公元1515年6月17日云南永胜■级地震的质疑
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摘要
16世纪初云南永胜发生过一次破坏性地震,长期以来其强度判定成为疑难问题。本文通过解读《明实录》以及地方志中相关史料记载认为,由于对《明实录》相关记述解读有误,以及采信了"石门阙""田陷成湖"等地方志衍袭夸大、与自然规律相矛盾的记载,并"捆绑"了大理、鹤庆等2次破坏性地震,《中国历史强震目录》高判了此震强度,导致其地震影响场有悖于地震影响衰减的一般规律。本文分析表明,此地震时间为"弘治十五年七月己亥(1502年8月31日)",强度≤7级。此永胜地震的强度问题会影响该地区未来地震的危险性分析、判断等。
It is essential to do seismic zoning of the historical earthquake epicenter and seismic intensity. A destructive earthquake occurred in Yongsheng,Yunnan in early 16 th century. This is a doubtful earthquake. In this paper,we confirmed that the earthquake with MS≤7.0 occurred in Yongsheng County,Yunnan Province,China on August 31,1502 or on June 1,1511,by investigating the "Actual Records in the Ming Dynasty"and the "Local Chronicles Record". We found that the researchers adopted the records such as "stone doors destroyed,farm land sinking into the lake,etc. in the "Local Chronicles Record". These words conflict against the laws of nature. Another reason is that researchers mistook the Dali and Heqing earthquake as the Yongsheng earthquake,so they thought the historical earthquake with M_S■ occurred in Yongsheng County.
It is essential to do seismic zoning of the historical earthquake epicenter and seismic intensity. A destructive earthquake occurred in Yongsheng,Yunnan in early 16 th century. This is a doubtful earthquake. In this paper,we confirmed that the earthquake with MS≤7.0 occurred in Yongsheng County,Yunnan Province,China on August 31,1502 or on June 1,1511,by investigating the "Actual Records in the Ming Dynasty"and the "Local Chronicles Record". We found that the researchers adopted the records such as "stone doors destroyed,farm land sinking into the lake,etc. in the "Local Chronicles Record". These words conflict against the laws of nature. Another reason is that researchers mistook the Dali and Heqing earthquake as the Yongsheng earthquake,so they thought the historical earthquake with M_S■ occurred in Yongsheng County.
引文
邓瑞生,1980,关于公元1515年永胜地震的震级问题,地震研究,(2),94-98.
国家地震局震害防御司,1995,中国历史强震目录(公元前23世纪-公元1911年),北京:科学出版社.
顾功叙,1983,中国地震目录,北京:科学出版社.
韩慕康、柴天俊、董兴权等,1981,滇西永胜地区地震地质特征,地震研究,4(1),35-43.
韩源,1983,永胜地震之我见——并就某些问题与邓瑞生、韩慕康等同志商榷,地震研究,6(2),123-132.
李善邦,1960,中国地震目录,北京:科学出版社.
李善邦,1971,中国地震目录,北京:科学出版社.
李善邦,1981,中国地震,北京:地震出版社.
罗荣联、沈斯伟,1989,据史料考证明正德十年(公元1515年)永胜地震的时间、地点及强度,见:闵子群,中国历史地震研究文集,12-19,北京:地震出版社.
张受生,1985,解析1515年永胜8级地震及其相关地区地震的年代问题,地震研究,8(3),387-394.
虢顺民、向宏发、张靖等,1988,1515年云南永胜地震形变带和震级讨论,地震研究,11(2),153-162.
国家地震局震害防御司,1995,中国历史强震目录(公元前23世纪-公元1911年),北京:科学出版社.
顾功叙,1983,中国地震目录,北京:科学出版社.
韩慕康、柴天俊、董兴权等,1981,滇西永胜地区地震地质特征,地震研究,4(1),35-43.
韩源,1983,永胜地震之我见——并就某些问题与邓瑞生、韩慕康等同志商榷,地震研究,6(2),123-132.
李善邦,1960,中国地震目录,北京:科学出版社.
李善邦,1971,中国地震目录,北京:科学出版社.
李善邦,1981,中国地震,北京:地震出版社.
罗荣联、沈斯伟,1989,据史料考证明正德十年(公元1515年)永胜地震的时间、地点及强度,见:闵子群,中国历史地震研究文集,12-19,北京:地震出版社.
张受生,1985,解析1515年永胜8级地震及其相关地区地震的年代问题,地震研究,8(3),387-394.
虢顺民、向宏发、张靖等,1988,1515年云南永胜地震形变带和震级讨论,地震研究,11(2),153-162.