上海港与腹地经济互动发展的实证研究
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摘要
上海港是我国的重要港口,其经济腹地也在全国占有重要地位,研究上海港与腹地经济的互动发展关系具有积极的现实意义。运用VAR模型,通过脉冲响应函数分析和方差分解等方法分析上海港与腹地经济之间的互动发展关系。研究结果表明,上海港的发展对腹地经济有积极的带动作用,而腹地经济对上海港的发展有微弱的拉动作用。提高腹地经济对上海港的拉动效应,实现二者的良性互动,有利于上海港及其腹地经济的发展,也对其他港口经济互动的良性发展提供借鉴。
Shanghai port is momentous in our country, and its economic hinterland also occupies an important position in the whole country. The research on the interactive development between the Shanghai port and its economic hinterland has a positive and practical significance. This paper uses the VAR model to analyze the interactive development relationship between the Shanghai port and its economic hinterland by using the methods methodology of impulse response function and variance decomposition. The result shows that the development of Shanghai port has a positive driving effect on the hinterland economy,while the hinterland economy has a weak pulling effect on the development on the Shanghai port. To improve the driving effect of hinterland economy on the Shanghai port is beneficial to the development of Shanghai port and its hinterland economy, and also provides reference for the benign development of other port economic interaction.
Shanghai port is momentous in our country, and its economic hinterland also occupies an important position in the whole country. The research on the interactive development between the Shanghai port and its economic hinterland has a positive and practical significance. This paper uses the VAR model to analyze the interactive development relationship between the Shanghai port and its economic hinterland by using the methods methodology of impulse response function and variance decomposition. The result shows that the development of Shanghai port has a positive driving effect on the hinterland economy,while the hinterland economy has a weak pulling effect on the development on the Shanghai port. To improve the driving effect of hinterland economy on the Shanghai port is beneficial to the development of Shanghai port and its hinterland economy, and also provides reference for the benign development of other port economic interaction.
引文
[1]马原皎,姚秉琪.港口物流与腹地经济的关系分析——以上海港为例[J].商业经济,2016(7):62-63,163.
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[4]刘丁毓.港口经济与腹地经济互动发展研究[D].中国海洋大学,2015.
[5]钱学凤.上海港综合竞争力评价研究[D].上海海洋大学,2015.
[6]贺志超.珠三角港口群与其经济腹地互动发展的实证分析及政策研究[D].暨南大学,2016.
[2]张燕,冯邦彦.港口与直接腹地的相关性研究:上海港、深圳港和广州港的比较[J].产经评论,2011(2):53-61.
[3]刘欣.港口腹地划分问题研究[D].上海海事大学,2006.
[4]刘丁毓.港口经济与腹地经济互动发展研究[D].中国海洋大学,2015.
[5]钱学凤.上海港综合竞争力评价研究[D].上海海洋大学,2015.
[6]贺志超.珠三角港口群与其经济腹地互动发展的实证分析及政策研究[D].暨南大学,2016.