].管理世界,2014,(05):80-92.
[6]肖红波,李军,李宗泰,韩菲,李华.北京农村能源消费现状及影响因素分析——基于北京市1866个农村住户的调研[J].中国农业资源与区划,2017,38(10):127-137.
[7]刘贤贤,刘满芝,冯倩茹.中国城镇生活能源消费的时空格局及演变[J].消费经济,2016,32(01):41-45+67.
[8]张馨,牛叔文,赵春升,胡莉莉.中国城市化进程中的居民家庭能源消费及碳排放研究[J].中国软科学,2011,(09):65-75.
[9]张海鹏,牟俊霖,尹航.林区农村家庭生活能源消费需求实证分析——基于双扩展的线性支出系统模型[J].中国农村经济,2010,(07):64-74.
[10]梁育填,樊杰,孙威,韩晓旭,盛科荣,马海龙,徐勇,王传胜.西南山区农村生活能源消费结构的影响因素分析——以云南省昭通市为例[J].地理学报,2012,67(02):221-229.
[11]李科.我国城乡居民生活能源消费碳排放的影响因素分析[J].消费经济,2013,29(02):73-76+80.
[12]仇焕广,严健标,李登旺,韩炜.我国农村生活能源消费现状、发展趋势及决定因素分析——基于四省两期调研的实证研究[J].中国软科学,2015,(11):28-38.
[13]陈锟,王晓红,朱敏.Logit模型在市场营销定量研究中的应用——消费者对家电品牌选择的实证分析[J].商业研究,2006,(24):195-199.