交互关系视角下项目组合风险系统架构及其复杂性
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摘要
研究从来源、产生范式和功能特征等三个维度扩展项目间交互关系分类体系,分析交互关系视角下项目组合风险的产生和变化,在此基础上构建基于逻辑维和认识维的项目组合风险系统架构模型,并对其系统复杂性展开讨论。
As project activities enter into the large scale era,project interactions and complexity become outstanding problems of the modern project portfolio risk management. A classification system of project interactions was proposed from three aspects of source,forming paradigm and function features,and the generation and variation of project portfolio risk was analyzed under the perspective of project interactions. Then using it as the basis,the system framework for project portfolio risk was generated based on the dimensionalities of cognition and character,and the complexity connotation and characteristics of the portfolio risk system were discussed.
As project activities enter into the large scale era,project interactions and complexity become outstanding problems of the modern project portfolio risk management. A classification system of project interactions was proposed from three aspects of source,forming paradigm and function features,and the generation and variation of project portfolio risk was analyzed under the perspective of project interactions. Then using it as the basis,the system framework for project portfolio risk was generated based on the dimensionalities of cognition and character,and the complexity connotation and characteristics of the portfolio risk system were discussed.
引文
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[9]RUNGI M,HILMOLA O-P.Interdependency management of projects:survey comparison between Estonia and Finland[J].Baltic Journal of Management,2011,6(2):146-162
[10]EILAT H,GOLANY B,SHTUB A.Constructing and evaluating balanced portfolios of R&D projects with interactions:A DEA based methodology[J].European Journal of Operational Research,2006,172(3):1018-1039.
[11]LIESIJ,MILD P,SALO A.Robust portfolio modeling with incomplete cost information and project interdependencies[J].European Journal of Operational Research,2008,190(3):679-695
[12]郭鹏,潘女兆,赵静.基于项目交互效应的高新技术项目组合风险研究[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2009(6):5-9
[13]MARTINSUO M.Project portfolio management in practice and in context[J].International Journal of Project Management,2013,31(6):794-803
[14]赵静,郭鹏,贾颖颖.项目组合一致性风险测度及其选择决策研究——基于交互效应视角[J].预测,2014,33(5):59-64
[15]OLSSON R.Risk management in a multi-project environment:An approach to manage portfolio risks[J].International journal of quality&reliability management,2008,25(1):60-71
[16]MARTINSUO M,LEHTONEN P.Role of single-project management in achieving portfolio management efficiency[J].International Journal of Project Management,2007,25(1):56-65
[17]AMARAL L A N,UZZI B.Complex systems:A new paradigm for the integrative study of management,physical,and technological systems[J].Management Science,2007,53(7):1033-1035
[2]SANCHEZ H,ROBERT B T,PELLERIN R.A project portfolio risk-opportunity identification framework[J].Project Management Journal,2008,39(3):97-109
[3]TELLER J,KOCK A.An empirical investigation on how portfolio risk management influences project portfolio success[J].International Journal of Project Management,2013,31(6):817-829
[4]MARLE F,VIDAL L-A,BOCQUET J-C.Interactions-based risk clustering methodologies and algorithms for complex project management[J].International Journal of Production Economics,2013,142(2):225-234
[5]INSTITUTE P M.The Standard for Portfolio Management,3rd edition.third ed.2013:Project Management Institute
[6]赵静,郭鹏,潘女兆.基于交互效应的项目组合风险度量及选择优化[J].运筹与管理,2011,20(6):120-126
[7]ARITUA B,SMITH N J,BOWER D.Construction client multi-projects:a complex adaptive systems perspective[J].International Journal of Project Management,2009,27(1):72-79
[8]SCHMIDT R L.A model for R&D project selection with combined benefit,outcome and resource interactions[J].Engineering Management,IEEE Transactions on,1993,40(4):403-410
[9]RUNGI M,HILMOLA O-P.Interdependency management of projects:survey comparison between Estonia and Finland[J].Baltic Journal of Management,2011,6(2):146-162
[10]EILAT H,GOLANY B,SHTUB A.Constructing and evaluating balanced portfolios of R&D projects with interactions:A DEA based methodology[J].European Journal of Operational Research,2006,172(3):1018-1039.
[11]LIESIJ,MILD P,SALO A.Robust portfolio modeling with incomplete cost information and project interdependencies[J].European Journal of Operational Research,2008,190(3):679-695
[12]郭鹏,潘女兆,赵静.基于项目交互效应的高新技术项目组合风险研究[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2009(6):5-9
[13]MARTINSUO M.Project portfolio management in practice and in context[J].International Journal of Project Management,2013,31(6):794-803
[14]赵静,郭鹏,贾颖颖.项目组合一致性风险测度及其选择决策研究——基于交互效应视角[J].预测,2014,33(5):59-64
[15]OLSSON R.Risk management in a multi-project environment:An approach to manage portfolio risks[J].International journal of quality&reliability management,2008,25(1):60-71
[16]MARTINSUO M,LEHTONEN P.Role of single-project management in achieving portfolio management efficiency[J].International Journal of Project Management,2007,25(1):56-65
[17]AMARAL L A N,UZZI B.Complex systems:A new paradigm for the integrative study of management,physical,and technological systems[J].Management Science,2007,53(7):1033-1035