世界铀资源供需形势与中国核电的应对策略
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摘要
核电在我国能源结构中将扮演越来越重要的角色,而铀资源是发展核电的关键因素。在经济全球化背景下,我国核电发展对铀资源的需求保障情况,必然要受到世界铀资源供需总体格局的影响。基于此,分析了世界核电发展需求与铀资源供应的现状与未来趋势,进而揭示了我国铀资源供需面临的形势和特点。研究认为,我国核电持续发展的关键因素在于铀资源的稳定、持续、多元供给,因此,中长期我国铀资源的保障策略在于构建"国内生产、海外开发、国际贸易"多策并举的全球铀资源配置体系。
Nuclear power would play an increasingly important role in China′s energy structure,and uranium resources are the key factors for nuclear power development.Under the background of economic globalization,the demand of nuclear resources for nuclear power development in China is bound to be affected by the overall pattern of supply and demand of worldwide uranium resources.On this Basis,the current situation and future trend of the world nuclear power development demand and uranium supply was analyzed,and then the situation and characteristics of the supply and demand of uranium resources in China were revealed.The research held that the key factor for the sustainable development of China′s nuclear power was the stable,continuous and multiple supply of uranium resources.Therefore,the guarantee strategy of China′s uranium resources in the middle and long term was to build a global uranium resource allocation system that combined domestic production,overseas development and international trade.
Nuclear power would play an increasingly important role in China′s energy structure,and uranium resources are the key factors for nuclear power development.Under the background of economic globalization,the demand of nuclear resources for nuclear power development in China is bound to be affected by the overall pattern of supply and demand of worldwide uranium resources.On this Basis,the current situation and future trend of the world nuclear power development demand and uranium supply was analyzed,and then the situation and characteristics of the supply and demand of uranium resources in China were revealed.The research held that the key factor for the sustainable development of China′s nuclear power was the stable,continuous and multiple supply of uranium resources.Therefore,the guarantee strategy of China′s uranium resources in the middle and long term was to build a global uranium resource allocation system that combined domestic production,overseas development and international trade.
引文
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[5]World Nuclear Association.World Uranium Mining Production[EB/OL].(2017-07-06)http://www.world-nuclear.org/information-library/nuclear-fuel-cycle/mining-of-uranium/world-uranium-mining-production.aspx.
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[11]张金带,李友良.我国铀资源勘查状况及发展前景[J].中国工程科学,2008,10(1):54-60.
[12]中国工程院项目组.中国能源中长期(2030、2050)发展战略研究:电力·油气·核能·环境卷[M].北京:科学出版社,2011:203-204.
[13]崔娜.铀对外依存与铀供应保障的关系研究[J].资源科学,2014,36(9):1907-1914.
[14]陈润羊,花明.铀矿资源对我国核电发展战略的影响研究[J].矿山机械,2015,43(11):7-11.
[15]张金带.中国铀资源新图景---“三大战略”助力铀资源开发新突破[J].中国核工业,2015(11):20-22.
[16]唐超,邵龙义,邢万里.中国铀矿资源安全分析[J].中国矿业,2017,26(5):1-6,34.
[17]陈润羊.“一带一路”背景下中国核电走出去的战略探讨---基于SWOT-PEST模型的系统分析[J].南华大学学报(社会科学版),2016,17(5):5-13.