基于改进型蒙特卡洛模拟的腐蚀管线可靠性分析

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英文篇名：Reliability Analysis of Corroding Pipelines by Enhanced Monte Carlo Simulation 作者：马小芳 ; BERNT ; J.L ; ARVID ; N ; BRANDRUD ; N 英文作者：MA Xiaofang;BERNT J.L;ARVID N;BRANDRUD N;CNPC Tubular Goods Research Institute; 关键词：腐蚀 ; 管线 ; 系统可靠性 ; 改进型 ; 蒙特卡洛模拟 ; 相关性 英文关键词：corrosion;;pipelines;;system reliability;;enhanced;;Monte-Carlo simulation;;correlation 中文刊名：SYYQ 英文刊名：Petroleum Tubular Goods & Instruments 机构：中国石油集团石油管工程技术研究院; 出版日期：2019-06-25 出版单位：石油管材与仪器 年：2019 期：v.5;No.27 语种：中文; 页：SYYQ201903014 页数：6 CN：03 ISSN：61-1500/TE 分类号：55-60

摘要

考虑到系统可靠性的影响,研究了腐蚀管道的可靠性分析。通过利用改进型蒙特卡罗模拟方法进行分析,表明该方法在具有任意相关性的多个分量的情况下,对于量化系统可靠性非常有效。文章所研究的实例包括具有独立和相关的腐蚀缺陷的系统。
        The present paper addresses reliability analysis of corroding pipelines considering also system reliability effects. The analysis is performed by utilization of enhanced Monte-Carlo simulation methods which have been found to be very efficient for quantification of system reliability in the case of multiple components with arbitrary correlation levels. The examples which are studied in the paper comprise systems with corrosion defects which are both independent and correlated.

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